It’s now the quarterfinals at WTA Indian Wells. If you were paying attention to Last Word On Sports’ best bets columns for women’s tennis, then you likely made a good chunk of change in the last round. Of the eight matches I wrote on, only two of them didn’t cash out. One on each day, meaning 75% of my bets hit two days in a row. Adding to the goodness, five of those hits had returns of 2.0 or higher, one of them returned 3.5x the wager. I don’t usually brag, but this one deserved its own parade. Let me know if any of you truly cashed in on my bets over the last two days. Throw your returns in the comments along with the match and wager.  

WTA Indian Wells
Pegula – Rybakina: Time 10:00

H2H: 3-4     

Jessica Pegula and Elena Rybakina will renew their rivalry in the quarterfinals. They just met a couple of months ago at the WTA Australian Open in the semifinals. Rybakina won in straight sets, but the second set went to a seven-point tiebreak. In fact, Rybakina has won the last three matches. You have to go back to 2023 for Pegula’s last win over Rybakina.       

Best Bet to Make

The books have Rybakina as the favorite, and I share their opinion. Rybakina has won three of the last four matches and four of the last five, with three semifinal victories in that span. Rybakina 2:0 at 2.38 on bet365 is the way to go. Only two of their seven matches have ever gone to a third set.   

That being said, Rybakina winning 2:0 is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Rybakina winning 2:0 @2.38 @bet365

Svitolina – Swiatek: Time 10:00

H2H: 1-4

Elina Svitolina will play Iga Swiatek for the sixth time in her career. She’s only won a single match between them. The only time Svitolina beat Swiatek was in the 2023 Wimbledon quarterfinals, where she beat her in three sets. It’s the only grass match the two have played to date, as this will be their third match on a hardcourt. Svitolina has been in two finals and a semifinal, with one title. Swiatek has yet to make it beyond the quarterfinals of any tournament.

Best Bet to Make

The books are very confident in Swiatek. The current average sits at 3.4-1.3 in favor of the Pole. She has won here twice already, and she’s beaten Svitolina in four of their five games. She might not be having the same success as Svitolina over the last few tournaments, but she knows how to win here and against this opponent. Swiatek 2:0 at 1.86 on 1xBet is the way to go here. Only one of their matches has ever gone to a third set, and that was the match Svitolina won.

That being said, Swiatek winning 2:0 is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Swiatek winning 2:0 @1.86 @1xBet

Noskova – Gibson: Time 10:00

H2H: 0-0

Linda Noskova and Talia Gibson will play for the first time in the quarterfinals. Gibson was the bigger winner for me in the last round, and winning will require the same effort she put in against Paolini. The big question is whether or not she can do this for the seventh day in a row. Half of Gibson’s matches at WTA Indian Wells were three-set matches. Noskova has only had one match in this tournament that has gone past two rounds.      

Best Bet to Make

There’s a pretty good reason that Noskova is listed as the strong favorite in this match. Noskova is a 3.5-1.3 favorite, on average. Noskova hasn’t impressed me this year, but that doesn’t mean she can’t do so here. I’m going to roll with Noskova this time because this is definitely a match she should win, but she won’t get the benefit of the doubt next time if she drops this one. Noskova 2:0 at 1.84 on 1xBet is your go-to on this match.

That being said, Noskova winning 2:0 is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Noskova winning 2:0 @1.84 @1xBet

Sabalenka – Mboko: Time 10:00

H2H: 1-0

Aryna Sabalenka meets Victoria Mboko for the second time this year. Their first match was at the 2026 Australian Open in the round of 16, which Sabalenka won in straight sets after a second-set tiebreak. Mboko has been undeniable regardless of her level of play. Whether you put her in the ITF or the WTA, she’s going to find a way to win and advance deep in tournaments. Sabalenka is the standard-bearer for all of women’s tennis.   

Best Bet to Make

As much as I want to keep running with Mboko, Sabalenka is the correct call here. I would keep this one simple and assume we’re going to get some version of their last match, which saw Sabalenka dispatch Mboko with relative ease. Sabalenka 2:0 for 1.78 on 1xBet is the way to go here. Don’t bother with trying to nail down the number of games these two will play. Keep it simple, reap the rewards.

That being said, Sabalenka winning 2:0 is a value bet for sure.

Value bet/the best odds: Sabalenka winning 2:0 @1.78 @1xBet

Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey–USA TODAY Sports