{"id":4595,"date":"2025-10-15T09:50:15","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T09:50:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/4595\/"},"modified":"2025-10-15T09:50:15","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T09:50:15","slug":"houston-football-expert-previews-the-arizona-game-makes-a-score-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/4595\/","title":{"rendered":"Houston football expert previews the Arizona game, makes a score prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">In an otherwise disappointing 2024 season, one of the few bright spots was a 27-3 home win over Houston. The Wildcats were able to get the best of an equally struggling Cougars team that, like the UA, had a first-year head coach.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Arizona (4-2, 1-2 Big 12) has matched its win total from last year, while Houston (5-1, 2-1) has surpassed its from Willie Fritz\u2019s first season. The Cougars are a victory away from being bowl eligible for the first time 2022, the year before they joined the Big 12.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">To better understand Houston, we reached out to Sam Razz and Bobby Malvaez of the Scott &amp; Holman Pawdcast for some insight and a score prediction. Below are their considered answers to our impetuous questions:<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">AZ Desert Swarm: What have been the main factors that have contributed to Houston\u2019s 5-1 start?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Sam Razz: \u201cIn the preseason, the general hope from myself (and UH fans generally) was that this offense would improve modestly from being maybe the worst offense in all of Division 1-FBS and the defense wouldn\u2019t fall off significantly after lots of losses to graduation and transfers. Through six games we\u2019ve seen a modest improved (but still imperfect) Cougar offense and the biggest reason in my opinion for the improvement has come from the defensive side of the ball.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cThe Coogs didn\u2019t just lose most of last year\u2019s key contributors on the field, but defensive coordinator Shiel Wood also left for Texas Tech as that program pointed a metaphorical money cannon at any resource that they wanted for the 2025 football season. And yet, 1st-year DC Austin Armstrong (most recently of Florida) and a cast of largely new faces have added up to a defense that Bill Connelly\u2019s SP+ ranks as the 25th-best unit in the country. Even in the Coogs\u2019 one loss of the 2025 season so far (a 35-11 shellacking by Tech) the defense\u2019s performance would\u2019ve been far down the list of any concerns Coog fans left that game with a couple of Saturdays ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cI don\u2019t want to undersell the value of the offense\u2019s improvement, either. I wouldn\u2019t call this a great or even consistently good offense as of yet. But the great thing for QB Conner Weigman and an offense that is also largely new faces is that the expectations were so low coming into the season that even periodic competence would be a breath of fresh air for UH fans. Weigman gives the UH offense an ability to go downfield in the passing game that no UH QB since Clayton Tune has done with any consistency. This isn\u2019t to say this UH offense will be the best or even top three best offenses that Arizona has seen this season\u2026 but unlike the offense that featured last November in Tucson, this offense actually has some ability to score against defenses below the level of say Tech or a top 15-20 defense.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Texas A&amp;M transfer Connor Weigman seems to have performed solid if not spectacular to this point. What are his best attributes, and where is he most lacking?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Bobby Malvaez: \u201cI think heading into the season, having watched some of his Texas A&amp;M tape you saw a guy who could throw the ball really well and had the ability to pick up a few yards when needed with his feet. Where you saw the breakdown was when the pressure started to get home. Watching the game last year vs. Notre Dame, you could see him really start to \u2018see ghosts.\u2019. In 2025 you still see a lot of that coming through. He has a great arm. There were multiple times where Sam and I texted each other \u2018we didn\u2019t see that throw last year.\u2019 The other thing I really like is that he doesn\u2019t often make the \u2018stupid throw.\u2019 He has thrown some balls that were bad throws but it\u2019s usually not to an opponent. He protects the ball.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cWeigman has also been better with his feet than I think even the most positive Weigman fan was expecting. As far as lacking you still see him get shaky when he gets hit a couple of times and while the O-line is better than 2024 (couldn\u2019t be worse) it\u2019s still very much a work in progress. I think he also sails passes at times. When he misses it\u2019s typically high which can lead to big hits on your receivers. Overall, you can see why he was a highly touted recruit. I think his confidence was shaken badly at A&amp;M and he keeps looking like he is getting that swagger back.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Arizona just allowed a season-high 258 rushing yards to BYU. How effective do you think Houston\u2019s run game will be and who will be the main force in this attack?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Razz: \u201cIn the most general sense, no I do not think UH\u2019s offense can emulate or come close to doing to Arizona what BYU did in the run game last Saturday. I know the Wildcat defense has had periodic challenges, but even against the lesser defenses on the 2025 UH schedule so far this has not been a super explosive rushing attack.