{"id":57380,"date":"2025-11-20T07:26:16","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T07:26:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/57380\/"},"modified":"2025-11-20T07:26:16","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T07:26:16","slug":"bills-at-texans-best-prop-bests-in-week-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-tx\/57380\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills at Texans best prop bests in Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Buffalo Bills<\/a> (7-3) and the Houston Texans<\/a> (5-5) meet for Thursday Night Football at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze\u00a0BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a>\u00a0Bills vs. Texans odds and tab the\u00a05 best prop bets to win\u00a0among SportsbookWire’s expert\u00a0NFL picks and predictions<\/a>\u00a0for Week 12.<\/p>\n

The Bills posted an impressive 44-32 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/a> on Sunday as a 6-point favorite as the Over (46.5) cashed. QB Josh Allen threw for 317 yards and 3 TDs, while running for 40 yards and 3 scores. WR Tyrell Shavers came out of nowhere to post 4 grabs for 90 yards and a score, while RB James Cook III had 66 receiving yards and a score, and RB Ty Johnson had 61 receiving yards and a TD. Buffalo has won and covered 3 of the past 4 games, while the Under is 4-2 in the past 6 outings.<\/p>\n

The Texans gutted out a 16-13 win on the road against the Tennessee Titans<\/a>, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite while the Under (37) cashed. QB Davis Mills, starting his second straight game for QB C.J. Stroud (concussion), threw for 274 yards and a TD, while WR Nico Collins had 92 yards and a score.<\/p>\n

Watch the NFL on Fubo!<\/a>Best Bills at Texans prop bets<\/p>\n

Odds provided by\u00a0BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access\u00a0USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a>\u00a0for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:13 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

Bills QB Josh Allen 250+ PASSING YARDS (+165)<\/p>\n

Allen went over 300 yards for the victory last week. We won’t need Allen to get nearly that much. Of course, he’ll be challenged a lot more against a much better Texans passing defense, especially on the road in Houston.<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay is 26th in passing defense, so Allen had a day in Week 11. The sledding will be much tougher in Houston against a Texans team which ranks third in the NFL with just 1,900 passing yards allowed, while yielding only 6.0 yards per passing attempt. The defense of DeMeco Ryans won’t get torched, but they have allowed 25 passing plays of 20+ yards, so the big-play potential is still there.<\/p>\n

If you want a little more wiggle room, ALLEN OVER 224.5 PASSING YARDS (-115) might be more up your alley, although it’s not nearly as good of a value.<\/p>\n

Texans RB Woody Marks UNDER 60.5 RUSHING YARDS (-118)<\/p>\n

The Texans have played 3 consecutive 1-score games, and that’s good news for the running game. When the game gets out of hand, especially with a huge deficit, teams can get away from the run. Marks is averaging 16.0 carries for game in the past 2 outings, while averaging 3.5 yards per carry (YPC). If you extrapolate that out, it comes to 54 rushing yards per game.<\/p>\n

I don’t feel that the Texans will deal with the Bills with a quick turnaround, as I just don’t trust Mills. Of course, he has helped the team to a pair of wins over the division rival Jacksonville Jaguars<\/a> and Titans. But, the Bills aren’t on the same plane as those teams, and this game shouldn’t be as close. I can see Houston getting away from the run early in the second half. The only concern is that the Bills allow 5.4 rushing yards per carry.<\/p>\n

Bills TE Dawson Knox ANYTIME TD SCORER (+400) and Knox OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS (+115)<\/p>\n

With starting TE Dalton Kincaid (hamstring) a huge question mark to play Thursday after missing the past couple of games, Knox will be heavily involved. He had 3 grabs for 37 yards in Miami in Week 11, before tumbling to just a single 23-yard grab on 3 targets against Tampa Bay in Week 12.<\/p>\n

Knox is likely to be a frequent target against a tenacious pass rush, as Allen will likely have to use the short and intermediate routes more. That’s great news for tailbacks hauling in receptions, and it’s worth a roll of the dice on Knox to get to 3 grabs at plus-money, but double-check 90 minutes before kickoff to make sure Kincaid is inactive. If he miraculously plays, all bets are off.<\/p>\n

Knox is a great play as a potential red-zone scorer, too, especially for the opportunity to multiply up by 4 times.<\/p>\n

Bills PK Matt Prater OVER 7.5 POINTS (+110)<\/p>\n

Yep, it’s a kicker prop in spot No. 5. You know how it is.<\/p>\n

While Ka’imi Fairbairn (quadriceps) is expected back this week, there is no guarantee he’ll play. Instead, we’ll roll with Prater at plus-money.<\/p>\n

Prater had an 8-point game against the Bucs last Sunday. After reaching 7 or more points in each of the first 5 games, he has hit the mark twice in the past 5 outings, averaging 5.0 kicking points per game. However, the Texans defense is stout, and we could have a lot more field-goal opportunities. The problem with Buffalo lately is efficiency. Prater has attempted just 9 field goals in the past 8 games, while he has had 27 point-after attempts.<\/p>\n

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