Erin now a Category 2 storm, staying east of the United States
The first hurricane and the first major hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
COMPANY. WELL, HURRICANE ERIN IS STILL A VERY, VERY POTENT STORM, EVEN THOUGH IT’S CAT TO THE WINDS, SAY 100MPH. IT IS A VERY LARGE, EXPANSIVE STORM ABOUT 600 MILES IN DIAMETER. FOR THE MAIN PART OF IT ALL THE FEEDER BANDS TO EVERYTHING ALTOGETHER COULD BE WELL OVER 1000 MILES, BUT REALLY IT’S GOING TO BE VERY, VERY STRONG STORM WITH BIG WAVES AND A HEFTY STORM SURGE. SO HERE’S A LOOK AT WHAT’S JUST HAPPENED. A LITTLE BIT BETTER ORGANIZATION TO IT. THERE’S A CHANCE IF WE GET AN EYEWALL TO FORM, WE HAVE FURTHER STRENGTHENING FROM HERE. AND THERE IS A STRENGTHENING FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. AND THAT WIDE VIEW, YOU CAN SEE THOSE FEEDER BANDS ALL THE WAY FROM JAMAICA TO ALL THE WAY ALREADY NEAR BERMUDA, INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC TO. HERE’S A LOOK AT THE LATEST TRACKS FOR CATEGORY TWO. BUT THE WINDS STRENGTHENING TO 110. AGAIN, NOT JUST THE CATEGORY OF THE STORM AND THE WIND SPEEDS, BUT IT’S EVERYTHING TO COME WITH IT. STORM SURGE WAVES. YOU’RE GOING TO HAVE A LOT OF THIS COMING UP TO THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IN THE MID-ATLANTIC AND BERMUDA, TOO. WE’RE ALSO TRACKING TROPICAL WAVES, A MEDIUM CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT, A LOW CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT. THE THING IS, THIS STORM, WHEN IT REACHES THE ZONE OF POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT TO IT, IT’S NOT GOING TO HAVE MUCH TIME TO DEVELOP FURTHER. AND THIS ZONE ONLY HAS A COUPLE MORE DAYS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IT REACHES AN AREA WHERE THE CONDITIONS WON’T BE AS FAVORABLE. A LOT OF WIND SHEAR AND OTHER FACTORS COMING INTO PLAY. SO WHEN YOU CHECK OUT THE FORECAST DATA AND YOU SEE JUST EXPANSIVE STORMS HERE, NOTHING ORGANIZED WHATSOEVER. DISORGANIZED STORMS WITH THE WAVE AS IT MOVES CLOSER, LESSER ANTILLES BY FRIDAY, THIS IS THE ONE CHANCE AS IT MOVES INTO THAT ZONE. SO IT’S SEVERAL DAYS FROM NOW. THAT’S WHY THE 60% CHANCE 3 TO 7 DAYS WE’RE LOOKING AT SUNDAY MORNING. BUT YOU KNOW WHAT? THAT’S TRACKING FARTHER NORTH. AND THAT BENDS AND CURVES. AND WE DON’T HAVE ANY CHANCE. IT REACHES HERE THE OTHER SYSTEM YOU SEE AT THE BEGINNING THE POSSIBLE ORGANIZATION. BUT AS IT REACHES THIS AREA OF THE ATLANTIC CLOSE TO SOUTH AMERICA, THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, I DON’T SEE ANYTHING COMING TOGETHER AT ALL. THE TEN DAY FORECAST SHOWS THERE COULD BE ANOTHER FRONT THAT’S HERE, BUT THE LONG RANGE FORECAST SHOWS WE’LL HAVE TO WATCH AGAIN WHERE WE’RE DEVELOPING SYSTEMS RIGHT NOW. BUT YOU SEE, IT’S ALMOST A WEST NORTHWEST MOVEMENT TO THEN AN AREA OF CONCERN. THIS IS THE ONE FOR ME. WHEN WE GO TO THE THIRD WEEK. THAT’S THE WEEK AFTER NEXT TO THE WEEK AFTER THAT, WEDNESDAY TO WEDNESDAY TO TUESDAY. AND THEN THE ZONE HERE SHOWN CARIBBEAN INTO THE GULF SHOWS MORE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE TAKING IN CONTROL. AND IT WOULD FORCE THAT STORM MORE INTO MEXICO. I MENTIONED THE THINGS WE STILL HAVE TO LOOK FOR AARON HERE, AND IT’S GOING TO BE ALL IN THE WAY OF WINDS. LET’S LOOK AT THE WINDS HERE IN THE FORECAST. THEY’RE NOT GOING TO BE ALL THAT BAD. AND THAT’S MAYBE A GOOD PART OF THE STORM HERE. YOU SEE THAT. WE’VE GOT WINDS HERE. NAGS HEAD INTO CAPE HATTERAS 37 MILE PER HOUR WIND GUSTS. BUT LOOK AT THAT WIND FIELD CLOSE TO THE STORM. WINDS EXTEND OUT 80 MILES. THE HURRICANE FORCE. BUT LOOKS LIKE. AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUT 230 MILES. BUT THE WAVE FORECAST, POSSIBLY UP 40FT, 20FT. SO THIS MEANS THOSE BUILDINGS, THOSE STRUCTURES RIGHT ON BEACHES, THEY COULD BE JEOPARDY AT 23 FOOT WAVES COMING IN. NOW, AS FOR THE STORM SURGE, THIS IS SOMETHING A LITTLE BIT BETTER, BUT STILL SOMETHING YOU DON’T LIKE TO SEE. YOU SEE PEAK STORM SURGE HERE COULD BE UPWARDS OF THE ORDER OF 3 TO 6FT IN THE ZONE, RIGHT THROUGH THE OUTER BANKS IN A COUPLE THREE FEET, EXTENDING PRETTY EXPANSIVELY ALL THE WAY FROM NEAR REHOBOTH BEACH AND THE EASTERN SHORE, DELAWARE, ALL THE WAY DOWN TO EVEN SOUTH CAROLINA, TOO. SO RIGHT NOW, THE TAKEAWAY THAT WE SHOULD TAKE, THOUGH, FROM ALL THIS DATA AND EVERYTHING I’VE JUST WENT THROUGH, WE LOOK TO BE PRETTY GOOD. NOTHING IMMEDIATELY COMING OUR WAY ANYTIME SOON, AND THAT COULD TAKE US ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE KATRINA ANNIVERSARY TO SOMETHING I’VE BEEN SAYING FOR OVER A WEEK NOW. WE LOOK TOWARDS TOMORROW, AND IT’S ABOUT A 30% CHANCE OF A DAYTIME STORM. BUT LOOK NORTH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. COULD HAVE A ROUND OF SOME STORMS MOVING THROUGH, SO THAT’S ABOUT A 3,040% CHANCE. IT’S THE HEAT 92, 95, 94. COULD FEEL AS HOT AS 110. THAT’S THE ADVISORY. THAT’S THE IMPACT DAY. YOU CAN SEE THE AREAS HAVE BEEN REMOVED. MORE STORMS THURSDAY COULD KEEP TEMPS DOWN A NOTCH AND I’LL KEEP SCATTE
Erin now a Category 2 storm, staying east of the United States
The first hurricane and the first major hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
Updated: 10:29 PM CDT Aug 19, 2025
Erin is a category 2 hurricane but it has weakened just a bit. The storm is moving NNW at 12 mph with winds at 100 mph.Erin went through an extreme rapid intensification over the weekend. It went from a tropical storm on Friday morning to a major category 5 hurricane north of the Leeward Islands on Saturday morning. Hurricane Erin is expected to stay over open water, but will lash parts of the Mid-Atlantic coast and Bermuda.TROPICAL ALERTS:A TROPICAL STORM WARNING is in effect for most of the Outer Banks in North Carolina from Duck, south to just northeast of Wilmington at the Beaufort Inlet as gusty winds and storm squalls are possible. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH is in effect from Duck, North Carolina in the Outer Banks, to Norfolk, and farther north to the Easter Shore of Maryland. A STORM SURGE WARNING is in effect from Duck, North Carolina and south through the Outer Banks to just east of Beaufort, North Carolina. IMPACTS TO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA:None
Erin is a category 2 hurricane but it has weakened just a bit. The storm is moving NNW at 12 mph with winds at 100 mph.
Erin went through an extreme rapid intensification over the weekend. It went from a tropical storm on Friday morning to a major category 5 hurricane north of the Leeward Islands on Saturday morning.
Hurricane Erin is expected to stay over open water, but will lash parts of the Mid-Atlantic coast and Bermuda.
TROPICAL ALERTS:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING is in effect for most of the Outer Banks in North Carolina from Duck, south to just northeast of Wilmington at the Beaufort Inlet as gusty winds and storm squalls are possible.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH is in effect from Duck, North Carolina in the Outer Banks, to Norfolk, and farther north to the Easter Shore of Maryland.
A STORM SURGE WARNING is in effect from Duck, North Carolina and south through the Outer Banks to just east of Beaufort, North Carolina.
IMPACTS TO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA:
None