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article <\/p>\n article <\/p>\n
New polling from Texas Southern University shows three South Texas Congressional districts leaning toward the Democrats as the party looks to maintain control in two districts and win the third.<\/p>\n
By the numbers:<\/p>\n
The survey, conducted by the Barbara Jordan Public Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University, polled 700 likely November voters in TX-15 and TX-34, and 600 likely voters in TX-28. The margin of error was +\/- 3.7% for TX-15 and TX-34, and was +\/-4% for TX-28.<\/p>\n
Texas 15th Congressional District <\/p>\n
Democrat Bobby Pulido holds a five-point lead over Republican Monica De La Cruz, 50% to 45%. The poll found 5% of voters were undecided in the race.<\/p>\n
Nearly half, 45%, said they viewed Pulido favorably, 34% said they viewed him unfavorably, while 21% said they did not know enough about him to form an opinion.<\/p>\n
De La Cruz was viewed favorably by 41% of voters, while 43% viewed her unfavorably and 16% did not know enough about her to have an opinion.<\/p>\n
Dig deeper:<\/p>\n
The poll found that 8% of Republicans and 8% of those who voted for President Donald Trump in 2024 were planning to vote for Pulido.<\/p>\n
Trump won TX-15 by 18 percentage points in 2024.<\/p>\n
The break for Democrats is also reflected in the races for U.S. Senate and governor.<\/p>\n
James Talarico is leading Republican Ken Paxton by 8% and Gina Hinojosa is leading Greg Abbott by 3%.<\/p>\n
Some Trump voters in TX-28 break for Democrat Henry Cuellar <\/p>\n
By the numbers:<\/p>\n
Voters in TX-28 are supporting Democrat Henry Cuellar over Republican Tano Tijerina, 45% to 34%. Green Party candidate Marlon Duran earned the support of 6% of likely voters.<\/p>\n
Voters were split on their feelings for Cuellar with 41% saying they viewed him favorably and 41% saying they viewed him unfavorably.<\/p>\n
More voters said they were unfamiliar with Tijerina (41%), than viewed him favorably (29%) or unfavorably (31%).<\/p>\n
Big picture view:<\/p>\n
TX-28 saw the poll’s biggest defection of Republican and Trump supporters. Twenty percent of Republicans in the district and 23% of voters who voted for Trump in 2024 said they were putting their support behind Cuellar.<\/p>\n
Trump won TX-28 by 10 percentage points in 2024.<\/p>\n
Talarico and Hinojosa were also ahead in the poll in the district. Talarico leads Paxton by 10% and Hinojosa leads Abbott by 4%.<\/p>\n
Gonzalez leads close race in TX-34 <\/p>\n
By the numbers:<\/p>\n
Democrat Vicente Gonzalez (45%) leads Republican Eric Flores (42%) by 3% in a close race for TX-34. Green Party candidate Eddie Espinoza had the support of 3% of likely voters and 2% of voters were supporting Libertarian Chris Royal. Eight percent of voters were undecided in the race.<\/p>\n
By the numbers:<\/p>\n
TX-34 is another South Texas district that Trump carried in 2024, winning by 10%.<\/p>\n
Two percent of those 2024 Trump voters said they were voting for the Democrat this time around, while 5% of Republicans in general said they planned to support Gonzalez.<\/p>\n
Hinojosa leads in the district by 4% over Abbott and Talarico holds an 11 percentage point lead over Paxton.<\/p>\n
The Source: Information in this article comes from a Barbara Jordan Public Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University survey that polled 700 likely November voters in TX-15 and TX-34, and 600 likely voters in TX-28. The margin of error was +\/- 3.7% for TX-15 and TX-34, and was +\/-4% for TX-28.<\/p>\n
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