Feb 6, 2026
IndexBox has just published a new report: U.S. – Crude Rape, Colza Or Mustard Oil – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.
The US market for crude rape, colza, or mustard oil saw significant growth in 2024, with consumption rising 30% to 2.2M tons and market revenue reaching $2.4B. Domestic production was 773K tons, heavily supplemented by imports of 1.5M tons, almost exclusively from Canada. Exports fell sharply to 14K tons. The market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of +1.0% in volume to 2.5M tons by 2035 and +2.5% in value to $3.1B, indicating a deceleration in growth performance over the next decade.
Key Findings
US market consumption surged 30% to 2.2M tons in 2024, driven by strong demandForecast predicts slower growth at +1.0% volume CAGR to 2.5M tons by 2035Market heavily import-dependent, with Canada supplying 99% of 1.5M ton importsDomestic production of 773K tons is insufficient to meet consumption, creating a large supply gapExports declined sharply by -62.6% to 14K tons, with Chile as the primary destinationMarket Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for crude rape, colza or mustard oil in the United States, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.0% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2.5M tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.5% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $3.1B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
ConsumptionUnited States’s Consumption of Crude Rape, Colza Or Mustard Oil
In 2024, consumption of crude rape, colza or mustard oil increased by 30% to 2.2M tons, rising for the third year in a row after two years of decline. Overall, consumption posted buoyant growth. Over the period under review, consumption attained the maximum volume in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.
The revenue of the crude rapeseed oil market in the United States reached $2.4B in 2024, picking up by 11% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption saw buoyant growth. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.
ProductionUnited States’s Production of Crude Rape, Colza Or Mustard Oil
Crude rapeseed oil production in the United States reached 773K tons in 2024, rising by 4.1% against the year before. In general, production showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 35% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 951K tons. From 2017 to 2024, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, crude rapeseed oil production declined slightly to $990M in 2024. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a slight expansion from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production decreased by -6.4% against 2022 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 39%. Crude rapeseed oil production peaked at $1.1B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production failed to regain momentum.
ImportsUnited States’s Imports of Crude Rape, Colza Or Mustard Oil
In 2024, overseas purchases of crude rape, colza or mustard oil increased by 45% to 1.5M tons, rising for the fourth consecutive year after four years of decline. Over the period under review, imports showed prominent growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2023 when imports increased by 78% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2024 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.
In value terms, crude rapeseed oil imports expanded rapidly to $1.6B in 2024. Overall, imports posted a strong expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 212%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2024 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.
Imports By Country
In 2024, Canada (1.4M tons) was the main crude rapeseed oil supplier to the United States, with a approx. 99% share of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume from Canada amounted to +14.1%.
In value terms, Canada ($1.6B) constituted the largest supplier of crude rape, colza or mustard oil to the United States.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Canada stood at +13.5%.
Import Prices By Country
The average crude rapeseed oil import price stood at $1,099 per ton in 2024, falling by -23.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average import price increased by 93%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum at $1,661 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.
As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for Canada.
From 2013 to 2024, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Canada amounted to -0.6% per year.
ExportsUnited States’s Exports of Crude Rape, Colza Or Mustard Oil
In 2024, approx. 14K tons of crude rape, colza or mustard oil were exported from the United States; waning by -62.6% compared with the previous year. In general, exports recorded a abrupt decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 66%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at 74K tons in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2024, the exports failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, crude rapeseed oil exports shrank rapidly to $19M in 2024. Over the period under review, exports showed a abrupt curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 166%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $86M. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.
Exports By Country
Chile (8.9K tons) was the main destination for crude rapeseed oil exports from the United States, accounting for a 65% share of total exports. Moreover, crude rapeseed oil exports to Chile exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Mexico (2K tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Canada (1.4K tons), with a 10% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Chile totaled -12.9%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Mexico (-8.7% per year) and Canada (-28.6% per year).
In value terms, Chile ($12M) emerged as the key foreign market for crude rape, colza or mustard oil exports from the United States, comprising 63% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Mexico ($2.7M), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by Canada, with a 12% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of value to Chile stood at -6.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Mexico (-6.6% per year) and Canada (-26.4% per year).
Export Prices By Country
In 2024, the average crude rapeseed oil export price amounted to $1,415 per ton, dropping by -5.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, enjoyed a slight expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 61%. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure at $1,500 per ton in 2023, and then dropped in the following year.
