Updated:
Jul 6, 2026 , 10:02 AM ET
• 4 min read
Mystics cover the spread against the red-hot Valkyries!
EXPERT PICK – SPREAD
Washington +5.5 (-105)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Kiki Iriafen of the Washington Mystics WNBA
The Golden State Valkyries are 5.5-point favorites tonight when they visit CareFirst Arena to face the Washington Mystics.
With the spread steamed to 5.5 points, my Valkyries vs. Mystics predictions expect the home team to cover that number in a low-scoring affair.
Read on for my free WNBA picks for Monday, July 6.
Valkyries vs Mystics prediction
Valkyries vs Mystics best bet: Mystics +5.5 (-105)
The market steamed the Golden State Valkyries from -4.5 to -5.5, and that’s a massive overadjustment and a mistake.
Golden State chokes the tempo with a league-slowest 91.89 pace and allowed just 76.6 points per game over their last five. Points will be at a premium.
The Washington Mystics stay inside this number by doing what they do best: hammering the ball inside for nearly 43 points per game, while Golden State’s defense has leaked 36.0 points in the paint over their past five games.
Play the Mystics to cover at +5 or better.
COVERS INTEL: Over the last five games, the Mystics have been crashing the defensive glass, posting a fourth-best 71.4% defensive rebounding percentage.
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Valkyries vs Mystics same-game parlay
The Valkyries have won all four previous meetings with Washington, and it will be their league-leading defense and snail-paced offense (91.89) that lead to a victory over Washington in a low-scoring affair.
Washington plays at the 10th-slowest pace, leading scorer Sonia Citron has been hobbled by an injury, and why I’ve added the Under to this card.
Mystics forward Kiki Iriafen has grabbed at least 9 rebounds in four straight games, and we’ll add her rebounding total, as Golden State allows 33.5 rebounds per game.
Valkyries vs Mystics SGP
Valkyries moneyline
Under 156.6
Kiki Iriafen Over 8.5 rebounds
Phil Naessens’ 2026 Transparency Record
Best bet: 9-8, -0.57 units
SGP: 4-13, +0.40 units
Player prop: 0-4, -4.0 units
Valkyries vs Mystics odds
Spread: Valkyries -5.5 (-115) | Mystics +5.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Valkyries -220 | Mystics +180
Over/Under: Over 156.5 | Under 156.5
Valkyries vs Mystics trend
The Under is 4-6 across the Mystics’ last 10 games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Valkryies vs Mystics
Location
Entertainment and Sports Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date
Monday, July 6, 2026
Tip-off
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
CBS News Sacramento, Monumental Sports Network
Valkyries vs Mystics latest injuries
Valkyries: Iliana Rupert (Out).
Mystics: Sonia Citron (GTD).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.
Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports.
His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.
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