The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/64-finals continue with several evenly matched clashes. Fearnley faces Dzumhur in a battle between two out-of-form players, Marozsan takes on Bautista-Agut, while qualifier McDonald meets Arnaldi. With recent form and match rhythm playing a big role, there are a few interesting value spots to consider in these matchups.

ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/64-Finals

Fearnley – Dzumhur: 05.03.2026 21:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Jacob Fearnley has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Saint-Brieuc, where he was upset by Bouquier in the opening round, in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, the Brit lost to Fonseca in the opening round in three tight sets.

Damir Dzumhur has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Dzumhur lost to Monfils in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, the Bosnian lost to Tiafoe in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Dzumhur is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Last season in Athens, Dzumhur demolished Fearnley under similar conditions in straight sets. Fearnley is in terrible form, so we expect Dzumhur to win.

That being said, Dzumhur winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Damir Dzumhur winning @2.10 @bet365

Marozsan – Bautista-Agut: 05.03.2026 23:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2

Fabian Marozsan has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Dubai, Marozsan lost to Rinderknech in the opening round, three tight sets to two. Last season in Indian Wells, the Hungarian retired mid-match in the second round.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Rotterdam, where he lost to Norrie in the opening round in straight sets. Last season, the Spaniard lost to Dzumhur in the opening round in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Marozsan is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Bautista-Agut is far away from his best level. Marozsan enjoys playing on hard courts, and we expect him to get a comfortable win against Bautista-Agut.

That being said, Marozsan covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan -3.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365

Arnaldi – McDonald: 06.03.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Matteo Arnaldi has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Rublev in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, the Italian lost to Nakashima in the third round in straight sets. Mackenzie McDonald has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, McDonald qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, McDonald defeated Trevor Svajda in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, McDonald is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in the qualifying tournament. On the other hand, Arnaldi has not played any competitive matches for almost two months.

That being said, McDonald winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Mackenzie McDonald winning @1.67 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports