This was the first preseason coaches poll<\/a> where I truly had no idea who would be No. 1. Not that Ohio State is surprising, but I would have guessed Oregon or Texas based on preseason hype.<\/p>\n Any of the top seven could win the national title, but it does seem a bit silly to have Indiana, last year\u2019s 16-0 national champion, down at No. 6. Miami, which finished No. 2 last season and arguably upgraded its roster, is No. 7. But the coaches seemed to lean on more established programs, hence Georgia at No. 3.<\/p>\n Texas A&M at No. 8 makes me nervous. The Aggies lost a lot of production. I had them No. 13 in my June rankings<\/a>, and wondered whether that was being optimistic. And Alabama seems way too high at No. 11. But of course, both teams made the Playoff last season, and the coaches included all 10 of last year\u2019s Power 4 College Football Playoff teams in the top 12.<\/p>\n But the most glaring thing of all is that Clemson is ranked at all \u2014 the Tigers are No. 23. What is this based on? They went 7-6 last year, nearly all of the key players from that team got drafted and QB Christopher Vizzina (Tier 5, No. 53 in The Athletic\u2019s QB tiers<\/a>) is completely unproven. It reminds me of Miami in the post-2002 era, when the pollsters kept ranking them high long after the program began declining, under the assumption that, \u201cWell, it\u2019s Miami.\u201d<\/p>\n We have officially entered that period with Clemson.<\/p>\n Which natty-or-bust program faces the most pressure to finally break through and win it all this season, Oregon or Texas? Both programs have the two best rosters in the sport and are loaded with veteran talent. \u2014 Mike J.<\/p>\n Apparently the coaches poll voters don\u2019t agree with you. They had Oregon No. 2 and Texas No. 4.<\/p>\n I don\u2019t believe in natty-or-bust. That\u2019s an impossibly high bar in a 12-team Playoff. Kudos to Indiana last season for dominating start to finish, but most years we will see some randomness around who advances the farthest \u2014 matchups, timing, injuries, a bad call, etc. Case in point: Oregon\u2019s 2024 team that started 13-0 was a machine, but got blown out in the quarterfinal by a loaded Ohio State team. The Ducks\u2019 2025 team was mortal by comparison, but advanced to the semifinals, beating James Madison and Texas Tech in the CFP.<\/p>\n But I\u2019d say it\u2019s reasonable to expect a preseason top-four team to at least reach the final four, be disappointed if they lose before that and be incredulous if they miss the Playoff entirely. And because that exact thing happened to preseason No. 1 Texas last year, the pressure on Steve Sarkisian seems far greater than that on Dan Lanning.<\/p>\n If the Ducks start No. 1 or 2 only to miss the Playoff, their fans will be frustrated but will mostly move on. If the Horns start No. 1 or 2 and lose in the quarterfinals, laptops will combust just by logging on to the message boards.<\/p>\n I\u2019m not sure that\u2019s fair, though. Sarkisian took over a program that had been stuck in the mud for more than a decade and led it to back-to-back CFP semifinals. (The first one when you had to finish in the top four.) But it\u2019s like that was all forgotten as soon as Arch Manning went belly-up in the opener against Ohio State. The same coach who went 25-5 across 2023 and \u201924 was right back to being the guy who went 5-7 and 8-5, respectively, in his first two seasons.<\/p>\n But in this era of $40 million-plus rosters, coaches are going to be judged relative to the price of their rosters. No one has official rankings, but Oregon and Texas are both likely near the top. Sark went big in the portal to upgrade Arch\u2019s supporting cast. Now he has to deliver.<\/p>\n Who will win the Heisman Trophy this year?<\/p>\n Ralph D. Russo, Sam Khan Jr. and more<\/p>\n While I acknowledge I am a diehard Buckeyes fan, it feels like Julian Sayin is one of the most undervalued QBs in the country coming into this year. All he did as a redshirt freshman is lead the country in completion percentage (77.0) with 32 TDs and eight INTs. And yet many view him as behind Arch, CJ Carr, Dante Moore, Darian Mensah \u2026 what am I missing??? \u2014 Anonymous<\/p>\n I always put \u201cplease include your city\u201d in the submission instructions, but I never thought to include, \u201cPlease tell us your name.\u201d<\/p>\n I\u2019d almost forgotten Sayin was a Heisman finalist last season. That\u2019s how much he\u2019s flying under the radar<\/a>. And I can think of three reasons why:<\/p>\n No one considers him the best player on his own team. Jeremiah Smith, not Sayin, is the face of the Buckeyes, which I don\u2019t often say about a receiver. Case in point: At Big Ten media days last week, I saw more reporters around Smith\u2019s riser than Sayin\u2019s.<\/p>\n Because of not just Smith, but Carnell Tate, it was hard to know last season how much of Sayin\u2019s success belonged to him and how much belonged to those stud receivers. This year will be interesting with no second proven receiver (yet).<\/p>\n Perhaps most relevantly, Sayin did not have his finest performances in Ohio State\u2019s two losses to end the season against Indiana and Miami, when the Buckeyes\u2019 offense scored 10 and 14 points, respectively. He posted his lowest passer rating of the season (129.7) in the CFP game and was sacked five times.<\/p>\n All of which feels a little bit like C.J. Stroud all over again. Looking back, he had an absolutely ridiculous redshirt freshman season in 2021 \u2014 72 percent completions, 4,435 yards, 44 TDs and six INTs. And yet, I remember being similarly skeptical most of the season because he was throwing to Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. And then lost 42-27 to Michigan. I would go on to be proven an idiot.