{"id":461993,"date":"2026-10-10T08:16:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-10T08:16:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/461993\/"},"modified":"2026-10-10T08:16:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-10T08:16:24","slug":"what-a-strengthening-el-nino-could-mean-for-north-texas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/461993\/","title":{"rendered":"What a strengthening El Nino could mean for North Texas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img alt=\"El Nino typically impacts Dallas-Fort Worth and the southern U.S. by causing wetter-than-normal conditions, meaning increased precipitation or rain, through roughly November to April.\u00a0\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>El Nino typically impacts Dallas-Fort Worth and the southern U.S. by causing wetter-than-normal conditions, meaning increased precipitation or rain, through roughly November to April.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>El\u00edas Valverde II\/The Dallas Morning News<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/news\/weather\/article\/2026-el-nino-means-north-texas-winter-weather-22434811.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">El Nino<\/a> is continuing to strengthen in the Pacific, bringing increasing chances of a rainy winter to Dallas-Fort Worth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-channels-pixel.ex.co\/events\/0012000001fxZm9AAE?integrationType=DEFAULT&amp;template=design%2Farticle%2Fplatypus_two_column.tpl\" alt=\"\" class=\"x1px y1px vh abs\" aria-hidden=\"true\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n<p>According to an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\/ensodisc.shtml\" data-link=\"native\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">Oct. 8 advisory<\/a> from the Climate Prediction Center, El Nino strengthened further in September and is expected to continue developing through the end of the year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cChances remain high for a historic event that would exceed the strength of previous El Nino events dating back to 1950,\u201d the advisory states.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s what it means for Dallas-Fort Worth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s the latest on the 2026 \u201cSuper\u201d El Nino?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>El Nino is a naturally occurring climate pattern that typically develops every two to seven years and can last nine to 12 months, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>When sea surface temperatures become warmer than average in the Pacific, El Nino starts to develop gradually, which eventually affects local weather patterns around the world.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/news\/weather\/article\/2026-el-nino-means-north-texas-winter-weather-22434811.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">What&#8217;s the difference between El Ni\u00f1o and La Ni\u00f1a again? A look at their impacts on Texas<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>El Nino is expected to continue intensifying ahead of its forecasted peak this winter, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/news\/media-centre\/sea-surface-temperatures-reflect-strengthening-el-nino\" data-link=\"native\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">World Meteorological Organization<\/a>, a specialized agency of the United Nations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to the Climate Prediction Center, this year\u2019s El Nino event will likely exceed the strength of prior El Nino events dating back to 1950. That strength increase includes a 54% chance for September to November, an 83% chance for October to December and a 70% chance for November to January.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith an event of this magnitude, the chances of experiencing impacts consistent with El Ni\u00f1o are larger, though not guaranteed,\u201d the advisory states.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The organization forecasts El Nino will bring above-average temperatures to most of the world and shift rainfall patterns, increasing the risk of drought and floods in some areas.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>What does the 2026 El Nino mean for Dallas-Fort Worth?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/news\/weather\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">North Texas<\/a> could see a \u201cwetter-than-normal\u201d season this winter, according to Tom Bradshaw, chief meteorologist at the National Weather Service\u2019s Fort Worth office.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>El Nino typically impacts Dallas-Fort Worth and the southern U.S. by causing wetter-than-normal conditions, meaning increased precipitation or rain, through roughly November to April.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/news\/weather\/article\/hurricane-isaias-tracker-22468467.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Track Hurricane Isaias, first of the 2026 Atlantic season<\/a><\/p>\n<p>While a rainy winter is generally expected, whether this winter will be colder than normal is still undetermined for the region.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe big thing we get asked all the time is, \u2018Well, is it going to be a cold winter or not?\u2019\u201d Bradshaw said. \u201cAnd that\u2019s the one where the jury is absolutely out.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Bradshaw said there\u2019s \u201cnothing to really indicate\u201d Dallas-Fort Worth will have a sharp departure from its typical winter temperatures in the 50s and 60s, with quick cold snaps.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s certainly possible we can get these brief, more amplified sharper outbreaks of cold air, but there\u2019s nothing in the long-term guidance that\u2019s yelling that,\u201d Bradshaw said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>He said one question is whether these wetter-than-normal periods will line up with some of the intermittent cold stretches.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s when we might get a little bit more snow and ice than we otherwise do,\u201d Bradshaw said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/news\/weather\/article\/fall-weather-reach-dallas-fort-worth-know-22462734.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Cooler temperatures arrived in Dallas-Fort Worth this week, but are they here to stay?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Conditions that could produce snow are typically predicted by forecasters two to three weeks in advance. Brashaw emphasized that forecasters will likely see a signal ahead of time for a freeze similar to what Dallas-Fort Worth experienced in February 2021.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf something like that was looming on the horizon, we would start to be able to see it at least two or three weeks out, just based on the state of the science now,\u201d Bradshaw said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Forecasting models are generally expecting El Nino\u2019s effects to start to recede as Dallas-Fort Worth heads into the spring season, Bradshaw said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dallasnews.com\/business\/2026\/02\/14\/five-years-on-in-texas-winter-storm-uris-legal-fallout-has-yet-to-be-resolved\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Five years on in Texas, Winter Storm Uri&#8217;s legal fallout has yet to be resolved<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"El Nino typically impacts Dallas-Fort Worth and the southern U.S. by causing wetter-than-normal conditions, meaning increased precipitation or&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":461994,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[102,104,103,91777,1971,58240,17921,88032,88030,172,12398,157818],"class_list":["post-461993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-dallas","tag-dallas","tag-dallas-headlines","tag-dallas-news","tag-el-nino","tag-national-weather-service","tag-news-weather","tag-service","tag-tp-dallas-fortworth","tag-tp-weather","tag-weather","tag-winter-storm","tag-wintertime"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/461993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=461993"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/461993\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/461994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=461993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=461993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=461993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}