Friday night is the scariest night of the year. It’s the one night where everyone huddles up and lets cold shivers race up and down our spines.
Yes, it’s Oct. 31 — the last night for NHL teams to get within four points of a playoff spot before Elliotte Friedman’s fabled Curse of November 1st kicks in and all but officially starts eliminating also-rans from the playoff race.
Oh, it’s also Halloween, if you’re into that sort of thing.
Either way, it’s time for our annual roster of the NHL’s scariest starts, relative to expectations. As always, we do the full roster plus an extra goalie, with a limit of one player per team. That means 11 teams will get away unscathed, which will somehow upset their fans even though it’s mostly a good thing. That’s OK, this time of year doesn’t have to make sense. The bones are the skeletons’ money, in their world bones equal dollars.
Where were we? Right, it’s scary season. Time to yell “boo!”
GoaliesJordan Binnington and/or Joel Hofer, Blues
OK, one pick in and we’re already cheating a bit. But trying to choose between Binnington and Hofer is like picking which of your kids you like best, only the complete opposite. Binnington’s the veteran starter, and he’s been bad. Hofer’s the young backup pushing for a bigger role, and he’s been awful. Which of those is scarier? It’s hard to say, unless you’re a Canadian thinking about who might be starting in the Olympics.
Yaroslav Askarov, Sharks
Macklin Celebrini aside, one of the key reasons everyone seems to feel so good about the Sharks’ rebuild is that they seem to have their goaltender of the future locked down. That’s often the hardest part of the process, but the Sharks took care of it with last year’s deal with Nashville … or so we all assumed. Askarov was just OK in limited NHL action last year, but this was the year for him to show his stuff. The early returns aren’t great, although it’s only been six games, so let’s stay frosty.
Ilya Sorokin, Islanders
If there was one key to the Islanders’ push back into contention, it was Sorokin playing well enough to get traded to the Oilers for an absolute ransom steal games. It hasn’t happened so far, and it contributed to his goalie coach losing his job. Jesse Granger dug into what’s going on and whether the coaching change might help. (Meanwhile, tro keep Islander fans from yelling at me: Matthew Schaefer is good.)
DefenseRasmus Dahlin, Sabres
A lot of us had him penciled in as a dark horse Norris candidate, and the only real question was whether a guy this good could really be a dark horse for anything. But ten games in, he’s had his ups and downs. He hasn’t scored yet, only two of his seven assists have been primaries, and while his underlying numbers are better than his -8 looks, they’re still underwater. You can certainly understand him having a slow start this year, but the Sabres need him to find his A-game soon.
Evan Bouchard, Oilers
I had been trying to talk myself into having the guts to pick Connor McDavid before he tripled his goal total on Tuesday, but even I’m not crazy enough to tempt the hockey gods that way. So instead, let’s go with a pick that’s only slightly less likely to hold up well in Bouchard, who had just four points to go with a -9 rating before popping off with three assists against Utah. The story was always that his offense would be enough to counter some occasionally shaky defense, but it hasn’t been there consistently this year, which isn’t ideal when a $10.5-million extension has just kicked in. The good news: His underlying numbers are some of the best on the team, which suggests there’s some bad puck luck in play here.
Moritz Seider, Red Wings
Like Bouchard, the defensive numbers have been just fine, even bordering on excellent. The disappointment here is on the offensive side, where Seider has just three assists to show for the year. Worse, he’s been held off the scoresheet entirely at even strength. On one hand, that’s a rare bit of bad news for a Wings team that’s off to a strong start. On the other, you wonder how good this team might be when the puck starts inevitably going in with Seider on the ice.
Brock Faber, Wild
Young players hit rough patches in the NHL all the time, and that’s especially true for defensemen who’ve just turned 23. So we’ll just say it’s been a rough start for Faber, who only got his first primary points of the season this week while struggling defensively at times. He hasn’t been good enough, and he knows it. The problem is that the Wild’s rough start means that patience feels like a luxury right now, even if it’s the only stance you can take with a kid with this much talent.
Cody Ceci, Kings
He’s getting caved in defensively and doesn’t help much at the other end. Was anyone expecting significantly better results? OK, I see Ken Holland waving his hand in the back, but anyone else? There can’t be many. And that includes most Kings fans, who are just happy I went with the cheap crowd-pleaser instead of putting Drew Doughty here.
Jordan Spence, Senators
Linus Ullmark is the obvious pick in Ottawa, but our crease is already crowded on this roster, so let’s go with a bit of a weird one. On paper, the numbers look fine for Spence, who has four points in four games in Ottawa to go with decent defensive numbers. The scary stat is the one that usually comes first: Games played, where Spence has only suited up four times amidst a stream of healthy scratches. He’s made a few high-profile mistakes in his limited appearances, as you might expect for a young blueliner settling into a new team. They traded two picks for him over the summer, so you’d assume they saw something, but so far, it’s fair to wonder how he fits with this roster going forward.
ForwardsAuston Matthews, Maple Leafs
A 37-goal pace wouldn’t seem all that scary for most players, but it’s supposed to be the floor for the three-time Rocket winner. Instead, his five-goal output might actually be flattering, with two of those coming into empty nets. And he only has one power-play point, contributing to one of several early-season problems in Toronto. It’s early, and maybe even a little reductive, but so far it seems like he misses Mitch Marner a lot more than the other way around.
Andrei Svechnikov, Hurricanes
This was supposed to be his big breakout year, which is why he landed on our annual all-intrigue team. Instead, he somehow went pointless through eight games before finally getting on the board on Tuesday, which should be just about impossible when you’re getting top-nine minutes on a team as good as Carolina. And worse, his own coach says that he “disappears a little bit”… in a soundbite where he’s trying to defend him.
Roope Hintz, Stars
You can certainly live with a point-a-game, but we do have to point out that Hintz has yet to beat a goaltender this year; his only goal was into an empty net. He’ll be fine, but with the Stars already losing a bit of ground in the Central slugfest, they’d like it to happen soon.
Steven Stamkos, Predators
It just isn’t clicking in Nashville, to the point where trade rumblings have started in earnest. You can understand why the transition from the Lightning to the Predators was tough on him last year, but one goal through his first 11 games isn’t the rebound anyone was hoping for.
Matvei Michkov
We all knew that Michkov would be a tough fit with John Tortorella, but he’s now onto his second NHL coach and the results are going in the wrong direction. Through nine games, Michkov has just one goal, and his inconsistent play has seen him occasionally benched (again). He’s still only 20 and this is part of a process, and the Flyers say they’re not worried. But let’s not sell it short: This is supposed to be the foundation of the rebuild, so they’ll need to see progress soon.
Brandon Hagel, Lightning
He came into the year having scored over 90 goals in his three full years with the Lightning, going from an underrated up-and-comer in Chicago to a guy who’s assumed to have a spot on Team Canada. But this year, he’s only got two goals through the first ten games. One caveat: His expected numbers are still very good, so this could turn around quickly once a few more bounces start going his way.
Sam Bennett, Panthers
One goal. One assist. No goaltenders “accidentally” injured. It hasn’t been a very productive season so far for the reigning Conn Smythe winner in year one of his new $64-million deal. Of course, none of that will matter when he’s driving play in tough minutes during the playoffs … assuming the Panthers can get there.
Alexis Lafrenière, Rangers
This was supposed to be his breakout season, for about the fifth year in a row. Instead, he seems to be taking a step backward, held to just one goal through 11 games – and that one came way back on Oct. 9. The 2020 draft was weird and at some point we should probably stop dumping “first pick” pressure on Lafrenière. And yes, the lack of goals is largely due to a 3.7 percent shooting percentage that we know won’t last. But on a team that’s trying to reload in real time, they can’t afford to see a 24-year-old take the confidence hit that would come with another offensive regression.
Conor Zary, Flames
I’m honestly not sure if there’s a single player on the Flames that you couldn’t put on this roster, from Dustin Wolf on out. Maybe Blake Coleman? But we’ll go with Zary, considered the team’s best prospect among skaters but so far is stuck at just a goal and two points through 11 games. If the rebuild is coming in Calgary — and it absolutely should be — then they need the few young pieces who are already here to prove they belong.
Mason Marchment, Kraken
There haven’t been too many disappointments in Seattle so far, but Marchment might qualify after coming over from Dallas as the big offseason addition – he scored 23 minutes into the season opener, and has been held off the board ever since.
Evander Kane, Canucks
You could understand why the Canucks decided to roll the dice on a local guy on the last year of his deal, given that he scored between 22 and 30 goals in each of his last five full seasons. But so far, he’s still looking for his first goal as a Canuck despite getting top-six minutes.
Alexander Ovechkin, Capitals
One year ago, Ovechkin was stuck at two goals when I wrote him into that year’s Scary Starts piece. Then he scored twice the night before the post went live, and once in each of the next four games on the way to shattering Wayne Gretzky’s record with ease, and Capitals fans never stopped making fun of me all season long. Rightfully so, if we’re being honest. This year, he’s once again stuck at just two goals and has yet to find the net on the power play. Have I been bribed by the Capitals to include him here again to get him going? I will not be taking questions on this topic at this time.