{"id":201406,"date":"2025-10-04T11:01:22","date_gmt":"2025-10-04T11:01:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/201406\/"},"modified":"2025-10-04T11:01:22","modified_gmt":"2025-10-04T11:01:22","slug":"dallas-fed-september-manufacturing-index-8-7-vs-1-8-prior","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/201406\/","title":{"rendered":"Dallas Fed September manufacturing index -8.7 vs -1.8 prior"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Prior was -1.8Output index +5.2 vs +15.3 priorNew orders -2.6 vs +5.8 priorEmployment -3.4 vs +8.8 priorCompany outlook -1.0 vs +3.3<\/p>\n<p data-v-4026719d=\"\">This is a lower tier indicator but there is growing worry about the low prices for oil in Texas and falling oil drilling activity. Texas is also a green energy powerhouse and incentives for that are dwindling.<\/p>\n<p data-v-4026719d=\"\">Comments in the survey:<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Computer and  electronic product manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>I may have to close the company. Orders have  stopped coming in, and we do not know why.<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Fabricated metal  product manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>Orders have been put on hold, and we are not  receiving any new<br \/>\n[purchase orders] since Aug. 15 on open RFQ&#8217;s [requests for  quotation].<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Food manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>Political and interest rate instability are  killing us. We are<br \/>\nfortunate that our raw ingredients are stable by price and  supply chain<br \/>\n availability. The non-profit food relief &#8220;business&#8221; is a  train wreck.We are still concerned over employment and labor  issues.<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Furniture and related  product manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>We are seeing demand decline.<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Machinery  manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>We see the oil industry slowing and are more  hesitant to invest<br \/>\n in their business. We believe that the uncertainty of  government<br \/>\ndecisions is affecting their business decisions, which in turn will<br \/>\naffect  our business.We should have our best month of the year in  September. Orders are strong, plus we are working on some good new projects.Relief! Rates are easing, finally. Tariffs are  of little<br \/>\nconsequence. Labor is steady. We might even turn a profit by  year-end!<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Nonmetallic mineral  product manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>After careful evaluation of prevailing economic  conditions,<br \/>\nincluding the current level of interest rates and unpredictability  of<br \/>\ntariffs, our company continues to hold and not proceed upon our<br \/>\nexpansion  plans. The cost of financing at existing rates has materially<br \/>\n impacted the  feasibility of these projects, and we believe it is<br \/>\nprudent to delay  implementation until interest rates are reduced to<br \/>\nmore sustainable and  affordable levels.. We remain committed to our<br \/>\noperations in Texas and to  continued long-term growth. However, further<br \/>\n expansion (building addition,  inventory expansion, capital equipment<br \/>\nacquisition) will be contingent upon a  more favorable borrowing<br \/>\nenvironment that supports capital investment and job  creation.The interest rates for mortgages are keeping  potential new<br \/>\nhomeowners out of the market. Homebuilders do not want to build  up<br \/>\nexcess inventory, and therefore our business of producing materials for<br \/>\n homebuilders has dropped off significantly. In addition, roughly 30<br \/>\npercent of  buyers are falling out of the homebuying process due to<br \/>\ninability to qualify  for mortgages (credit card debt).<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Paper manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>We are still neutral on our current status, but  incoming orders<br \/>\n are trending down when this time of year they should be up. A  few<br \/>\ntariff surcharges are starting to show up, but not enough to try to pass<br \/>\n  along. Competition in the packaging industry has prices declining<br \/>\nsomewhat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Printing and related  support activities<\/p>\n<p>We need interest rates to fall more than a  quarter percentage point.Incoming orders have definitely slowed way down,  and all we can<br \/>\n attribute it to is the crazy tariff-induced environment we are  living<br \/>\nin. Instead of Washington, D.C. policies increasing business and making<br \/>\n it better, they seem to be adding way too much uncertainty and making<br \/>\nthings  worse. We have continued to be busy because of robust incoming<br \/>\norders earlier  in the summer. If things don&#8217;t change quickly, we may<br \/>\nsoon be looking at  reducing hours and possibly cutting back on the<br \/>\nnumber of employees, which will  be a shame given how hard it is to get<br \/>\ngood workers up to speed with your  manufacturing processes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"h6\" data-v-4026719d=\"\">Transportation  equipment manufacturing<\/p>\n<p>The trucking industry has now reduced its production  forecast<br \/>\nfor 2026 to essentially be flat with 2025. This remains at a depressed<br \/>\nlevel versus industry averages.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Prior was -1.8Output index +5.2 vs +15.3 priorNew orders -2.6 vs +5.8 priorEmployment -3.4 vs +8.8 priorCompany outlook&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":201407,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101],"class_list":["post-201406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/201406","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=201406"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/201406\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/201407"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=201406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=201406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=201406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}