Day 2 of the first Masters 1000 event on the ATP Tour, ATP Indian Wells, rolls on, with an exciting slate of first-round matches set to be played. The slower, heavier conditions at the Indian Wells Masters always make it a unique watch, and as always, we will be predicting every match for you. But who do you think will reach the second round in the California desert?

ATP Indian Wells Day 2 Predictions
Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonald

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 1-0 McDonald

Matteo Arnaldi and Mackenzie McDonald both enter this match in desperate need of wins after a poor start to 2026. Arnaldi returns to the tour after a first-round loss at the Australian Open. McDonald, meanwhile, will benefit from the support of the home crowd. In a match likely to be decided by baseline initiative between two willing ralliers, the slight edge goes to the American.

Prediction: McDonald in 3

Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Head-to-head: First meeting

Daniel Merida Aguilar, a Challenger Tour mainstay, has done well to reach the Indian Wells main draw for the first time in his career, thanks largely to his heavy forehand and preference for slower, higher-bouncing courts. However, his run will likely end here. Against Alex Michelsen, who possesses greater overall quality and experience at this level, a victory looks unlikely.

Prediction: Michelsen in 2

Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista Agut

Head-to-head: Bautista Agut 2-1 Marozsan

Fabian Marozsan and Roberto Bautista Agut meet in one of the most intriguing matches of the day, as experience and baseline consistency face off against craft and variety. Historically, Bautista Agut’s forehand has been the biggest weapon in this matchup, allowing him to dictate play. However, the Spaniard is no longer at his physical peak and lacks the same potency off that wing. With a decline in movement as well, Marozsan can edge a tight battle here.

Prediction: Marozsan in 3

Alexander Shevchenko vs Sho Shimabukuro

Head-to-head: First meeting

Alexander Shevchenko and Sho Shimabukuro are both baseliners who look to play with aggression, using their forehands while protecting their weaker backhand wings. Cross-court exchanges will be crucial in keeping rallies on each player’s terms. Although his ranking has declined in recent years, Shevchenko’s superior movement and willingness to finish points at the net could prove decisive on a slower hard court that allows more time to construct points.

Prediction: Shevchenko in 3

Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports