The clay courts of ATP Bastad provide a slower-paced reset for players looking to recalibrate after a hectic grass season. With a blend of tour veterans and clay-court specialists in the draw, early-round matches often come down to form, grit, and patience. Day 4 features some intriguing matchups, each with its own potential for surprises. As always, we here at LWOT bring you predictions for all matches on offer. Who do you back to progress?
ATP Bastad Day 4 Predictions
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Botic van de Zandschulp
Head-to-Head: first meeting
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has picked up a couple of solid wins lately and tends to thrive on clay when he finds rhythm. Van de Zandschulp has had a rocky season overall, but still has the weapons to control points if his timing is on. This is their first meeting, and if Carabelli extends the rallies, it could lean his way.
Prediction: van de Zandschulp in 3
Filip Misolic vs Nuno Borges
Head-to-Head: first meeting
Misolic has come through qualifying with confidence and looked sharp in recent matches. Borges has been more consistent across the season, especially on clay, where his court coverage and timing shine. They haven’t faced each other before, and it could come down to who handles the longer exchanges with more patience.
Prediction: Borges in 2
Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur
Head-to-Head: first meeting
Hugo Gaston’s variety can make life uncomfortable, particularly on slower clay, where his drop shots and angles do more damage. Dzumhur brings plenty of experience and has the ability to disrupt rhythm if he finds his range. If Gaston doesn’t start cleanly, this one has all the ingredients to turn into a long, scrappy affair.
Prediction: Gaston in 3
Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone
Head-to-Head: Navone 1–0 Cerundolo
Cerundolo has proven clay-court credentials and a solid track record in Bastad, but Navone has quietly compiled strong results on the surface this year. Both play heavy, grinding baseline tennis and can go deep into rallies. If Navone settles in quickly, this could be much tighter than their rankings would suggest.
Prediction: Navone in 3
Main Photo Credit: David Kirouac – USA TODAY Sports