Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego will lock horns in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open on Wednesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers’ proven tennis model projects Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner of the Musetti vs. Sonego match.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday’s match, including best bets and picks.

Musetti vs. Sonego prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday’s Musetti-Sonego men’s singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Musetti a 73% chance of winning against Sonego in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Musetti has a 68% chance of winning the first set, while the under 38.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

 

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type
Musetti
Sonego

Moneyline
-296
+240

First Set
-200
+162

Total Games
o38.5 (-110)
u38.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Musetti vs. Sonego picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: