The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-finals continue with several evenly matched battles. Kovacevic looks to build on his big win over Hurkacz against Moutet, Vacherot meets Borges in a tight clash, while former champion Norrie faces in-form qualifier, McDonald. With form and head-to-head history in play, there are a few interesting value angles to consider.

ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals

Kovacevic – Moutet: 07.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Aleksandar Kovacevic has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Kovacevic defeated Hurkacz in the opening round in two tiebreaks. He dominated on his serve throughout the match.

Corentin Moutet has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Moutet lost to Zverev in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, the Frenchman lost to Rune in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Kovacevic is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played well against Hurkacz and had the full support of the home crowd. On the other hand, Moutet struggled since the beginning of the season.

That being said, Kovacevic winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Aleksandar Kovacevic winning @2.38 @bet365

Vacherot – Borges: 07.03.2026 21:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Valentin Vacherot has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Vacherot lost to Nakashima in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.

Nuno Borges has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Borges lost to Tiafoe in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Indian Wells, Borges defeated Nava in the opening round in tight straight sets. He offered and saved five breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Vacherot is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing at the Masters 1000 level. Vacherot has won 12 of his last 13 matches at the Masters level. We expect him to be a better player in this matchup.

That being said, Vacherot winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Valentin Vacherot winning @1.67 @bet365

Norrie – McDonald: 07.03.2026 23:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0

Cameron Norrie has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Norrie lost to Jodar in the opening round in straight sets. He was the champion here in 2021.

Mackenzie McDonald has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, McDonald qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, McDonald defeated Trevor Svajda in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, the American demolished Arnaldi in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Norrie is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in Indian Wells and leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against McDonald, without dropping a single set. We expect Norrie to be a better player tonight.

That being said, Norrie winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie winning @1.57 @bet365

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