WNBA Betting Preview: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury
The Chicago Sky face the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Friday, May 15.
We’re Confident Mercury Will Get Job Done
There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Mercury at -4.5. We can get odds of -110 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome the Sky.
8 Wins for Mercury in Past 10 H2H Games
Chicago Sky won their previous game 69-63. This was a road victory at Chase Center against Golden State Valkyries.
Phoenix Mercury lost when they last took to the court. At Mortgage Matchup Center, they were turned over 88-84 at home to Minnesota Lynx.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last matchup between the Mercury and the Sky saw the former win. It was a 83-79 scoreline at Mortgage Matchup Center. The Mercury have seven straight wins against the Sky. They’ve also claimed 8 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.
Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks
Our expert Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.
Game Prediction
Get with Mercury with a -4.5 spread. We like this pick and are backing the favorites at odds of -110 to enjoy a solid victory in this WNBA showdown.
Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date WNBA stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.
Key Sky vs Mercury stats:
The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sky in 14 of their last 20 games.The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sky in 6 of their last 10 games.The -4.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games against Sky.Mercury -4.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
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Our Game Prediction
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:02, 15 May 2026
Player Prop Picks
Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) is available at -119 to record Under 16.5 points. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.
Latest Skylar Diggins-Smith Player Prop Odds
Points
Assists
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) can be backed to secure Over 10.5 rebounds at +110. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.
Latest Kamilla Cardoso Player Prop Odds
Points
Rebounds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re going for the Mercury to win by a 84-75 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.
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Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Mercury Have the Shortest Odds to Win
With the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability of winning this WNBA game, Phoenix Mercury might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -208 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Chicago Sky, you will find +168 about the underdogs.
The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 165.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 165.5 at -110.
You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every women’s hoops matchup, with the top basketball sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Kahleah Copper Favorite to Score the Most Baskets
Kahleah Copper is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -123 that she goes Over 18.5 points and -104 when it comes to Under.
Player Points
Kahleah Copper (Mercury)
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky)
Rickea Jackson (Sky)
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)
DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)
Player Assists
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky)
Player Rebounds
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Chicago Sky Stats
Phoenix Mercury Stats
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
+4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
+4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
-4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
-4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 165.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.70 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.20 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 165.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 home games
Expert Analysis by Jason Stewart
Senior WNBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Senior WNBA Analyst Jason Stewart delivers research-driven WNBA predictions built on advanced efficiency metrics, odds and line movement analysis along with a long-term probability-based approach. A regular presence at Chicago Sky home games, he combines on-site insight with data-led evaluation to identify value.
WNBA Predictions Methodology
Our WNBA analysis highlights execution and team defense, blending injuries and lineup data with recent results and market movement. We use advanced metrics such as rebounding rates, defensive efficiency, assist percentages and true shooting percentages (TS%) to assess value in a league often characterised by structured half-court play and defensive discipline.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
Where to Bet
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on May 15, 02:02 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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