Atlanta Dream: Player Props
No, I’m not expecting to see pigs fly and I am aware that she pulled down 17 boards in three of her last four games. She is averaging 12.3 per game, and has finished under this total in seven of the 13 games, including an earlier date vs. the Fever (June 4, she had 10).
As good as she is, the Fever are tough to rebound on at home. They have held opponents to 30.3 rebounds per game when playing at home, the second lowest total next to Washington (28.2 rebounds per game allowed). She’ll come close, but finish under this total.
Place a Bet on Angel Reese at FanDuel
Gray is averaging 19.6 points per game this season and is coming off a 26-point night her last time out (Sunday vs. Toronto). Against a lackluster Indiana defense, the over should be a piece of cake for Atlanta’s solid offense, right? Eh…maybe not.
Prior to her recent 26-point performance , she finished under this total in four straight games, including a 13-point effort against the Fever (on June 4). She has gone over this total in six of 13 games this season, but in only one of her last five.
Indiana’s defense (or lack thereof) concerns me, but the Fever controlled the game last time against the Dream. Maybe they can do it again.
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Indiana Fever: Player Props
My first thought was to go with Boston to record a double-double (which she has in her last four games). But Atlanta deserves some respect for holding opponents to a league low 27.1 rebounds per game on the road.
Boston had seven against Atlanta earlier in the month (June 4), but she pulled down 9+ in her last five games. It could go down to the wire, but Boston will go over this total.
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I’m a little surprised that this market has plus money odds. Cunningham is coming off a 6-7 night against Toronto and has hit 2+ in five of her last six games, including the June 4 contest vs. Atlanta. But what about Atlanta’s No. 2-rated road defense?
Well, as solid as it may be, it is not good on the perimeter. When the Dream are on the road, teams are hitting 34.4% (No. 9) of their 3-point attempts. Over her last six games, Cunningham has averaged 3.8 attempts per game and 2.6 made (68.4%).
Yeah, she’ll hit at least two.
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Thomas has gone over this total in seven of 14 games so far this season (including the season opener vs. the Aces, in which she had 20 points) and is averaging 14.5 points per game. However, she went over it just once in Phoenix’s last seven games.
I’d feel better about this if the Aces had been playing better defense on the road (83.9 points per game allowed; sixth-best in the league). But Thomas has been more of a facilitator lately than a scoring threat.
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Clark has gone over this total in eight of the 13 games she has played in this season, including her last three. However, Atlanta’s defense concerns me, as does the five-game stretch in which she finished under it, including a 17-point outing vs. the Dream.
With Atlanta’s excellent defense likely focusing on Clark, don’t count on a 20+ point night from her. Take the under.
Place a Bet on Caitlin Clark at FanDuel