<\/p>\n It will be interesting to see how this season plays out for both Sayin and Smith. Could the season play out a little like 2020 Alabama, when receiver DeVonta Smith won the Heisman while his QB, Mac Jones, finished third? Or will Sayin get more credit? He already put up a 2019 Joe Burrow-esque completion percentage, so it\u2019s not about the numbers. But he needs more big performances in big games.<\/p>\n You want to see dominance. Not, our 9-3 team is better than your 9-3 team.<\/p>\n \n Julian Sayin did not have his finest performances in the biggest games, including in a loss to Miami in the Cotton Bowl. (Jerome Miron \/ Imagn Images via Reuters Connect)<\/p>\n It\u2019s been nice not having every other article be about Deion Sanders or Bill Belichick this offseason. The past few offseasons have been rough. Not a question, just an observation. \u2014 Tyler F.<\/p>\n Really? I spent part of Monday on a call listening to an aide to the Senate Commerce Committee explain procedural issues related to a bill that may or may not ever become law<\/a> and that may or may not succeed in regulating the rev-share cap.<\/p>\n Give me Deion.<\/p>\n Please help me understand why schools are canceling marquee out-of-conference games. This seems so shortsighted and unwarranted. Texas is having this freakout after a year where they didn\u2019t play at a top-25 level for half the season. Meanwhile, Miami and Texas A&M both made the CFP last year because they scheduled and beat a top-10 team (Notre Dame).\u00a0 \u2014 Alex W.<\/p>\n Why is Indiana backing out of nonconference Power 4 games and why isn\u2019t the Big Ten demanding stronger nonconference schedules? \u2014 Martin D.<\/p>\n I agree that it\u2019s shortsighted, though maybe not for the same reasons.<\/p>\n Indiana more than anyone knows there\u2019s no real incentive to schedule those games, *if* you go at least 11-1. Curt Cignetti\u2019s 2024 team played FIU, Western Illinois and Charlotte and got such a favorable conference draw that it managed to win 11 games without beating any of the four Big Ten teams that finished in the committee\u2019s last Top 25. And yet, the Hoosiers themselves finished No. 8.<\/p>\n Texas A&M might have been in the same situation last season had it played Ball State instead of Notre Dame in Week 3. The Aggies finished 11-1, but that victory in South Bend ended up being their only Top 25 win of the season. But do we really think the committee would have left out an 11-1 SEC team? Maybe they wouldn\u2019t have been the No. 7 seed, but I bet they would have stayed above at least No. 10 Miami, which was 10-2, and maybe even 10-3 Alabama at No. 9.<\/p>\n It gets trickier, though, if your team is squarely on the bubble. No question, 10-2 Miami doesn\u2019t get in last year without its Notre Dame win. Meanwhile, 11-2 BYU really could have used a signature nonconference win. (The Cougars won at Stanford, which went 4-8.)<\/p>\n But beyond the Playoff ramifications, the trend seems really shortsighted from a business standpoint. Indiana fans will eventually grow tired of paying money and sitting through TV timeouts to see North Texas, Howard and Western Kentucky. The get-in price for USC\u2019s Week 0 opener against San Jose State (the Trojans\u2019 replacement for Notre Dame) is currently $26. Compare that to $530 for BYU\u2019s home game against the Irish (which replaced ND-USC). Why are ADs willingly creating empty seats?<\/p>\n And what about TV? Everyone assumes the rights fees will keep going up and up, but Fox has now lost at least three Big Ten home games (ND-USC in 2026 and \u201928 and ND-Indiana in 2031) that might have drawn more than 10 million viewers. That\u2019s conservatively $60 million or more in lost ad revenue. Think that won\u2019t get baked into the next contract?<\/p>\n All of this is one of the underlying cases the Big Ten is making for a 24-team Playoff. If the risks of losing a game are lower, they say, schools will be more likely to schedule tough games. But I believe that\u2019s a fallacy. This trend will only get worse if the field grows bigger and the indignity of missing a 24-team Playoff becomes real.<\/p>\n Instead, the Big Ten could curb the trend right now if it followed the other P4 leagues and mandated a 10th P4 game. People in that part of the country used to endlessly complain that the SEC was gaming the system by playing \u201cnobody\u201d out of conference. Now, Indiana, Nebraska, Penn State, USC and Washington* \u2014 all in the Big Ten \u2014 are literally playing nobody this season.<\/p>\n (*I won\u2019t knock Washington, I\u2019m glad they\u2019re still playing Wazzu.)<\/p>\n Is Kentucky really going to end up undefeated this season, as everyone is predicting? \u2014 Gary M.<\/p>\n This would be better directed at our college basketball mailbag.<\/p>\n There\u2019s a lot of the noise coming from USC<\/a> that they have a roster (specifically in the trenches and at DB) capable of competing with the elite. I tend to agree with this, but USC has five difficult games (three being brutal) this coming season. What are your early predictions for this five-game gauntlet?<\/p>\n \u2022 Oregon (home) \u2014 Jay S.<\/p>\n![\"Julian](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/2026-01-03T091315Z_2023290826_MT1USATODAY27923635_RTRMADP_3_NCAA-FOOTBALL-COTTON-BOWL-MIAMI-AT-OHIO-.jpeg\")
<\/p>\n
\u2022 Washington (home)
\u2022 Penn State (away)
\u2022 Ohio State (home)
\u2022 Indiana (away)<\/p>\n