There were significant differences in the average prices for the major external markets. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the Dominican Republic ($1,783 per ton), while the average price for exports to South Korea ($560 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Chile (+7.4%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.
Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform
This report provides a comprehensive view of the crude rapeseed oil industry in the United States, tracking demand, supply, and trade flows across the national value chain. It explains how demand across key channels and end-use segments shapes consumption patterns, while also mapping the role of input availability, production efficiency, and regulatory standards on supply.
Beyond headline metrics, the study benchmarks prices, margins, and trade routes so you can see where value is created and how it moves between domestic suppliers and international partners. The analysis is designed to support strategic planning, market entry, portfolio prioritization, and risk management in the crude rapeseed oil landscape in the United States.
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Key findings
Domestic demand is shaped by both household and industrial usage, with trade flows linking local supply to imports and exports.
Pricing dynamics reflect unit values, freight costs, exchange rates, and regulatory shifts that affect sourcing decisions.
Supply depends on input availability and production efficiency, creating a distinct national cost curve.
Market concentration varies by segment, creating different competitive landscapes and entry barriers.
The 2035 outlook highlights where capacity investment and demand growth are most aligned within the country.
Report scope
The report combines market sizing with trade intelligence and price analytics for the United States. It covers both historical performance and the forward outlook to 2035, allowing you to compare cycles, structural shifts, and policy impacts.
Market size and growth in value and volume terms
Consumption structure by end-use segments
Production capacity, output, and cost dynamics
Trade flows, exporters, importers, and balances
Price benchmarks, unit values, and margin signals
Competitive context and market entry conditions
Product coverageFCL 271 – Oil of Rapeseed or Canola oilCountry coverageCountry profile and benchmarks
This report provides a consistent view of market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United States. The profile highlights demand structure and trade position, enabling benchmarking against regional and global peers.
Methodology
The analysis is built on a multi-source framework that combines official statistics, trade records, company disclosures, and expert validation. Data are standardized, reconciled, and cross-checked to ensure consistency across time series.
International trade data (exports, imports, and mirror statistics)
National production and consumption statistics
Company-level information from financial filings and public releases
Price series and unit value benchmarks
Analyst review, outlier checks, and time-series validation
All data are normalized to a common product definition and mapped to a consistent set of codes. This ensures that comparisons across time are aligned and actionable.
Forecasts to 2035
The forecast horizon extends to 2035 and is based on a structured model that links crude rapeseed oil demand and supply to macroeconomic indicators, trade patterns, and sector-specific drivers. The model captures both cyclical and structural factors and reflects known policy and technology shifts in the United States.
Historical baseline: 2012-2025
Forecast horizon: 2026-2035
Scenario-based sensitivity to income growth, substitution, and regulation
Capacity and investment outlook for major producing companies
Each projection is built from national historical patterns and the broader regional context, allowing the report to show where growth is concentrated and where risks are elevated.
Price analysis and trade dynamics
Prices are analyzed in detail, including export and import unit values, regional spreads, and changes in trade costs. The report highlights how seasonality, freight rates, exchange rates, and supply disruptions influence pricing and margins.
Price benchmarks by country and sub-region
Export and import unit value trends
Seasonality and calendar effects in trade flows
Price outlook to 2035 under baseline assumptions
Profiles of market participants
Key producers, exporters, and distributors are profiled with a focus on their operational scale, geographic footprint, product mix, and market positioning. This helps identify competitive pressure points, partnership opportunities, and routes to differentiation.
Business focus and production capabilities
Geographic reach and distribution networks
Cost structure and pricing strategy indicators
Compliance, certification, and sustainability context
How to use this report
Quantify domestic demand and identify the most attractive segments
Evaluate export opportunities and prioritize target destinations
Track price dynamics and protect margins
Benchmark performance against leading competitors
Build evidence-based forecasts for investment decisions
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, wholesalers, investors, and advisors who need a clear, data-driven picture of crude rapeseed oil dynamics in the United States.
FAQ
What is included in the crude rapeseed oil market in the United States?
The market size aggregates consumption and trade data, presented in both value and volume terms.
How are the forecasts to 2035 built?
The projections combine historical trends with macroeconomic indicators, trade dynamics, and sector-specific drivers.
Does the report cover prices and margins?
Yes, it includes export and import unit values, regional spreads, and a pricing outlook to 2035.
Which benchmarks are included?
The report benchmarks market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United States.
Can this report support market entry decisions?
Yes, it highlights demand hotspots, trade routes, pricing trends, and competitive context.