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">You would be hard-pressed though to find a Cougar fan that hasn\u2019t enjoyed the addition of super senior RB Dean Connors, who came over from Rice (the first-ever transfer between these two Houston-area football programs) with a somewhat unexpected additional year of eligibility. Connors is the definition of a tough runner between the tackles and, while UH hasn\u2019t gotten him as involved in the pass game as he was previously at Rice, he\u2019s also proven in spells he can be a difference maker in the pass game.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cIt hasn\u2019t happened much in the past two games, aside from a TD run against OSU, but Weigman has also been a pleasant surprise with what he\u2019s done in the run game. Against Colorado, Weigman carried the ball 17 times for 83 yards and has rushed for at least one TD in every game he didn\u2019t leave injured early. I don\u2019t expect we\u2019ll see a Colorado level of usage on Saturday against the Wildcats, but Weigman is definitely a number that has to be respected in the run game (especially close to the end zone).\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Tight end Tanner Koziol leads the Cougars in receptions. Has this been by design or is he just the guy making the most of his opportunities?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Malvaez: \u201cHeading into the season you knew Koziol was going to be a big target for Weigman. I think this Willie Fritz and Slade Nagle offense wanted to use the TE so while I do think scheme plays a large role, I think having a 6-foot-7 target for a QB learning a new offense doesn\u2019t hurt either. Heading into the season I kept saying this felt like a real \u201cTony Romo and Jason Witten situation\u201d and it has really come to fruition. You can tell Koziol is clearly Weigman\u2019s security blanket out there. So, while I do think the scheme would love to get him the ball, his connection with Weigman plays a larger role than the scheme would call for.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Where is Houston most effective on defense and where is it most vulnerable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Razz: \u201cPicking up where they left off last season, through six games this defense has been quite good against the run. I won\u2019t overstate the difficulty of UH\u2019s 1st half of the season schedule, but the fact that UH\u2019s rush yards allowed is a respectable number with the specific challenges of Texas Tech and Rice\u2019s new triple option style offense on the early schedule speaks to the work the defensive front has done so far.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cOne of the few key returners on this Cougar defense was interior lineman Carlos Allen, who joined the Coogs before last season as a transfer from Kennesaw State who didn\u2019t play for most of the 2023 season (I believe this was KSU redshirting key guys in anticipation of their first FBS season). As you\u2019d expect, Allen looks like he\u2019s in much better shape and is way more involved on a play in\/play out basis than you would expect for a guy whose role is largely to clog up the middle of the line and occupy blockers. You should expect to see a big guy with the number 5 (Allen) all over the field for UH\u2019s defense on Saturday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cI would also be remiss if I didn\u2019t give some credit to guys like LB Jalen Garner (one of the few holdovers recruited by the Dana Holgorsen staff), Utah transfer LB Sione Fotu, Wazzu transfer interior DL Khalil Laufau and FIU transfer pass rusher Eddie Walls III for credit on this stout rush defense, as well. And even the secondary has largely looked good tackling in open space and that\u2019s a big factor as well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">\u201cAs for what this defense doesn\u2019t do as well, I\u2019d be lying if I said I wasn\u2019t concerned about facing a veteran QB like Noah Fifita and the challenges he can pose in the pass game. That 1st half of the season schedule hasn\u2019t featured a lot of proven good FBS quarterbacks and the one that UH did face (Tech\u2019s Behren Morton) largely did whatever he wanted in the pass game. I do like the experience UH has in the secondary with returning \u201924 starters Latrell McCutchin Sr and Kentrell Webb, along with transfers Will James (Southern Miss), Marc Stampley II (GA Southern), Blake Thompson (LA Tech), and Zelmar Vedder (Sacramento St)\u2026 but right now for me that phase of the game is less proven than the rush defense and Arizona will pose challenges in the passing game that I haven\u2019t yet seen this defense solve for in the current season.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Prediction time. Do the Cougars become bowl eligible or does Arizona get a rare road win? Give us a score pick.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Malvaez: \u201cMan, this is such a tough one. We do a bit where we pick against the spread for the season and the loser must do something the other person knows they would hate. This one has me going back and forth. I\u2019m going to be a homer here though, give me the Coogs improving to 6-1 by a final score of 20-17. Both defenses are good and both offenses are hit or miss. I don\u2019t see a ton of points being scored.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In an otherwise disappointing 2024 season, one of the few bright spots was a 27-3 home win over&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4596,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[4938,56,58,57],"class_list":["post-4595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-houston","tag-arizona-football","tag-houston","tag-houston-headlines","tag-houston-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4595","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4595"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4595\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4596"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}