{"id":480178,"date":"2026-10-29T08:16:11","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T08:16:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/480178\/"},"modified":"2026-10-29T08:16:11","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T08:16:11","slug":"texas-governor-race-2026-abbott-vs-hinojosa-multistate-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/480178\/","title":{"rendered":"Texas Governor Race 2026: Abbott vs. Hinojosa \u2014 MultiState Elections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"gr-crumbs\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.multistate.us\/governors.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2026 governor races<\/a> \u203a Texas<\/p>\n<p class=\"subtitle mb-16\">General election November 3, 2026 \u00b7 Updated October 28, 2026<\/p>\n<p>Likely RIncumbent: Greg Abbott (R)<\/p>\n<p>    Analysis<\/p>\n<p>Texas has not elected a Democratic governor since 1990, and Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is still favored for a fourth term, but the race has tightened. The Cook Political Report <a href=\"https:\/\/thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com\/p\/texas-and-florida-governors-races\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">moved it to Lean Republican<\/a> on October 1, matching Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball; Pluribus News still rates it Solid Republican, which keeps the consensus of the three ratings at Likely Republican. Gina Hinojosa (D), a state representative from Austin, has built her campaign around <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kut.org\/politics\/2026-10-02\/texas-governor-race-abbott-hinojosa-attacks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">affordability<\/a>. Abbott is answering on the same ground with what he calls the &#8220;Abbott Affordability Agenda&#8221; on property taxes and everyday costs, backed by a $12 million ad buy attacking her property-tax votes; Hinojosa says she has &#8220;never, not once&#8221; voted to raise property taxes. Abbott says Hinojosa&#8217;s positions are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/texas\/news\/what-greg-abbott-gina-hinojosa-say-about-the-tight-polls-in-the-texas-governors-race-as-early-voting-is-set-to-begin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">&#8220;antagonistic to Texas&#8221;<\/a> and that voters react negatively once they learn about her. The money gap is wide but shrinking: Abbott <a href=\"https:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/2026\/10\/06\/texas-governor-race-greg-abbott-gina-hinojosa-campaign-fundraising-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">outspent Hinojosa 6-to-1<\/a> from July to late September, spending $74.1 million to her $12.1 million, and ended the period with $18.2 million on hand, down from a $105.7 million war chest at the start of the year, to her $4 million. His narrow polling lead barely moved over that stretch. Hinojosa accepted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.texastribune.org\/2026\/10\/07\/texas-debate-republicans-talarico-paxton-abbott-hinojosa-election\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">four TV debate invitations<\/a>, but Abbott has not agreed to debate, although he <a href=\"https:\/\/spectrumlocalnews.com\/tx\/austin\/news\/2026\/10\/05\/texas-senate-governor-election-debate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">debated in all three<\/a> of his earlier governor&#8217;s races; when Hinojosa staged a debate at the Governor&#8217;s Mansion on October 15, Abbott was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox7austin.com\/news\/texas-governors-race-greg-abbott-misses-debate-against-gina-hinojosa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">campaigning in East Texas<\/a>. Pat Dixon (L) is also on the ballot.<\/p>\n<p class=\"gr-method\">The rating is MultiState&#8217;s consensus, the average of the<br \/>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/ratings\/governor-race-ratings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Cook Political Report<\/a>,<br \/>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/2026-governor\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball<\/a><br \/>\n      and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.<\/p>\n<p>    Texas governors since 1991<\/p>\n<p class=\"gr-hist-lede\">Republicans have held the office since 1995. The last Democrat was Ann Richards (1991\u20131995).<\/p>\n<p>19911995200020052010201520202025<\/p>\n<p class=\"gr-hist-key\">Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner&#8217;s lead over the runner-up, in points.<\/p>\n<p>Elected 2014 (+20.4), reelected 2018 (+13.3), reelected 2022 (+10.9)<\/p>\n<p>Succeeded to office 2000, elected 2002 (+17.9), reelected 2006 (+9.2), reelected 2010 (+12.7)<\/p>\n<p>Elected 1994 (+7.6), reelected 1998 (+37.1), resigned 2000<\/p>\n<p>Elected 1990 (+2.5), lost reelection 1994<\/p>\n<p>    <a class=\"gr-hist-more\" href=\"governor.html?st=TX#gov-timeline\">See the full Texas governor timeline and every election since 1956 \u2192<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"2026 governor races \u203a Texas General election November 3, 2026 \u00b7 Updated October 28, 2026 Likely RIncumbent: Greg&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":480179,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[27,29,28],"class_list":["post-480178","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-texas","tag-texas","tag-texas-headlines","tag-texas-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/480178","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=480178"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/480178\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/480179"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=480178"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=480178"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=480178"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}