We look ahead to the
2025 FIFA Club World
Cup final with our Chelsea vs
PSG prediction and preview. Will the European champions add a world
title to their cabinet?
Chelsea vs
PSG
Stats: The Key Insights
The Opta
supercomputer is backing PSG to win the Club World Cup final,
giving them a 64.4% chance of doing so.
This will be the first major international final in men’s
football between clubs from England and France.
PSG have won their last five knockout matches in all
competitions by a combined score of 18-0.
It’s almost time for the FIFA Club World Cup final, the first
ever to be contested by two teams from the same continent.
That’s simply because this is the first time more than one
representative from a single continent has taken part, to be fair,
but it’ll be a historic moment, nonetheless.
Chelsea
take on Paris
Saint-Germain at MetLife Stadium in what will be the first
major international final contested between teams from England and
France.
Not many will have backed Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea to get this far
given the strength of the field at the start, but thanks to some
strong performances, a kind draw and being able to add a £60
million striker part-way through the tournament, they are now
within one game of glory.
Standing in their way are the European champions, and the newly
crowned best team in the world, at least according to the latest
Opta Power Rankings.
psg top the opta power rankings
Luis Enrique’s side have carried on the stellar form that saw
them win a treble (Ligue 1, Coupe de France and Champions League)
into the Club World Cup, though they did suffer a shock 1-0 loss to
Botafogo in the group stage. They have otherwise beaten
Atlético Madrid, Seattle Sounders, Inter Miami, Bayern Munich
and Real Madrid to reach the final, with an aggregate score of
16-0.
In fact, dating back to the Coupe de France final, PSG have won
their last five knockout matches in all competitions by an
aggregate score of 18-0, including outscoring opponents 10-0 across
their past three games at the 2025 Club World Cup.
They reached the final with a stunning dismantling of Real
Madrid, winning 4-0 at MetLife Stadium, having raced into a
three-goal lead inside 24 minutes.
Chelsea also had a hiccup against Brazilian opponents in the
group stage, losing 3-1 to Flamengo, but they have otherwise beaten
LAFC, ES Tunis, Benfica, Palmeiras and Fluminense en route to the
final.
The last time these two teams met was in the last 16 of the
2015-16 UEFA Champions League, which saw PSG advance 4-2 on
aggregate.
Chelsea will look to lean on their excellent recent record in
international finals, having won their last five (excluding UEFA
Super Cups) dating back to 2013. That includes their 4-1 win over
Real Betis in May’s UEFA Conference League Final. Their last
international final defeat came in their first FIFA Club World Cup
appearance, a 1-0 loss to Corinthians in 2012.
The first half could be pivotal considering how quickly PSG have
started some of their games, especially against Real Madrid. They
have scored 10 first-half goals in this year’s Club World Cup, only
Bayern (11) have more, while their 5.85 expected
goals (xG) generated before half-time is bettered by just
Manchester City (6.18).
However, they will come up against a Chelsea side who have not
conceded a first-half goal in this year’s tournament. In fact, they
have allowed opponents just 0.85 xG during the first half, lower
than any other team despite playing more matches than all but three
others.
Variety has been the spice of life for the Blues. Their last 10
goals at the Club World Cup (excluding own goals) have been scored
by nine different players, with new arrival João
Pedro the only one to score more than once in that time,
hitting both on his debut in the 2-0 semi-final win over
Fluminense.
João Pedro hit the ground running for his new club and has
scored seven goals in his last nine starts in all competitions for
Brighton and Chelsea. If he starts and scores another two on
Sunday, he will become the first player to score two or more goals
in each of his first two starts for a Premier League club since
fellow Brazilian Gabriel Martinelli for Arsenal in 2019.
Cole
Palmer will also be one PSG have to watch out for. Only two
players have created more chances from open play at this Club World
Cup than him (nine); in the semi-final against Fluminense, the
England international laid on three opportunities and completed all
27 of his passes, becoming only the second player at this year’s
tournament to create 3+ chances and maintain a 100% passing
accuracy (20+ passes attempted) after Rayan Aït-Nouri for Man City
in their win over Juventus.
PSG, of course, have plenty of dangermen themselves, with none
more productive than Ousmane
Dembélé. His goal and assist in the thrashing of Real Madrid in
his first start of the tournament took him to 36 goal involvements
in 2025 (27 goals, 9 assists), at least five more than any other
player from Europe’s top five leagues since the turn of the
year.
Bradley
Barcola will hope he can convince Luis Enrique to start him.
Despite only starting 26 of PSG’s 41 games in 2025, Barcola has 18
assists to his name this calendar year, four more than any other
player for a side in Europe’s top five leagues. He is averaging an
assist every 129 minutes in 2025.
It has very much been a team effort from the Parisians, and
Vitinha
has been a standout performer in midfield. The Portuguese star has
completed at least 100 passes in five matches at this year’s Club
World Cup; the only other player to complete 100 passes in more
than one match is Chelsea’s
Tosin Adarabioyo (2).
Chelsea vs
PSG
Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain are the favourites to win the final,
according to the Opta supercomputer. The French giants beat Chelsea
in 64.4% of its 10,000 pre-match simulations, and do so inside 90
minutes in 42.2%.
The Premier League side are successful in 35.6% of sims, and win
in normal time in 31.4%. The game has a 26.4% chance of going to
extra-time and potentially penalties.
Chelsea
vs PSG Squads
Chelsea
Robert Sánchez, Marc Cucurella, Tosin Adarabioyo, Benoît
Badiashile, Levi Colwill, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernández, Liam Delap,
Cole Palmer, Noni Madueke, Filip Jörgensen, Dário Essugo, Nicolas
Jackson, Andrey Santos, Christopher Nkunku, Mamadou Sarr, Kiernan
Dewsbury-Hall, Trevoh Chalobah, Reece James, Moisés Caicedo, Malo
Gusto, Aarón Anselmino, Tyrique George, Josh Acheampong, Marc Guiu,
Mike Penders, Gabriel Slonina, Roméo Lavia, João Pedro.
Head Coach: Enzo Maresca
Paris Saint-Germain
Gianluigi Donnarumma, Achraf Hakimi, Presnel Kimpembe, Lucas
Beraldo, Marquinhos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Fabián Ruiz, Gonçalo
Ramos, Ousmane Dembele, Désiré Doué, Vitinha, Lee Kang-in, Gabriel
Moscardo, Lucas Hernandez, Senny Mayulu, Nuno Mendes, Bradley
Barcola, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Matvey Safonov, Yoram Zague, Noham
Kamara, Naoufel El Hannach, Ibrahim Mbaye, Lucas Lavallée, Willian
Pacho, Arnau Tenas, João Neves.
Head Coach: Luis Enrique
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta
Power Rankings are a global team ranking system.
They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football
teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is
the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the
world.
Ahead of kick-off, here are the Opta Power Rankings for both
sides.
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