{"id":22715,"date":"2025-07-20T01:22:09","date_gmt":"2025-07-20T01:22:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/22715\/"},"modified":"2025-07-20T01:22:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-20T01:22:09","slug":"wnba-notes-reviewing-the-2022-draft-board","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/22715\/","title":{"rendered":"WNBA Notes: Reviewing the 2022 draft board"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For reference, since this notebook comes out over the weekend, I define \u201cthis week\u201d as the prior Sunday through last night.<\/p>\n<p>Tankathon Check-in<\/p>\n<p>To be clear, no one in the WNBA is currently tanking on purpose (at least, the players aren\u2019t). That being said, let\u2019s see where our teams are right now in the lottery standings and where they project to end up. As an aside: gosh, the Aces are disappointing, huh? They enter this table for the first time after weeks of noting how unlikely it was that an A\u2019ja Wilson-led team wouldn\u2019t turn things around.<\/p>\n<p>The chart is vaguely organized by the rightmost column.<\/p>\n<p>Team:Games back in lottery:Games back of No. 8 seed:Strength of schedule remaining (out of 13)1:Likely finish:Dallas Wings\u2014\u2014\u20145.52nd-strongest (12th-easiest)No. 1 or No. 2 lottery oddsLos Angeles Sparks21.537No. 1 or No. 2 lottery oddsChicago Sky35.544No. 3 lottery oddsConnecticut Sun416.583Bottom-two lottery oddsWashington Mystics10.5\u2014\u2014\u20148No. 8 seed or No. 4 lottery oddsLas Vegas Aces223.5\u2014\u2014\u20149Low playoff seed or worst lottery oddsGolden State Valkyries5110Low playoff seed1. Lottery standings take into account results from the 2024 and 2025 seasons. Strength of schedule data is from\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/masseyratings.com\/wnba\/ratings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Massey<\/a>.<br \/>2. Seattle owns Los Angeles\u2019 and Las Vegas\u2019 pick<br \/>3. Minnesota owns Chicago\u2019s pick<br \/>4. Chicago owns the rights to Connecticut\u2019s pick the Sun finish worse than the Mercury<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.triumphbooks.com\/becoming-caitlin-clark-products-9781637277959.php?page_id=30&amp;cid=624063\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"328\" height=\"250\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1752974528_509_Untitled-design-13.png\" alt=\"Photo of the cover of &quot;Becoming Caitlin Clark,&quot; a new book written by Howard Megdal.\" class=\"wp-image-46452 size-full\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Save 30% when you order \u201cBecoming Caitlin Clark\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Howard Megdal\u2019s newest book is here! \u201cBecoming Caitlin Clark: The Unknown Origin Story of a Modern Basketball Superstar\u201d captures both the historic nature of Clark\u2019s rise and the critical context over the previous century that helped make it possible, including interviews with Clark, Lisa Bluder (who also wrote the foreword), C. Vivian Stringer, Jan Jensen, Molly Kazmer and many others.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Click the link below to order and enter MEGDAL30 at checkout.<\/p>\n<p>The 2022 WNBA Draft<\/p>\n<p>The first draft board I did with The Next was for the 2022 class. I had technically done a draft board in 2021, and although I had some solid takes \u2014 such as <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/m\/mackna01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\">Natasha Mack<\/a> being solidly better than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/c\/collich01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Charli Collier<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/e\/evansda02w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Dana Evans<\/a> as a lottery prospect \u2014 it wasn\u2019t a systematized process the way it was in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>I have learned a lot since that first real effort in 2022, both by adding <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenexthoops.com\/author\/hunter-cruse\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Hunter Cruse<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenexthoops.com\/author\/lincoln-shafer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Lincoln Shafer<\/a> to the team and by learning from past successes and failures. Reviewing past drafts, once we\u2019re far enough along to have a handle on how players\u2019 careers are playing out, can be beneficial both for self-reflection and transparency about how my processes have changed since.<\/p>\n<p>The most obvious goof from the 2022 board was having a \u201c65 FV\u201d tier. The 20-80 scouting scale works so that 50 is the average, and each increase or decrease of 10 represents one standard deviation. The further from 50 you get, the smaller the pool of players, so placing someone in a half tier was splitting hairs.