{"id":235615,"date":"2025-10-19T05:26:09","date_gmt":"2025-10-19T05:26:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/235615\/"},"modified":"2025-10-19T05:26:09","modified_gmt":"2025-10-19T05:26:09","slug":"brexit-impact-will-be-negative-for-foreseeable-future-bank-chief-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/235615\/","title":{"rendered":"Brexit impact will be negative for foreseeable future, Bank chief warns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Andrew Bailey has warned that the economic impacts of Brexit will be negative \u201cfor the foreseeable future\u201d in the strongest intervention yet by the governor of the Bank of England on the consequences of Britain\u2019s exit from the EU.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">He said that he was careful not to give a personal view on Brexit, and that it was his job as a public official to implement the decision \u201ctaken by the people of the UK\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">\u201cBut if you ask me what the impact is on economic growth, I do have to answer that question as a public official,\u201d he said. \u201cAnd the answer is that, for the foreseeable future, it is negative but over the longer time there should be a positive, albeit partial, counterbalance.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">\u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/politics\/article\/wes-streeting-brexit-rache-reeves-farage-tax-budget-r30sjm5nv\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Wes Streeting: I\u2019m glad we can now admit that Brexit is a problem<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Bailey made the remarks in Washington DC where he was addressing a group of fellow central bankers. He has previously talked about the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/business-money\/economics\/article\/rachel-reeves-budget-2025-obr-zx7m96gl8\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">impact on trade<\/a> from Brexit, which he has said \u201cweighed\u201d on the level of supply in the economy, and has called on the UK to rebuild relations with the EU. <\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">The chancellor Rachel Reeves has also previously called for Britain to have stronger ties with its once-close trading partner and last week cited the impact of Brexit as among the reasons for the tight backdrop to next month\u2019s budget.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Reeves told Sky News that Brexit was one of the reasons she was looking at \u201ctax and spending\u201d ahead of her budget on November 26.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">\u201cThere is no doubting that the impact of Brexit is severe and long lasting,\u201d she said, adding: \u201cPeople thought the UK economy would be 4 per cent smaller because of Brexit.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Four years ago the Office for Budget Responsibility said that Britain\u2019s economy would be four per cent smaller than if the country had stayed in the EU.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">While Bailey\u2019s own views on Brexit are not known, he has previously acknowledged that it has imposed restrictions on trade.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">His latest remarks follow the US president Donald Trump\u2019s decision to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/business-money\/economics\/article\/imf-donald-trump-china-trade-spqtcwsm9\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">impose tariffs<\/a> on numerous countries around the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Bailey said that the UK economy would adjust to Brexit. \u201cMake an economy less open and it will restrict growth, though over a longer time trade will adjust and rebuild,\u201d he said. \u201cAnd this appears to be what has happened. The same argument holds. The same argument holds for the world economy and tariffs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Bailey\u2019s speech also touched on advances in the economy through AI, and warned of the impact to financial stability. \u201cThere is nothing inconsistent with thinking that AI is the next big technology and being concerned that it may along the way challenge financial stability through stretched valuations, and particularly in a environment of larger global supply shocks,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">He also spelt out why Reeves was so focused on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/comment\/columnists\/article\/this-plan-could-get-britain-back-on-the-path-to-prosperity-pbp3k7zp9\" class=\"link__RespLink-sc-1ocvixa-0 csWvlP\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">economic growth<\/a>, with an example of the easier choices she would face if the economy had grown at 2.5 per cent over the last 15 years rather than the 1.5 per cent it achieved. The UK\u2019s debt-to-GDP ratio \u2014 closely watched as an indication of how much more it can borrow \u2014 would be 82 per cent now, instead of 96 per cent. \u201cIf the denominator grows more slowly, economic policy making gets more difficult,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">His speech also touched on advances in the economy through AI, and warned of the impact to financial stability. \u201cThere is nothing inconsistent with thinking that AI is the next big technology and being concerned that it may along the way challenge financial stability through stretched valuations, and particularly in an environment of larger global supply shocks,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p id=\"last-paragraph\" class=\"responsive__Paragraph-sc-1pktst5-0 gaEeqC\">Bailey\u2019s predecessor Mark Carney \u2014 who is now the prime minister of Canada \u2014 waded in to the Brexit debate ahead of the referendum in 2016, warning that leaving the EU could possibly tip Britain into recession. His remarks drew sharp criticism from a number of pro-Brexit politicians. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Andrew Bailey has warned that the economic impacts of Brexit will be negative \u201cfor the foreseeable future\u201d in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":235616,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101],"class_list":["post-235615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=235615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235615\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/235616"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=235615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=235615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=235615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}