What’s at stake in this race

Members of the U.S. House of Representatives run for election every two years, putting all 52 California seats on the 2026 primary ballot. Democrats hope to leverage voter discontent with President Donald Trump and oust Republicans from control of the chamber. The road to a majority could run through California, where congressional districts were redrawn under Prop. 50. Five seats currently in Republican hands could flip to Democrats. Contests in Central Valley and San Diego County are on national watchlists of closest races in the country.

In Southern California, few races are considered to be competitive when it comes to which party’s candidate is like to win. We cover one race that fits that category, District 48, in depth below.

Follow the vote after polls close

Our limited-run newsletter Make It Make Sense unpacks the ballot count and results, then checks in regularly on officials voted into office and the measures voters pass.

A civics refresher

The House is one of two chambers of Congress, the other being the Senate. The House and Senate both draft, debate and pass bills that ultimately need approval from both chambers and a president’s signature to become law. The House has to initiate any bills that have to do with taxation, although the Senate can propose changes.

The House has a total of 435 representatives, each of whom represents a district. District lines are drawn so that each represents roughly the same number of people — 700,000 on average. Since California has the highest population in the country, the state’s 52 representatives are the most of any state. The job holder must:

Help craft legislation — though strictly speaking it is not a requirement.Persuade a majority of your 434 colleagues, or at least the leaders, that the specific concerns of your constituents should be a priority.Be in constant campaign mode, especially fundraising, because you have to run again in 2026 to keep the post.

Why these races matters

When voting, you’re not just thinking about who you want your representative to be, but how they would contribute to the overall makeup and political direction of the House of Representatives. The House’s ability to pass laws, cooperate with the president, or get anything done in general depends a lot on what those divisions look like — if there’s a Republican or Democratic majority, how large that majority is, and the ratio between moderates and those with farther right or farther left views. And often, bills are passed — or rejected — strictly along party lines.

Look up your district

District 48

Map shows District 48 which stretches from inland San Diego County up to the Coachella Valley

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Calmatters via Open Street Maps

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Partisan Lean: Leans Democratic

Voter Registration: Democratic 37%, Republican 33%, no party preference 22%

Democrats are targeting this San Diego-area seat currently held by Republican Rep. Darrell Issa. It covers most of East and North County San Diego and parts of Riverside County, including Palm Springs. Its voter makeup shifted from deep red to slightly blue under Prop. 50.

After Republican Rep. Darrell Issa announced his retirement on the eve of the deadline to file for the ballot, San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond quickly changed districts and instantly became the Republican favorite in the race. Two main Democrats are vying to challenge him: San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert and former Obama official Ammar Campa-Najjar, who are both trading barbs in their quest to challenge Desmond, who is expected to advance.

Candidates
Ammar Campa-Najjar

Party: Democratic
Occupation Navy Officer/Educator

Key Endorsements
Abel Chavez

Party: Democratic
Occupation: Teacher/School Boardmember

Stephen Clemons

Party: Democratic
Occupation: Energy Systems Executive

Corinna Contreras

Party: Democratic
Occupation: Vista City Councilmember

Jim Desmond

Party: Republican
Occupation: San Diego County Supervisor

Key endorsements

Kevin Patrick O’Neil

Party: Republican
Occupation: Computer Software Engineer

Ferguson Porter

Party: Democratic
Occupation: Small Business Owner

Luis F. Reyna

Party: No Party Preference
Occupation: Civil Rights Organizer

Brandon Riker

Party: Democratic
Occupation: Small Business Owner

Mike Schaefer

Party: Democratic
Occupation: Member Ca. Board of Equalization

Eric Shaw

Party: Democratic
Occupation: Digital Marketing Executive

Marni von Wilpert
Party: Democratic

Occupation: Councilwoman/Health Advocate

Key endorsements

Related Links

Read more about other competitive races

Calmatters has more details on: District 3 | District 4 | District 6 | District 7 | District 11 | District 14 | District 22

Use this lookup tool to find details about your district’s candidates:

Reporting by Gina Pollack for LAist in 2024 is included in this guide.