{"id":148802,"date":"2025-09-11T11:29:29","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T11:29:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/148802\/"},"modified":"2025-09-11T11:29:29","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T11:29:29","slug":"bitcoins-calm-masks-market-tension-ahead-of-fed-and-cpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/148802\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Calm Masks Market Tension Ahead of Fed and CPI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Good Morning, Asia. Here&#8217;s what&#8217;s making news in the markets:<\/p>\n<p>Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/daybook-us\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CoinDesk&#8217;s Crypto Daybook Americas.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>BTC is pinned near $111,000 with volatility compressed to multi-month lows, the kind of calm that tends to precede decisive moves. Traders know what could break the lull: September\u2019s U.S. inflation data and the Fed\u2019s rate decision a week later.<\/p>\n<p>Prediction markets are leaning heavily toward easing. <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/dashboards\/fed-rates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Polymarket bettors<\/a> are assigning an 82% chance of a 25-basis-point cut on Sept. 17, leaving only slim odds for a deeper move or no change. Beyond that, October expectations are fractured, with nearly even probabilities for another cut or a pause. That divergence explains why volatility, though absent now, is unlikely to stay that way.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"(Polymarket)\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1720\" height=\"1058\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"rounded-md\" style=\"color:transparent;background-size:cover;background-position:50% 50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/png;base64,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&quot;)\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/1757590169_933_image\"\/><\/p>\n<p>(Polymarket) <\/p>\n<p>\u201cMarkets often look calm just before they move. Bitcoin is trading in one of its tightest ranges in months, and volatility across crypto has compressed to multi-month lows,\u201d said Gracie Lin, OKX Singapore CEO. \u201cWith U.S. inflation data like Core CPI out on Sept. 11 and the Fed\u2019s much-anticipated rate decision just ahead, this quiet period is setting the stage for the next decisive move. Whether the catalyst is an upside inflation surprise or a dovish signal from the Fed, what\u2019s clear is that the absence of volatility is rarely permanent in digital assets; history shows the market will find its next direction soon enough.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>If a cut pulls money-market returns lower, the opportunity cost of sitting in cash rises, which is the pivot market maker Enflux says could send flows toward crypto.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe real debate now is not if cuts come, but whether liquidity deployment shifts into BTC, ETH, and even riskier assets,\u201d the firm told CoinDesk.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, the Fed\u2019s cut may grab headlines, but the real trade is whether sidelined cash rotates into digital assets \u2014 a shift that could fuel the return of volatility.<\/p>\n<p>Market Movement<\/p>\n<p>BTC: Bitcoin has dipped slightly intraday, trading between approximately $110,812 and $113,237, reflecting short-term volatility amid shifting investor sentiment and broader crypto market dynamics.<\/p>\n<p>ETH: ETH is modestly up intraday, with a range between roughly $4,279 and $4,379, signaling steady demand and some renewed investor interest. Range, however, is limited with modest ETF flows and traders awaiting the Fed&#8217;s next move.<\/p>\n<p>Gold: Gold is rallying to record highs, fueled by mounting expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, a weakening U.S. dollar, and renewed safe-haven demand.<\/p>\n<p>Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific stocks opened mostly higher Wednesday, with Japan\u2019s Nikkei 225 up 0.2%, as investors awaited China\u2019s August inflation data showing an expected 0.2% CPI drop and a smaller 2.9% PPI decline.<\/p>\n<p>S&amp;P 500: U.S. stocks closed at record highs Tuesday, with the S&amp;P 500 up 0.27% to 6,512.61, as investors looked past a record payroll revision that cut 911,000 jobs from prior figures.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere in CryptoOpenSea Teases SEA Token With Final Phase of Rewards Amid App Launch (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/business\/2025\/09\/09\/opensea-teases-sea-token-with-final-phase-of-rewards-amid-app-launch\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CoinDesk<\/a>)California Man Sentenced in $36.9M Crypto Scam Tied to Infamous Huione Group (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/business\/2025\/09\/09\/california-man-sentenced-in-usd36-9m-crypto-scam-laundered-funds-through-infamous-huione-group\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CoinDesk<\/a>)Collector Crypt drives $150 million in randomized Pok\u00e9mon card trades as CARDS token soars (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theblock.co\/post\/369869\/collector-crypt-drives-150-million-in-randomized-pokemon-card-trades-as-cards-token-soars?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">The Block<\/a>)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Good Morning, Asia. Here&#8217;s what&#8217;s making news in the markets: Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":148803,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[4975,28,11801,1554,57974,112],"class_list":["post-148802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-markets","tag-btc","tag-business","tag-cpi","tag-fed","tag-fed-rate","tag-markets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/148802","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=148802"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/148802\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/148803"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=148802"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=148802"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=148802"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}