{"id":161619,"date":"2025-09-16T20:31:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T20:31:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/161619\/"},"modified":"2025-09-16T20:31:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T20:31:08","slug":"u-s-q3-gdp-estimate-spikes-to-3-4-on-resilient-consumer-spending","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/161619\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Q3 GDP Estimate Spikes to 3.4% on Resilient Consumer Spending"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Atlanta Fed\u2019s GDPNow model now estimates real GDP growth of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2025, up from 3.1% just six days earlier. If the estimate holds, it would mark the highest rate of growth since the third quarter of 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Elevate Your Investing Strategy: Take advantage of <a data-link=\"article_promo\" href=\"https:\/\/lp.tipranks.com\/july-2025-50off\/?llf=rss&amp;timer=on&amp;coupon=INTRO50P\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> TipRanks Premium at 50% off! <\/a> Unlock powerful investing tools, advanced data, and expert analyst insights to help you invest with confidence.<\/p>\n<p>The higher growth comes after August\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/calendars\/economic\/retail-sales-mom-6271\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">retail sales<\/a> grew by 0.6% month-over-month, beating the expectation of 0.2%. Excluding volatile items, like autos and gas, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/retail\/sales.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">retail sales<\/a> jumped by 0.7%, also beating the expectation of 0.4%.<\/p>\n<p>Resilient Consumers Boost GDP as Net Exports Contribution Slides<\/p>\n<p>In addition, the model now expects third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth of 2.7%, up from its prior estimate of 2.3%. That indicates a resilient consumer, even as August\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/calendars\/economic\/cpi-5917\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Consumer Price Index<\/a> (CPI) showed a month-over-month jump of 0.4%, the highest rate of growth since January.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, the contribution of net exports to GDP fell to 0.08 percentage points from 0.23 percentage points following <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/archives\/ximpim_09162025.htm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/a> released this morning.<\/p>\n<p>Stay ahead of macro events with our up-to-the-minute <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/calendars\/economic\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Economic Calendar<\/a> \u2014 filter by impact, country, and more.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/glossary\/d\/disclaimer-disclosure\" style=\"margin-right: 32px;\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Disclaimer &amp; Disclosure<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tipranks.com\/glossary\/c\/contact-editor\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Report an Issue<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Atlanta Fed\u2019s GDPNow model now estimates real GDP growth of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2025,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":161620,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101],"class_list":["post-161619","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161619","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161619"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161619\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/161620"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161619"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=161619"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=161619"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}