The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-4) are slight, 2.5-point underdogs in a home CUSA matchup with the Missouri State Bears (2-3) on Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium.
The Bears lost to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 27-22, in their most recent contest.
The Blue Raiders’ last contest was against the Kennesaw State Owls, and they lost by a score of 24-16.
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Predictions
For the upcoming game between the Missouri State Bears and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, computer-derived against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
Pick ATS: Bears (- 2.5)Pick OU:
Under (51.5)
Prediction:
Bears 32 – Blue Raiders 16
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Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Moneylines
Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Bears-Blue Raiders game.
Missouri State Moneyline: -133Middle Tennessee Moneyline: +112
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Missouri State Betting InsightsMissouri State has been the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won.Missouri State has played as a moneyline favorite of -133 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.Bears games have gone over 51.5 points twice this season (over five outings).The Bears have an average total of 57.7 in their matchups this year, 6.2 more points than this game’s over/under.The Bears score the 112th-most points in college football this season, while the Blue Raiders’ offense puts up the 128th-most.Middle Tennessee Betting InsightsMiddle Tennessee has entered the game as an underdog four times this season and won once.This season, Middle Tennessee has won one of its four games when it is the underdog by at least +112 on the moneyline.Middle Tennessee and its opponents have combined to score more than 51.5 points twice this season.The average total for Middle Tennessee’s games this season is 49.6 points, 1.9 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Watch Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee on Fubo.
Key Stats for Missouri State vs. Middle TennesseeWith 403.2 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 24th-worst in the FBS, the Bears have been forced to rely on their 78th-ranked offense (371.4 yards per contest) to keep them in games.With 31.6 points allowed per game on defense, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS, Missouri State has had to lean on their 107th-ranked offense (21.6 points per contest) to keep them competitive.The Blue Raiders’ offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, registering 311.8 total yards per game, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. On defense, they rank 92nd with 386.2 total yards ceded per contest.Middle Tennessee has been outplayed on both offense and defense this season, ranking ninth-worst in points (16.4 per game) and 22nd-worst in points allowed (31.0 per game).
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