The United States has an 85% chance of making it to the Round of 32 in the 2026 World Cup. They are in Group D; their first match is against Paraguay on June 12 in Los Angeles.
If they win the group, they’ll play a third-place team from Groups B, E, F, I or J in their first knockout game in San Francisco on July 1.
If they get second, they’ll play the Group G runner-up in Dallas on July 3.
If they advance as a third-place team, they’ll play a group winner from Group E, I or K in Boston, Kansas City or New York.
The tables below represent a schedule of World Cup matches. Pick a winner and see what happens to the United States’ chances. As you pick winners, the colors on some games and outcomes will change.
Better for the U.S. Doesn’t matter Worse for the U.S.
Matches outside Group D only impact the qualification chances of teams who finish in third place. Show me all matches.
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