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Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Kansas Fantasy Outlook – At Kansas, I would view Ricky Stenhouse Jr. as a mid-pack at best driver and even then, he’s risky. The #47 team has tanked in the results column in the second half of the season so it’s hard to see upside now. That said, he’s been good at high-speed 1.5’s this year and over the combined races he has a 13.5 average finish, but his worst finish actually came here when he finished 19th this spring. Keep in mind, all of those were visited pre-June before the #47 team really went south.
Kansas History – In the Next Gen at Kansas, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has a 19.4 average finish and ranks 22nd in terms of Next Gen Speed Rankings. This spring, Stenhouse was simply mid-pack. In the race, Stenhouse finished 19th, had a 27.8 average running position and ranked 27th in terms of Speed Rankings. I’ll note, he did get a pit penalty during the opening green flag pit cycle while running in the low 20’s but that ultimately wasn’t a big deal. Last fall, Stenhouse finished 28th, had a 21.7 average running position and ranked 23rd in terms of Total Speed Rankings. Last spring, Stenhouse had a solid showing by his standards. In the race, Stenhouse finished 16th, had a 19.1 average running position and ranked 20th in terms of Total Speed Rankings. In fall 2023, Stenhouse had a not-so-great afternoon and finished 23rd. In spring 2023, Stenhouse started 33rd but raced his way to a 12th.
Erik Jones
Kansas Fantasy Outlook – At Kansas, it’s hard to say what we’ll get out of Erik Jones. His results are all across the board at high-speed intermediate tracks this year but in the two most recent races on this track type he’s come home with good finishes of 11th (Michigan) and 13th (Charlotte). For the season at high-speed 1.5’s + Michigan, Jones has a 17.6 average finish and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking ranks 20th. Heading into the weekend, I would view Jones as a mid-pack driver.
Kansas History – Kansas hasn’t been pretty for Erik Jones and going back to 2020 #2, he’s finished 20th or worse in 8 of the last 9 races. In the Next Gen, Jones has a 25.3 average finish, he’s 5 for 6 at finishing 21st or worse and his Next Gen Speed Ranking is 26th. This spring, Jones had an afternoon to forget. In the race, Jones finished 32nd, had a 26th place average running position and ranked 30th in terms of Total Speed Rankings. I would like to say he had a problem but unfortunately, he was just bad. Last fall, Jones had an ugly showing and finished 35th. I’ll note, Jones did bring out a caution when he spun on lap 98, but he was back in 31st when that happened. Additionally, Jones had a 32.8 average running position and ranked 29th in terms of Total Speed Rankings. Last spring, Jones missed the race due to injury. In fall 2023, Jones had a stellar showing. In the race, Jones finished 6th in Stage #2 and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. I’ll note, he was in 6th before the late caution came out. Additionally, Jones had a 9.4 average running position and had the 7th best Total Speed Ranking.
Shane van Gisbergen
Kansas Fantasy Outlook – At Kansas, Shane van Gisbergen will likely just be mid-pack at best with no further upside. That’s exactly how he ran this spring en route to a 20th and at best he’ll likely just be marginally better than that. Michigan is the next most recent high-speed intermediate track visited and at that venue he finished 18th.
Kansas History – This spring at Kansas in his only Cup start at this mid-west track, SVG finished 20th, had a 28.5 average running position and ranked 34th in terms of Total Speed Rankings.
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