The New York Liberty (13-11) visit the Dallas Wings (16-8) on Thursday at 9 p.m. ET, streaming on Amazon Prime Video, in a matchup between teams moving in opposite directions.
Dallas enters with three straight wins behind Paige Bueckers, who earned Western Conference Player of the Week honors after averaging 23.6 points, more than seven assists and six rebounds during the unbeaten stretch. New York, meanwhile, is looking to recover from a 93-91 loss to Toronto and reverse a season series in which Dallas has already posted 91-76 and 88-77 victories.
The Wings’ transition attack will challenge a Liberty defense allowing 83.6 points per game, while New York will lean on Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones to exploit a Dallas unit surrendering 85 points per contest.
With Dallas carrying momentum and New York searching for a response, Polymarket traders see little separating the teams. The latest prices provide a closer look at the game lines and key player props shaping Thursday’s matchup.
Polymarket prices for Liberty vs. Wings
Polymarket prices point to a competitive matchup between the New York Liberty and Dallas Wings on Thursday night. Dallas holds a narrow edge in the winner market, while the spread and total markets remain evenly priced.
Liberty vs. Wings game linesMarketLibertyWingsMoneyline45¢56¢Spread+1.5 at 53¢-1.5 at 53¢Total: 175.5Over 54¢Under 54¢Player points marketsPlayerPoints lineOverUnderAzzi Fudd13.595¢93¢Jonquel Jones14.595¢93¢Jessica Shepard15.595¢93¢Sabrina Ionescu16.594¢97¢Breanna Stewart19.594¢97¢Paige Bueckers21.592¢97¢Assists and rebounds marketsPlayerPropOverUnderBreanna Stewart2.5 assists95¢93¢Sabrina Ionescu5.5 assists94¢97¢Paige Bueckers6.5 assists91¢97¢Sabrina Ionescu3.5 rebounds95¢93¢Breanna Stewart7.5 rebounds95¢93¢Jonquel Jones9.5 rebounds94¢96¢Jessica Shepard11.5 rebounds95¢95¢
Dallas’ 56¢ moneyline price makes the Wings the slight favorite, but the identical 53¢ spread prices suggest little separation between the teams. The balanced 175.5 total also reflects uncertainty over the game’s pace.
Polymarket odds and prices reflect live peer-to-peer trading and update in real time.
WNBA prediction markets:
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PlatformWNBA Eligible?July ’26 Sign-Up BonusVerified Promo CodesPolymarketYes$50CUSE, MASS, OREGON, SILIVE, CLEVEKalshiYes$10SYRACUSE, OREGONLIVE1, MASSLIVE1, SILIVE, CLEVELANDNovigYes$50SYRACUSE, OREGON, MASSLIVE, CLEVELANDWNBA betting preview: New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings
Checkout the interactive widget below to see the spread, total, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Liberty-Wings WNBA matchup in Arlington, TX.
Here are the key details for Thursday’s marquee WNBA matchup, including the latest traditional odds:
Game detailsTeams: New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsDate: Thursday, July 16, 2026Time: 9:00 PM ETVenue: College Park Center| Arlington, TXTV: Amazon Prime VideoWNBA standings: Current WNBA regular season standingsWNBA news: Check the latest updates from the official WNBA news siteExpert Prediction: Liberty vs. Wings
Dimers’ simulations favor Dallas to win a close, high-scoring matchup, giving the Wings a 55% win probability compared with 45% for the Liberty. After simulating the game 10,000 times, the model projects an 88-86 Wings victory, with Paige Bueckers and Breanna Stewart each leading their teams. New York has enough star power to keep the game tight, but Dallas’ recent form and home-court advantage seemingly provide the slight edge.
Best Bet: Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Rebounds
Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 rebounds is our preferred player prop. Dimers projects Ionescu for 4.6 boards and assigns the over a 50.6% probability, identifying it as a high-edge opportunity. Although she is averaging 3.9 rebounds per game this season, her career average is a stronger 5.4, and she has cleared 4.5 rebounds in three of her last four games against Dallas. Her heavy minutes and involvement around the perimeter should give her enough chances to reach five boards.
Projected box score
New York Liberty
PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsBreanna Stewart2083Sabrina Ionescu1756Jonquel Jones1493Satou Sabally1242Leonie Fiebich832
Dallas Wings
PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsPaige Bueckers2046Azzi Fudd1523Arike Ogunbowale1333Jessica Shepard13105Maddy Siegrist520
These Liberty vs. Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, can guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits. For further insights, explore Dimers’ expert WNBA predictions and the best WNBA bets today, while their in-depth analysis includes WNBA props, WNBA futures, WNBA odds, and the latest WNBA news.
This Polymarket Invite Code secures a $50 cash trading bonus in three simple steps.Polymarket Invite Code.Conclusion: Polymarket traders behind Beuckers, Wings vs. Liberty
Liberty vs. Wings profiles as one of Thursday’s closest WNBA matchups, with Dimers projecting only a two-point Dallas victory. Polymarket prices also reflect the narrow gap between the teams, giving traders several competitive game-line and player-prop markets to consider.
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