Jewish and Muslim voters were the clearest exceptions to the rule that economic issues dominate elections. Trump won only a small increase in Jewish support in 2024, but the growing number of antisemitic incidents in the United States and the growing hostility to Israel in parts of the Democratic Party coalition may change that in future elections. The question is whether Jewish voters, a reliable Democratic constituency for decades, will become swing voters. Diaspora communities in recent foreign elections—such as those in Australia, Canada, France, and the United Kingdom—have moved to the right when the major left-of-center party became anti-Israel and the major right-of-center party was pro-Israel. A first sign may be the U.S. Senate election in Michigan, where the differences between the Democratic and Republican candidates on Middle East policy are stark and have attracted so much attention in the Michigan Jewish community.
