{"id":439053,"date":"2026-09-17T18:14:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T18:14:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/439053\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T18:14:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T18:14:16","slug":"cothrum-the-economic-case-for-preston-royal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/439053\/","title":{"rendered":"Cothrum: The economic case for Preston Royal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img alt=\"A generated rendering of a proposed $800M mixed-use development at the southwest corner of Preston Road and Royal Lane.\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:16 \/ 9\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>A generated rendering of a proposed $800M mixed-use development at the southwest corner of Preston Road and Royal Lane.<\/p>\n<p>Courtesy of GFF<\/p>\n<p>Muhammad Ali twice fought Joe\u00a0Frazier before his famous \u201cThrilla in Manilla\u201d match. People typically only remember the third bout. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/opinion\/commentary\/article\/cothrum-preston-royal-development-good-dallas-22318908.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">I\u2019ve already written<\/a> about the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/opinion\/commentary\/2025\/11\/07\/cothrum-after-hb840-nimbys-cant-stop-north-dallas-development\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">zoning case at Preston Road and Royal Lane<\/a> twice, but we\u2019re about to have a Thrilla on Marilla, so one more round seems prudent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>From City Hall at 1500 Marilla \u2014 itself a development dispute these days \u2014 the city council will decide if Dallas is moving forward or backward. With the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/opinion\/editorials\/article\/dallas-eviction-pools-library-budget-22418182.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">budget where it is<\/a>, you\u2019d think forward would be better.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>For more than 10 years, the council has passed property tax rate cuts (while often raising fees) that failed to keep up with rising property appraisals. Dallas has a tax rate among the highest in the state. If you live in Dallas, you pay for that privilege.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/dallas-www.dallascad.org\/ViewPDFs.aspx?type=1&amp;id=%5C%5CDCAD.ORG%5CWEB%5CWEBDATA%5CWEBFORMS%5CAVG%20HOUSE%20VAL%5C2025AvgMedValHS.pdf\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Dallas Central Appraisal District<\/a>, the average Dallas home is worth about $616,000, with a taxable value of about $436,000. That means the value of this proposed development is similar to building about 1,800 houses. The most typical single-family lot size in the city is 7,500 square feet. As such, it would take more than 300 acres to build as much value as is going into the seven-acre development. That\u2019s larger than Fair Park or the SMU campus. It\u2019s a lot of bang for the buck.<\/p>\n<p>Ray Perryman is something like the Big Tex of Texas economists \u2014 he doesn\u2019t have any peers. The developer on this project hired Perryman to do an economic assessment. I got an early copy. Yes, Perryman was hired by the developer. And yes, I\u2019m generally disposed toward development. But I\u2019m not asking readers to simply believe me or Perryman. The facts speak for themselves, and Perryman shows his work.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOn an ongoing basis, business operations within the development as well as resident and visitor spending would generate notable economic benefits,\u201d Perryman\u2019s report read. \u201cThe development could be expected to lead to an estimated increase in annual business activity in the Dallas area including more than $483.9 million in annual gross product at maturity.\u201d \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to Perryman, the project will generate $13.2 million in annual tax revenue for the city, and create 4,610 jobs. The development \u201crepresents a notable improvement to an area which previously sustained tornado damage and has struggled to revitalize since that time,\u201d the report said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to Perryman, the construction bump alone from this project will be more than $920 million and create 8,260 job-years. These are huge numbers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>What has the neighbors most concerned, however, is his prediction the development will \u201cserve as a catalyst for further activity.\u201d North Dallas is absolutely not willing to move into the 21st century. It\u2019s perfectly fine retreating to the past. Dallas is a collection of suburban-style neighborhoods surrounding a lightly used downtown. We are way more 1950 than 2050.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At least that\u2019s true of the most vocal activists, a dedicated group of anti-development people who have held the city back since the 1980s. All that lost opportunity cost, however, is coming back to haunt the city. So is the lack of population growth. It\u2019s showing up in the city budget, and in tax bills.<\/p>\n<p>Doug Hazelbaker, a leader of Preserve Preston Hollow, told me, \u201cMy whole issue is with the height.\u201d This is a favorite issue among neighbors who oppose development. He\u2019s not wrong that some of the buildings are tall, with one being 240 feet. Interestingly, 240 feet is a common height for buildings in Oak Lawn. Height brings the best type of construction, quality, longevity and taxable value.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Office tenants will pay premium rents, helping daytime traffic for the surrounding retail corners. Class A office buildings are scarce, and short ones don\u2019t get built often. Dallas needs more outstanding office developments. Not everyone can office in Preston Center.<\/p>\n<p>On the residential side, the views will be why people pay $5 million or more. Those views \u2014 and the tax revenue that comes with them \u2014 don\u2019t happen without height.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Dallas needs to go up; in many cases it\u2019s the only direction for growth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Traffic is another popular complaint for the no-development crowd. But the facts, as reported in a traffic study completed by a licensed traffic engineer and reviewed by the city\u2019s transportation engineers, demonstrate the number of trips with full build-out will be only slightly more than the number of trips surrounding a development that could be built by right, without this planning fiasco. The council should demand that the developer put in all the traffic improvements that they have promised; that should be more than enough.