WNBA Betting Preview: Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty
The Golden State Valkyries face the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, May 21.
The Teams Might Struggle to Score Big
There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 169.5, so we’re prepared to take the -112 that the Valkyries and the Liberty go under the line.
66-58 Valkyries Win When Teams Last Clashed
Golden State Valkyries were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Chicago Sky by a 69-63 scoreline at Chase Center.
New York Liberty won their last game 100-82. This was a road victory at Moda Center against Portland Fire.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Valkyries triumphed 66-58 when they last played the Liberty. This head-to-head was played at Chase Center. The Liberty have triumphed in three of the previous 4 clashes between these teams.
3
Liberty
3
1
400
348
52
1-0
2-1
1W
4
Valkyries
2
1
249
228
21
1-1
1-0
1L
Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks
Take on Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.
Game Prediction
We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -112 that there are Under 169.5 points in this WNBA game.
Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date WNBA stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.
Key Valkyries vs Liberty stats:
The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Valkyries games.The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Valkyries games.The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Liberty games at home.The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.Under 169.5 Probability
If you go by the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.9% chance of landing a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
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Our Game Prediction
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Published 00:02, 21 May 2026
Correct Score Prediction
Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back the Liberty to win 87-77 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.
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Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Liberty Big Favorites on the Moneyline
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have New York Liberty as -294 favorites for this WNBA game, implying that they are 75% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +225 about Golden State Valkyries.
The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 168.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 168.5 at -108.
Consider every angle when placing your women’s hoops wagers. The best basketball betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Player Props & Micro Betting
You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Golden State Valkyries Stats
New York Liberty Stats
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
+7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
+7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
-7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
-7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 150.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 169.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 76.60 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 79.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 166.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 169.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 81.00 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 79.50 pts in the last 10 home games
Expert Analysis by Jason Stewart
Senior WNBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Senior WNBA Analyst Jason Stewart delivers research-driven WNBA predictions built on advanced efficiency metrics, odds and line movement analysis along with a long-term probability-based approach. A regular presence at Chicago Sky home games, he combines on-site insight with data-led evaluation to identify value.
WNBA Predictions Methodology
Our WNBA analysis highlights execution and team defense, blending injuries and lineup data with recent results and market movement. We use advanced metrics such as rebounding rates, defensive efficiency, assist percentages and true shooting percentages (TS%) to assess value in a league often characterised by structured half-court play and defensive discipline.
Full Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on May 21, 00:02 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.
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