The 2025 NASCAR Playoffs roll on to their third race with the 2025 Bass Pro Shops Night Race on Saturday. Held at Bristol Motor Speedway, this event takes place on a 0.533-miles concrete track. Chase Briscoe and Denny Hamlin prevailed at the first two Cup Series Playoff races, while Kyle Larson won the spring NASCAR Bristol race and is the +250 favorite for Saturday. Hamlin is second on the Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds board at +500 as he’s a three-time victor at this event, with the last win coming in 2023.

Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell are both at +850 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Bristol odds. Briscoe is the only driver with top-3 finishes in each of the first two playoff events, and the latest NASCAR Bristol props have him at +260 to secure a third straight top 3. Meanwhile, Bubba Wallace has notched sixth and eighth-place finishes in the playoff events and is at -125 to nab a third straight top 10 placement.

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The green flag will drop at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, and the race is scheduled for 500 laps around the four-turn oval that opened in 1961. Before making any NASCAR at Bristol predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Bass Pro Shops Night Race picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated Saturday’s 2025 Bass Pro Shops Night Race 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.

McClure’s model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott’s win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then it went on to predict Kyle Larson in Miami (+350), Christopher Bell’s NASCAR All-Star Race win (+600), Denny Hamlin’s win in Michigan (+650), Shane van Gisbergen’s win in Mexico City (+330), Elliott’s win in Atlanta (+1500) and van Gisbergen again in Chicago (+150), Sonoma (+125) and Watkins Glen (+135).

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 27 winners since 2021 and has hit nine winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Bristol 2025 and released its projections.

For Saturday’s 2025 Bass Pro Shops Night Race, we can tell you the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a longshot at +1800 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Bristol odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It’s also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for this weekend: Chase Elliott finishes top 3 for a +300 payout. He’s a potentially a strong value pick for your Bristol NASCAR prop bets.

The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with odds of 16-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

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