Day 3 in Madrid sees the start of the second round on the ATP side, as the competition and stakes continue to rise in the Spanish capital. And what a delight for the Spanish crowd that they get to witness their local up-and-comer, Rafael Jodar, take on a top player. But that is far from all, with former Major champions and highly touted teenagers all in action. As always, we here at LWOT will predict every match, but who do you think will advance?
ATP Madrid Day 3 Predictions
Arthur Rinderknech vs Dusan Lajovic
Head-to-head: Rinderknech 1-0 Lajovic
This matchup will likely come down to the baseline battle between two players who, while not the most consistent from the back of the court, possess the weapons to gain advantageous positions. On clay, Dusan Lajovic is arguably the more natural player, with his heavy one-handed backhand capable of causing problems. However, he is far removed from his peak level, and with Arthur Rinderknech’s serve likely to be more effective in high-altitude conditions, the Frenchman appears the safer pick.
Prediction: Rinderknech in 3
Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Head-to-head: Paul 1-0 Tirante
Thiago Agustin Tirante is best suited to clay courts, meaning Tommy Paul will need to stay focused. The match will largely be decided from the baseline, and while Tirante has the ability to grind out points, Paul’s superior ball quality and willingness to incorporate variety in attack should help him come through.
Prediction: Paul in 2
Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic
Head-to-head: First meeting
In a clash of youth versus experience, Joao Fonseca faces Marin Cilic for a place in the third round. Cilic started the tournament well, using his powerful forehand and strong serve to secure a solid win. This match will likely hinge on how effectively Fonseca can return serve. If the young Brazilian creates consistent opportunities on return and dictates rallies, he can secure another confidence-boosting victory.
Prediction: Fonseca in 3
Alex de Minaur vs Rafael Jodar
Head-to-head: First meeting
A packed stadium is expected as Rafael Jodar takes on Alex de Minaur. In recent years, de Minaur has established himself as a consistent performer, beating players he is expected to defeat while struggling against the elite. On clay, however, his margin for error narrows due to his flatter strokes and less dominant serve. Jodar has been in strong form on clay, bringing greater power and ball quality into this matchup. If he keeps his unforced errors under control and feeds off the home crowd, a breakthrough win could be within reach.
Prediction: Jodar in 3
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports