{"id":131159,"date":"2025-09-04T02:25:15","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T02:25:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/131159\/"},"modified":"2025-09-04T02:25:15","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T02:25:15","slug":"economic-insecurity-in-the-us-has-gotten-worse-since-covid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/131159\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic Insecurity in the US Has Gotten Worse Since COVID"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Since 2001, Gallup has asked US voters whether they think their financial situation is getting better, staying the same, or getting worse. This year, a record number of Americans answered, \u201cgetting worse.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/news.gallup.com\/poll\/659630\/americans-economic-financial-expectations-sink-april.aspx\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">53%<\/a> who said their financial situation is deteriorating surpasses the 49% who said so during the 2008 financial crisis. Responses have come within 5 percentage points of that mark just five times, and every one of them was in this decade. Crisis-level economic anxiety is the new normal.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/semler_graph.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233029 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/semler_graph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"951\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The knock-on surveys about economic anxiety is that respondents\u2019 answers are often shaped at least partly by their degree of optimism or pessimism about the future, and those sentiments are strongly influenced by partisanship. Members of one political party generally feel better about things when their party is in charge, and vice versa. For example, 25% of Republican voters in 2024 said their financial situation was getting better, but in 2025, 61% did (+36). At the same time, the share of Democratic voters feeling good about their financial prospects fell from 66% before Donald Trump was elected to 16% after (-50).<\/p>\n<p>Out of politeness, let\u2019s describe this partisan-obedient behavior as interesting, even though many of us actually think it\u2019s moronic. So why take the data seriously at all? Because despite people\u2019s interesting behavior, the data somehow still ends up making sense; as a whole, the anxiety is justified. The percentage of Americans who said their finances were getting worse shot up in 2008 (as it should, considering the financial crisis) and in 2020 (as it should, given the pandemic). The percentage falls when it\u2019s supposed to, too: in 2021, the share reporting deteriorating financial conditions dropped by 20 percentage points. That happened because the United States stumbled into building an almost European-level welfare state through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act or CARES Act (March 2020), Consolidated Appropriations Act (December 2020), and American Rescue Plan (March 2021). The result was a disjointed but formidable array of social programs overlapping in 2021, which led to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stephensemler.com\/p\/how-the-most-unpopular-us-president\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sharp decline<\/a>\u00a0in economic insecurity.<\/p>\n<p>Economic insecurity isn\u2019t the same as economic anxiety, but it\u2019s close. Economic insecurity means being unable to reliably cover your basic necessities. Economic anxiety is distress from experiencing economic insecurity or feeling like you\u2019re headed toward it. The former is an objective, material experience; the latter is a subjective, emotional response to that experience. It\u2019s being insecure versus feeling insecure.<\/p>\n<p>I like economic insecurity (as a concept) for a few reasons. First, it accounts for the vast but often ignored material hardship that exists above the poverty line. Second, it\u2019s relevant. Like inequality, insecurity is liable to harm everybody but the wealthy. Third, it\u2019s relatable, possibly even more than inequality. In my experience, people interpret their economic situation primarily by gauging how their resources align with their needs, not how their resources compare with someone else\u2019s. Polling is required to say for sure, but I suspect the public feels more insecure than unequal.<\/p>\n<p>Last election, Republicans capitalized on the widespread sense (and reality) of economic insecurity. A smart play, considering it was voters\u2019\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.stephensemler.com\/p\/voters-number-one-issue\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">number-one issue<\/a>. Nominally, \u201cthe economy\u201d was the top concern, but\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.stephensemler.com\/p\/a-couple-charts-to-explain-a-harris\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">most<\/a>\u00a0voters evaluated the economy in terms of the difficulty of living in it \u2014 that is, the spiraling cost of living mattered much more than the state of the stock market or GDP or even unemployment.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats largely refused to acknowledge that rosy economic conditions at the national level allowed for pervasive misery at the human level. Liberal pundits claimed that widespread economic anxiety was simply bad \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/paulkrugman.substack.com\/p\/a-win-for-the-vibecession-story\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">vibes<\/a>\u201d \u2014 something that only existed in people\u2019s heads, the result of either partisan brainwashing or low self-esteem. I remember seeing oily and misshapen Gen Z influencers tied to the administration parrot this take on social media, always in a condescending tone, and wondering whether Democrats were trying to lose.<\/p>\n<p>Pathologizing economic anxiety turned out not to be a political winner for several reasons, the biggest one being that anxiety was a perfectly reasonable response to economic insecurity, which there was plenty of. There are two charts below. The first shows that economic anxiety hasn\u2019t retreated to pre-pandemic levels. The second graph helps explain why that\u2019s the case \u2014 there\u2019s more subjective anxiety because there\u2019s more objective insecurity. The reason so many people think they\u2019re worse off compared to before the pandemic is because they are.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/semler_graph2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233030 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/semler_graph2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"951\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/semler_graph3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233032 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/semler_graph3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"988\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Since 2001, Gallup has asked US voters whether they think their financial situation is getting better, staying the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":131160,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101],"class_list":["post-131159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=131159"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131159\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/131160"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=131159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=131159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=131159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}