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/h\/howarrh01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Rhyne Howard<\/a> would have been a 60 FV instead, and she\u2019s ended up as either a strong 55 or a soft 60, which makes the grade a decently accurate one, but how she\u2019s gotten there has been different than what I expected. The playmaking and the midrange game have matched the scout, and she frequently has defensive reps where she shuts down wings on the ball and provides weakside rim protection. <\/p>\n<p>But what I called \u201csettl[ing] for less efficient shots\u201d was really an inability to get to the rim and mediocre finishing, both of which have severely limited her scoring efficiency. And she has been a defensive 60 instead of a 70 because of average ball-pressure going downhill and screen navigation that wasn\u2019t as standout as I expected.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest reason I should\u2019ve had Howard a grade lower was because of her development arc: She was largely the same player from her sophomore year at Kentucky on, which indicated the unlikelihood that the weaker points in her game would significantly improve.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-fl-body-bg-background-color has-background has-small-font-size\">Your business can reach over 3 million women\u2019s sports fans every single month!<\/p>\n<p>Here at <a href=\"http:\/\/thenexthoops.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Next<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/theixsports.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The IX<\/a>, our audience is a collection of the smartest, most passionate women\u2019s sports fans in the world. If your business has a mission to serve these fans, reach out to our team at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenexthoops.com\/wnba\/wnba-notes-2022-draft-board-wnba-draft-rhyne-howard-lexie-hull\/mailto:editors@thenexthoops.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">editors@thenexthoops.com<\/a> to discuss ways to work together.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/s\/smithna01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NaLyssa Smith<\/a> is my biggest miss to date. I gave her a 60 FV, and she\u2019s a soft 45 at the moment. There are a few reasons for this, the biggest being that I incorrectly translated my own notes into a grade; my notes indicated a player who was at best a defensive 55 and an offensive 50, but in her profile on the draft board, I detailed a 60 on both ends. <\/p>\n<p>Part of that was overrating the importance of certain skills and underestimating others, and buying into a narrative of her appreciably developing under Nicki Collen, which didn\u2019t actually happen to the extent I had thought. I also completely misread her defense outside the paint, which was often dreadful both off the catch and in pick-and-roll coverage.<\/p>\n<p>I probably had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/a\/austish01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Shakira Austin<\/a> a grade too low (Lincoln would\u2019ve had her as a 55). However, her transformation into an offensive 60 and defensive 70 under Mike Thibault, at least before the hip injuries, was an outcome that I don\u2019t think I should have seen coming. Thibault cleaned up a lot of her bad defensive habits within her first couple of months in the W, and her post scoring improved a ton in her second season in Washington.<\/p>\n<p>After that, I had two notable misses. There was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/h\/hillmna01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Naz Hillmon<\/a>, who, if we do the same thing with my \u201c35 FV\u201d tier that we did with the 65, I should have had as a 30. Hillmon is now probably a soft 50, but as a completely different player than she was at Michigan. Her drive and coachability have been the main things that have allowed her to go from a post-scoring big with low defensive usage in college to a roll-and-cut spacing big who\u2019s highly active both at the level and in backline help. Even before her shooting breakout this year, the lesson afforded by her career arc in the WNBA is why I had faith in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/r\/reesean01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Angel Reese<\/a>\u2019s upside coming out of LSU.<\/p>\n<p>There was also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/h\/hullle01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lexie Hull<\/a>, who was the last player on my board. Her <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenexthoops.com\/wnba\/wnba-notes-saniya-rivers-nalyssa-smith-defense-lexie-hull-shooting-form\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">3-point footwork has been adjusted<\/a> since she got to Indiana, increasing her utility as a shooter, and her floor game has leveraged that into an ability to attack the more aggressive closeouts that anticipate her 3-point threat, letting her make plays downhill. Her ball pressure on the drive and rotational flexibility also play up her on-ball defense in a way that I thought her lack of burst would limit. I had her as a 30 and would probably call her a hard 45 now.