{"id":28514,"date":"2025-07-22T11:28:09","date_gmt":"2025-07-22T11:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/28514\/"},"modified":"2025-07-22T11:28:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-22T11:28:09","slug":"manufacturing-sector-to-slow-in-second-half","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/28514\/","title":{"rendered":"Manufacturing sector to slow in second half"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Conference Board\u2019s Leading Economic Index implies that the broader manufacturing sector will slow into the second half of the year.<\/p>\n<p>The index, a composite index made up of 10 economic indicators, tends to lead domestic industrial production by about six months and has looked soft since April.<\/p>\n<p>Trade policy, tariffs and a weaker dollar, all of which are contributing to an increase in the cost of doing business, will weigh on both profit margins and inflation<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/realeconomy.wpenginepowered.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/7_22_2025_MM.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-26248 size-mailchimp-images\" src=\"https:\/\/realeconomy.wpenginepowered.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/7_22_2025_MM-560x286.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"560\" height=\"286\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A closer look at the index shows that the only thing holding it up are elevated valuations inside the equity market.<\/p>\n<p>While we do not expect the domestic economy to roll over into inflation\u2014we see a 40% probability of a recession over the next 12 months\u2014a growth scare could come in October or November as tariffs and a weaker dollar begin to weigh heavily on manufacturing firms.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Conference Board\u2019s Leading Economic Index implies that the broader manufacturing sector will slow into the second half&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28515,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[28,112],"class_list":{"0":"post-28514","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-markets"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28514","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28514"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28514\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28515"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28514"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28514"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28514"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}