{"id":12435,"date":"2025-07-15T20:12:04","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T20:12:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/12435\/"},"modified":"2025-07-15T20:12:04","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T20:12:04","slug":"new-study-targets-past-flooding-as-key-to-helping-property-owners-assess-climate-threats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/12435\/","title":{"rendered":"New study targets past flooding as key to helping property owners assess climate threats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"anchor-5e3682\" class=\"body-graf\">The number of structures at risk of flooding in the United States  could be higher than previously thought, according to a study published Monday.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-dbefba\" class=\"body-graf\">The<a href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1029\/2025EF006026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> study,<\/a> published Monday in the journal Earth\u2019s Future, found that 43% of flooded buildings in North Carolina between 1996 and 2020 were located outside the Federal Emergency Management Agency\u2019s<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bing.com\/ck\/a?!&amp;&amp;p=94333d83e46f64edd529ba9e305380e7562fab4fb79325acfb27a6f56deb15e2JmltdHM9MTc1MjQ1MTIwMA&amp;ptn=3&amp;ver=2&amp;hsh=4&amp;fclid=35c8b116-179b-6d8e-1884-a4ef161f6cf0&amp;psq=fema+sfha+&amp;u=a1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmVtYS5nb3YvYWJvdXQvZ2xvc3Nhcnkvc3BlY2lhbC1mbG9vZC1oYXphcmQtYXJlYS1zZmhh&amp;ntb=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> Special Flood Hazard Area<\/a> \u2014 areas that FEMA projects have a 1% risk of flooding in a given year.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-037790\" class=\"body-graf\">The findings could help more communities get a better handle on their flood risk and flood insurance needs, experts and authors of the study said. Flood insurance has become increasingly hard to get as some companies increase the price of policies or step back from insuring homes in certain markets due to more frequent and severe weather. That has left property owners more vulnerable. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-ff2beb\" class=\"body-graf\">Experts told NBC News that with access to the right data sources, databases like the one described in the study could be developed nationwide.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-571de0\" class=\"body-graf\">FEMA\u2019s maps are the main source nationally to identify flood-prone areas and what structures need to be insured. But experts say the system is outdated and has low resolution. The 100-year flood plain projection doesn\u2019t paint a complete picture of what areas are likely to flood. And climate change has rendered previously authoritative<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/science\/environment\/texas-cutting-edge-weather-forecasts-hit-limits-trump-budget-cuts-loom-rcna217532\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> weather and climate projections less reliable<\/a>, the authors noted. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-084f6d\" class=\"body-graf\">The study\u2019s use of address-level data allowed the researchers to pinpoint specific buildings that had flooded more than once. That information could help property owners know whether they should be purchasing flood insurance even outside of FEMA\u2019s flood hazard zones, experts said. In the U.S., 99% of counties have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.floodsmart.gov\/get-flood-insurance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">flooded<\/a> at least once but only 4% of homeowners have flood insurance, according to FEMA.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-087683\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cMore information about where it has flooded in the past could help people make different decisions,\u201d said Helena Margaret Garcia, the lead author of the study and a doctoral student at the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-4dc935\" class=\"body-graf\">FEMA and the National Flood Insurance Program did not return requests for comment.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-41f87a\" class=\"body-graf\">FEMA is currently in the process of redeveloping its flood mapping system, through an<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fema.gov\/ht\/fact-sheet\/future-flood-risk-data-ffrd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> initiative called the Future of Flood Risk Data<\/a>, that it says will provide a more comprehensive look at flood hazards and risks in the country using more efficient, accurate and consistent technology.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/250714-north-carolina-flooding-vl-300p-685320.jpg\" alt=\"Water markers on a home, seen on the steps outside\" height=\"1462\" width=\"1170\"\/>Water markers on a home in Ocracoke, N.C., indicating by how much flooding increased between hurricanes over the years.Courtesy of Helena Garcia<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-612ac9\" class=\"body-graf\">As the planet warms, heavier rainfall is becoming more common because hotter air can hold more moisture, which later falls as rain. Climate change is also leading to a rise in global sea levels, which has made coastal and even some inland areas more vulnerable to flooding. Hurricane Helene,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/event-tracker\/hurricane-helenes-extreme-rainfall-and-catastrophic-inland-flooding\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> the third-deadliest hurricane of the modern era<\/a>, caused severe flooding in mountainous areas in the middle of North Carolina. Damage totaled more than<a href=\"https:\/\/coast.noaa.gov\/states\/fast-facts\/hurricane-costs.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> $78 billion<\/a>, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-58c551\" class=\"body-graf\">Severe rainfall has caused flash floods to rip through towns across the U.S. in the last two weeks, most recently on Monday in New Jersey and New York City. Extreme floods resulted in at least<a href=\"https:\/\/www.accuweather.com\/en\/hurricane\/8-dead-in-north-carolina-after-tropical-storm-chantal\/1793741#:~:text=At%20least%206%20people%20have%20died%20and%20dozens,city%20of%20Durham%2C%20North%20Carolina%2C%20on%20July%209.