Gibson vs. Jasmine Paolini Prediction, Odds to Win BNP Paribas Open

Data Skrive

Updated March 9, 2026, 10:36 a.m. ET

Aug 1, 2017; Washington, DC, USA; Dominic Thiem of Austria balances a ball on his hand prior to serving against Henri Laaksonen of Switzerland (not pictured) on day two of the Citi Open at Fitzgerald Tennis Center. Thiem won 6-3, 6-3.

No. 112-ranked Talia Gibson will take on No. 7 Jasmine Paolini in the BNP Paribas Open Round of 16 on Tuesday, March 10.

Paolini is favored (-250) to get to the quarterfinals against the underdog Gibson (+190).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 10:36 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Talia Gibson vs. Jasmine Paolini matchup infoTournament: BNP Paribas OpenRound: Round of 16Date: Tuesday, March 10Court Surface: HardWatch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!Gibson vs. Paolini Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Gibson has a 71.4% to win.

Gibson vs. Paolini Betting OddsGibson’s odds to win match: +190Paolini’s odds to win match: -250Gibson vs. Paolini matchup performance & statsIn 10 hard-court tournaments over the past year, Gibson is 6-10 in matches.In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past year, Gibson has won 68.5% of her games on serve and 28.6% on return.Gibson has converted 40.0% of her break-point opportunities on hard courts (48 of 120) over the past year.In her most recent tournament, the Australian Open, Gibson went down in the Round of 64 to No. 22-ranked Diana Shnaider, 6-3, 5-7, 3-6 on January 20.Paolini is 24-15 through 13 tournaments on hard courts over the past year.Paolini has a 66.8% winning percentage in service games while playing on hard courts, and a 37.6% winning percentage in return games.On hard courts Paolini has won 46.5% of break points (145 out of 312) which ranks 18th.Paolini suffered defeat in the semifinal of her previous tournament (the Merida Open Akron) on February 28, when she went down 5-7, 4-6 to Cristina Bucsa.

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