<\/p>\n<p>Neighbors say the project should be more like Preston Hollow Village. I wonder if they realize the undeveloped corner allows for a high rise. I worked on that project in 2006. There was plenty of neighborhood outcry \u2014 and way, way, way better behaved North Dallas neighbors. The zoning issues were not personalized. Meetings were cordial and respectful. When I had my firstborn during the process, more than one sent a card or gift. The personal attacks in this case are unnecessary; property owners have a right to ask for zoning.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents complain the project would set a precedent. It won\u2019t \u2014 every zoning case stands on its own \u2014 but if it did, that would be fine. Raising the bar on appraised value and quality is a good standard to set.<\/p>\n<p>One of the things <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/opinion\/commentary\/2023\/04\/03\/city-planning-is-for-boomers-but-millenials-and-gen-z-drive-the-market\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">holding Dallas back<\/a> is demographics. Dallas has a young population. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasecodev.org\/490\/Demographics\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">median age is 33.4<\/a>, according to the city\u2019s economic development corporation. That\u2019s six years younger than the national median. Unfortunately, those young people don\u2019t vote in large numbers, and they are too busy and hip to attend neighborhood meetings.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>So the voices that influence development decisions \u2014 the ones council members cater to \u2014 are much older and more resistant to change. We are planning the future for those who won&#8217;t be a part of it. Absurd.<\/p>\n<p>Dallas is a top market for young professionals; they are not looking for a suburban lifestyle. The council must think about all the smart, ambitious young people who will comprise Y\u2019all Street, not Yawn Street.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The nature of Dallas\u2019 flawed 14-1 system of government is magnified in zoning issues. For decades, council members have catered to this older voting demographic, holding back necessary modernization. Often, they appoint plan commissioners to ensure nothing happens.<\/p>\n<p>Kathy Coffman, a Far North Dallas plan commission member, posted online, \u201cMake sure we are getting more signs out and we have petitions circulating.\u201d Talk about not waiting until the hearing to make your decision.<\/p>\n<p>Alicia Ramirez Serrato, a newer member of the commission, said she had to go with the neighbors. If the city makes decisions by\u00a0crowd-sourcing, we don\u2019t need a commission or council.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>These two were joined by two others but, thankfully, the final Plan Commission vote was 10-4 in favor of the development. Many of those voting in the affirmative made passionate remarks that make me optimistic other ambitious projects might spread across the city.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Vice-chair Darrell Herbert from District 3 said, \u201cMy fear is that the southern sector is now becoming south of 635. The northern suburbs are taking over. They\u2019re taking our incomes, they\u2019re taking our dollars, they\u2019re taking our jobs. They\u2019re taking our children. Think about that as you oppose developments in your neighborhoods.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Another commissioner, Mike Sims, noted, \u201cWe cannot out-suburban the suburbs.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Or as Maggie Parker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/opinion\/commentary\/article\/dallas-north-south-density-suburbs-22403156.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">summed up in these pages<\/a> recently, \u201cTimes have changed. It\u2019s no longer north Dallas versus southern Dallas. It\u2019s the city of Dallas versus Southern Oklahoma.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>We need more neighborhoods willing to urbanize. All too often, neighbors simply want projects to be somewhere else. And all too often, they get what they want: Legacy West, The Star in Frisco, and the Stars at the Shops at Willow Bend. The projects go somewhere else and with them go the taxes. So don\u2019t complain when the pools and libraries close; the city simply can\u2019t pay for them with the current tax base.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Next the Preston-Royal issue goes to the full council Oct. 14.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>I think the opponents underestimate council member Gay Donnell Willis\u2019 resolve and leadership. She\u2019s told me no plenty of times. She votes for what she thinks is best, which is different from what\u2019s popular. Some neighbors want to have to recall her for that. I don\u2019t see them getting the 9,000 signatures required when only 7,000 people voted in the last two elections. It\u2019s just intimidation.<\/p>\n<p>Many of my North Dallas friends, colleagues and acquaintances support the project. They just do it quietly because of the opposition.<\/p>\n<p>In the end, this project will work and turn out to be a popular spot. People will go out to eat there twice a week \u2014 just like at Preston Hollow Village.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>I hope the City Council has the courage to approve this case. There will certainly be a few council members catering to the old-style, no-progress, no-apartments Dallasites, but their power and numbers are waning. Dallas has a shot at being a real city, something long past due.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A generated rendering of a proposed $800M mixed-use development at the southwest corner of Preston Road and Royal&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":439054,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[5902,2353,110,160,162,161,101828,88000,88952],"class_list":["post-439053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-plano","tag-city-of-dallas","tag-commentary","tag-development","tag-plano","tag-plano-headlines","tag-plano-news","tag-tp-contributing-columnists","tag-tp-dallas-city-council","tag-tp-dallas-city-hall"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=439053"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439053\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/439054"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=439053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=439053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=439053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}