The race for the Premier League title is starting to heat up as Arsenal see their lead over Manchester City slashed to just two points, while Manchester United eye up Champions League qualification for 2026/27
Mikel Arteta is chasing a Premier League title with Arsenal(Image: Getty Images)
Arsenal will win the Premier League four points clear of Manchester City by season’s end, if the latest supercomputer prediction rings true. Mikel Arteta’s Gunners managed a scrappy 2-1 win over Wolves at the weekend in a match that was filled with late drama.
Sam Johnstone put Arsenal ahead by putting the ball into the back of his own net after 70 minutes, before Tolu Arokodare equalised for the visitors on the 90 minute mark. While Rob Edwards then looked set to take a point from his side’s endeavours at the Emirates Stadium, fate had other plans for the encounter.
That’s because Yerson Mosquera also scored an own goal in the game’s dying embers, which saw Wolves make the long trip back to the Midlands empty-handed. As a result of their win, as well as Manchester City’s 3-0 thrashing of Crystal Palace on Sunday, Arsenal sit just two points clear of Pep Guardiola’s Cityzens at the top of the Premier League table.
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However, if the predictions made by Aceodds‘ supercomputer, BETSiE, ring true, that gap will widen ever so slightly come the end of the current campaign. According to the number-crunching piece of software, Arsenal will finish their season with 81 points, and have been handed a 67.7% chance of winning the league.
If correct, it would see the North London outfit clinch their first league title in over two decades – their last coming in the form of Arsene Wenger’s remarkable 2003/04 ‘Invincibles’ campaign. BETSiE also believes that City will accrue 77 points (76.7 rounded up) for their efforts this season, with their probability of winning the league standing at just 28.5%.
It will come as a tough pill to swallow for Guardiola if correct, considering the Spaniard demands excellence from his side, having clinched six top flight titles, nine domestic cups and a Champions League during his nine-year tenure to date.
Despite a mix-bag of results this term after a summer of spending, defending champions Liverpool are predicted to finish third in the league by BETSiE come the end of the season, with a total of 67 points (67.3 rounded down). It’s a stark contrast to the position that Arne Slot currently finds his team in, given they sit seventh in the standings as a result of eight wins, two draws and six losses.
Pep Guardiola is looking for a seventh league title(Image: Offside via Getty Images)
Ruben Amorim’s Manchester United, meanwhile, are predicted to miss out on automatic Champions League qualification for 2026/27 if the software is accurate. BETSiE currently has the Red Devils down to finish fifth in the Premier League a point clear of a high-flying Aston Villa; again, a polar opposite state of affairs to last season’s lacklustre 15th place end to the season.
Here’s how BETSiE sees the Premier League table come season’s end, based off the most recent round of results:
ArsenalManchester CityLiverpoolChelseaManchester UnitedAston VillaCrystal PalaceBrighton and Hove AlbionNewcastle UnitedTottenham HotspurAFC BournemouthEvertonBrentfordSunderland AFCNottingham ForestFulhamLeeds UnitedWest Ham UnitedBurnleyWolverhampton Wanderers
To come to the predictions, BETSiE simulated the league seasons 100,000 times. The supercomputer takes into account all match results from this pre-season and the current season, projecting the the season based on both pre-season expectations, fixture difficulty and xG earned both for and against during the season.
It now also integrates team financial data and player values from Transfermarkt. This additional layer of data provides a more nuanced understanding of team capabilities and potential performance variations.
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Sky has slashed the price of its Essential TV and Sky Sports bundle ahead of the 2025/26 season, saving members £192 and offering more than 1,400 live matches across the Premier League, EFL and more.
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