Todd Cordell
• Betting Analyst
12+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 27, 2026 , 03:47 PM ET
• 3 min read
Cordell’s prediction: Sidney Crosby shows out with Pittsburgh on the brink of elimination.
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Sidney Crosby o2.5 Shots On Goal (-165)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Pittsburgh Penguins center Sidney Crosby (87).
Sidney Crosby has been productive on offense for the Pittsburgh Penguins against the Philadelphia Flyers, pacing all players in shots on goal in this Round 1 series.
My Flyers vs. Penguins predictions and NHL picks expect more of the same from Sid the Kid in Game 5.
UPDATE: Added who will win prediction.
Flyers vs Penguins Game 5 prediction
Who will win Flyers vs Penguins Game 5?
Penguins: Believe it or not, Pittsburgh holds a 6.41-5.94 xG edge at 5-on-5 through four games, and Arturs Silovs seems to have given them a jolt in net.
I think Pittsburgh grinds out another win at home before bowing out in six.
Flyers vs Penguins best bet: Sidney Crosby Over 2.5 shots (-165)
Sidney Crosby has registered at least three shots on goal in every game this postseason. Even with the Philadelphia Flyers leaning on their structured defensive system, Crosby is still getting his share of looks.
That should continue in Game 5. The Pittsburgh Penguins are once again playing an elimination game, which means they’ll rely heavily on Crosby.
Considering it’s also a home game for Pittsburgh, Head coach Dan Muse will control the matchups and be able to get Crosby some extra shifts away from Philly defenseman Travis Sanheim.
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Flyers vs Penguins Game 5 same-game parlay
Bryan Rust has hit the scoresheet in a remarkable 73% of his games this season following one day of rest. That number jumps to 80% when isolating home dates.
Rust leads the Penguins in high-danger chances during this series and is attached to the hip of Sidney Crosby in all situations, making him a real threat to produce.
Meanwhile, the Flyers have generated more chances with Travis Konecny on the ice than with any other forward on the team.
Flyers vs Penguins SGP
Sidney Crosby Over 2.5 shots
Bryan Rust Over 0.5 points
Travis Konecny Over 0.5 points
Flyers vs Penguins Game 5 goal scorer pick
Egor Chinakhkov (+285)
Although Egor Chinakhkov ranks first among all Penguins in shot attempts and scoring chances, he has zero goals or points to show for it.
Chinakhov was one of the league’s better finishers in the second half of the season and did his best work at home, where he’s found the back of the net in 10 of his past 20 games.
Flyers vs Penguins odds for Game 5
Moneyline: Flyers +120 | Penguins -140
Puck Line: Flyers +1.5 (-210) | Penguins -1.5 (+175)
Over/Under: Over 6 (+100) | Under 6 (-120)
Flyers vs Penguins trend
Sidney Crosby has recorded 3+ shots in 14 of his last 17 games against the Flyers. Find more NHL betting trends for Flyers vs. Penguins.
How to watch Flyers vs Penguins Game 5
Location
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Date
Monday, April 27, 2026
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN, Sportsnet
Flyers vs Penguins latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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