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> six deaths in North Carolina<\/a> and<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/news\/us-news\/live-blog\/texas-floods-live-updates-160-missing-rescuers-continue-desperate-sear-rcna217685\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> more than 100 deaths in Texas<\/a>. Flash floods are the top storm-related killer in the U.S. resulting in an average of 125 deaths per year in the last few decades, according to the National Weather Service<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-83ed67\" class=\"body-graf\">A North Carolina climatologist<a href=\"https:\/\/abc11.com\/post\/big-concerns-north-carolina-climatologist-speaks-tropical-storm-chantals-impact\/17038917\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> said<\/a> warmer ocean waters, which also feed storms, could have been a factor in fueling last week&#8217;s Tropical Storm Chantal, which broke rainfall and river-crest records in the state.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-d7e574\" class=\"body-graf\">With the changing climate, having access to up-to-date maps is crucial, experts say.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-46c999\" class=\"body-graf\">For the study, researchers mapped 78 flood events between 1996 and 2020 using data from the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.floodsmart.gov\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> National Flood Insurance Program<\/a> \u2014 the FEMA program through which property owners can purchase insurance for potential flood-related losses. They also used emergency service requests and \u201cvolunteered geographic information,\u201d which they acquired through social media posts, to create what they describe as a \u201cfirst of its kind\u201d database. Data on past floods is often difficult for the general public to access, which can make it challenging for homeowners to know whether their property has previously flooded, experts said.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-53b486\" class=\"body-graf\">Garcia said researchers can use the same methods from the study to create similar historical maps for regions across the nation to help officials identify areas in their state they may not have previously thought of as a flood risk.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-896447\" class=\"body-graf\">While the study found that only 20,000 of the 90,000 buildings flooded more than once \u2014 more than double the number of buildings that filed NFIP claims \u2014 authors of the study are working on research to quantify its human impact. Some are looking at health outcomes, including how a flood might interrupt people\u2019s health care, and others looking into the quantity of displacement due to the repetitive flooding, Garcia said.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/250714-north-carolina-flooding-vl-259p-5b027b.jpg\" alt=\"The parking lot of the Eastgate Mall with water puddles\" height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\"\/>The parking lot of the Eastgate Mall in Chapel Hill, N.C., on July 7, following a tropical storm.Antonia Sebastian \/ Courtesy of Helena Garcia<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-074620\" class=\"body-graf\">Antonia Sebastian, an assistant professor in the department of geological sciences at UNC-Chapel Hill, said the study aims to create a \u201ccomprehensive record of past flooding\u201d by gathering data on flood events that don\u2019t make the biggest headlines but still have an impact on homeowners. <\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-ee0669\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cPlaces that have flooded before will flood again. It\u2019s just a matter of time,\u201d Sebastian said. \u201cAnd those are all risky places.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-926d55\" class=\"body-graf\">Chad Berginnis, the executive director of the Association of Flood Plain Managers who wasn\u2019t involved in the study, said FEMA\u2019s maps are designed to implement the NFIP by determining what areas have to purchase flood insurance, using the 100-year flood plain as a guide. He said the study\u2019s analysis of historical flooding highlights that officials may need to require flood insurance in areas outside of FEMA\u2019s flood hazard zone.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-f9a0de\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cFEMA flood maps are a starting point and not an end point,\u201d Berginnis said. \u201cThey will show you one kind of flood risk, but if you want a total perception of flood risk, one of the things you got to do is find historical flood information.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-1f25c7\" class=\"body-graf\">He said replicating similar database models as the one described in the study in other local areas could help flood plain managers increase awareness among their communities about who is at risk of flooding by pinpointing where it has occurred previously.<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-5c4d85\" class=\"body-graf\">\u201cJust given the flood history of [the Guadalupe River], and having a daughter of the age that\u2019s going to camps too, I mean, this is really hitting home to me. You know, how is it that we, that societally, we\u2019re not comprehending that these same locations can also be very risky areas and not either demanding or finding out a little bit more about it. So, I think clearly we don\u2019t have enough awareness of flood risks.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"anchor-ddfb72\" class=\"endmark body-graf\">June Choi, a doctoral student in earth system science at Stanford University who was not part of the study, said the finding that many flooded buildings were located outside of at-risk areas designated by FEMA\u2019s flood maps is likely the case across all states. The new database may be limited because it doesn\u2019t factor in how building density changes over time. But its use of historical records and address-specific data still make it a valuable resource for assessing future flood risk, she said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The number of structures at risk of flooding in the United States could be higher than previously thought,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12436,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[192,79],"class_list":["post-12435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-environment","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12435\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12436"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}