Todd Cordell
• Betting Analyst
12+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 28, 2026 , 05:02 PM ET
• 3 min read
Matt Boldy hasn’t hesitated to put rubber on net in this series, and our NHL betting picks are backing his shots on goal Over once again.
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Matt Boldy o3.5 Shots On Goal (+100)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Minnesota Wild left wing Matt Boldy gets ready for a face-off.
Matt Boldy has been a one-man shooting gallery, averaging 10 shot attempts per game through four meetings with the Dallas Stars.
My Wild vs. Stars predictions and NHL picks see Boldy piling up the shots once again in Game 5.
UPDATE:Â Added a prediction for who will win tonight.
Wild vs Stars Game 5 prediction
Who will win Wild vs Stars Game 5?
Stars: This series is all squared up despite the Stars scoring on only 3% of their shots at 5-on-5. Yes, 3%. They’ve recorded more chances and spent more time on the front foot, and that’ll pay off when their finishing rate normalizes.
Wild vs Stars best bet: Matt Boldy Over 3.5 shots (+100)
Matt Boldy has been the most consistent shooter in this series, generating at least nine attempts in all four games.
Boldy has averaged an incredible 5.3 shots on 10 attempts and cleared his 3.5 total in each of the four contests.
He actually produced more on the road in Dallas, combining for 13 shots on goal over the first two games. That likely stems from the Dallas Stars putting more focus on Kirill Kaprizov’s line.
Boldy has recorded at least four shots in 10 consecutive meetings with the Stars. Expect another busy night in a pivotal swing game.
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Wild vs Stars Game 5 same-game parlay
Wyatt Johnston has played more than any Stars forward through four games. He has made the most of his ice time, averaging 4.3 shots on goal while producing five points.
The Stars funnel him pucks in high-danger areas, and will have an easier time doing so while controlling matchups at home.
We’ll double dip on his line and back Mikko Rantanen to get a helper. He had the most productive playmaking season of his career and hasn’t slowed in the playoffs, recording four assists thus far.
Wild vs Stars SGP
Matt Boldy Over 3.5 shots
Wyatt Johnston Over 2.5 shots
Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 assists
Wild vs Stars Game 5 goal scorer pick
Wyatt Johnston (+130)
Johnston has recorded 17 scoring chances in the series, trailing only Jason Robertson. He lives around the net, and the Stars have done a great job at getting him the puck in those high-danger spaces.
Johnston has found the back of the net in four of his last five home games following two days of rest.
Wild vs Stars odds for Game 5
Moneyline: Minnesota +110 | Dallas -130
Puck line: Minnesota +1.5 (-230) | Dallas -1.5 (+190)
Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-120) | Under 5.5 (+100)
Wild vs Stars trend
Matt Boldy has piled up 56 shots on target over his last 10 games against Dallas. Find more NHL betting trends for Wild vs. Stars.
How to watch Wild vs Stars Game 5
Location
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date
Tuesday, April 28, 2026
Puck drop
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN2, Sportsnet 360
Wild vs Stars latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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