<\/p>\n<p>The rest of my draft board includes lesser learning points here and there. I had too much faith in <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/e\/engstem01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\">Emily Engstler<\/a> to score off the ball when she needed far too much room to get off her threes (an issue <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/l\/leiteca01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\">Carla Leite<\/a> has as well, to a lesser extent). I nailed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/b\/bellki01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Kierstan Bell<\/a> being a better defender than scorer, but completely missed the idea of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/s\/sabalny01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Nyara Sabally<\/a> being a roll-and-cut big instead of a post scorer. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/w\/willich01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Christyn Williams<\/a> suffered a torn ACL in her would-be rookie training camp that essentially hamstrung her career (no pun intended), and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/h\/hollimy01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Mya Hollingshed<\/a> didn\u2019t break camp for reasons that should only have been apparent in pre-draft team interviews.<\/p>\n<p>I overrated <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/c\/cloudni01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\">Nia Clouden<\/a> and <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/p\/pointkh01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\">Khayla Pointer<\/a> for reasons I\u2019ve since learned are insurmountable limitations: Clouden\u2019s off-ball movement was poor, and players who make a living off jump shooting can\u2019t be good without the ability to get themselves open; and Pointer\u2019s offensive peripheral stats were truly awful, whether it was rim frequency, finishing or the number of floaters she took instead of stop-n-pop middys. Plus, Pointer had no ability to stabilize her shoulders in the midrange, an issue that no player has been able to overcome.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/link.chtbl.com\/LOWomensBasketball?fbclid=PAZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAafBri8Vr6AyDuPZOTI77xYbt0INqiA0PQzzK_230_cPU6nbSHPIJisPOzTZmg_aem_SyvgQkf8YEYOb8uqvnAZVQ\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"328\" height=\"250\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1752974529_707_locked-on-wbb-ad.png\" alt=\"Locked on Women's Basketball podcast logo.\" class=\"wp-image-46459 size-full\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tune in to Locked On Women\u2019s Basketball<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Here at The Next, in addition to the 24\/7\/365 written content our staff provides, we also host the daily <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenexthoops.com\/category\/podcast\/locked-on-wbb\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Locked On Women\u2019s Basketball<\/a> podcast. Join us Monday through Saturday each week as we discuss all things WNBA, collegiate basketball, basketball history and much more. Listen wherever you find podcasts or watch on YouTube.<\/p>\n<p>Everyone else I was fairly close on, overrating a few players \u2014 such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/c\/cubajlo01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Lorela Cubaj<\/a> \u2014 for having defined roles they could succeed in, even if those roles weren\u2019t particularly valuable. All in all, redoing the board with the knowledge I have now would likely result in Smith and Austin switching places, Clouden and Cubaj moving down, Pointer moving off the board entirely, and <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/wnba\/players\/n\/nelsool01w.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=www.thenexthoops.com&amp;utm_campaign=2025-07-19_bbr\">Olivia Nelson-Ododa<\/a> moving slightly up.<\/p>\n<p>This exercise is going to be more interesting next year when it\u2019s a conversation between me, Hunter and Lincoln about 2023, our first draft class together.<\/p>\n<p>Monumental Sports and Entertainment, the group that owns the Washington Mystics, holds a minority stake in The Next. The Next\u2019s editorial operations are entirely independent of Monumental and all other business partners.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"For reference, since this notebook comes out over the weekend, I define \u201cthis week\u201d as the prior Sunday&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22716,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[20447,438,20448,20449,4677,5621,18118,99,20450,8253,434,2940,20451],"class_list":["post-22715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-wnba","tag-2022-wnba-draft","tag-chicago-sky","tag-draft-board","tag-khayla-pointer","tag-las-vegas-aces","tag-lexie-hull","tag-rhyne-howard","tag-sports","tag-sunday-notes","tag-washington-mystics","tag-wnba","tag-wnba-draft","tag-wnba-notes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22715"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22715\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22716"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}