{"id":289411,"date":"2025-11-13T16:26:11","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T16:26:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/289411\/"},"modified":"2025-11-13T16:26:11","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T16:26:11","slug":"economist-mohamed-el-erian-says-ais-rational-bubble-could-still-end-in-tears","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/289411\/","title":{"rendered":"Economist Mohamed El-Erian says AI&#8217;s &#8216;rational bubble&#8217; could still end in tears"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Artificial intelligence may be the hottest trade on Wall Street \u2014 but that doesn&#8217;t mean it won&#8217;t end painfully for some investors.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;We believe that we are in a rational bubble,&#8221; economist and former PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian said at <a data-i13n=\"cpos:1;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/invest2025\/?feature.enableInvestSplash=1\" data-ylk=\"slk:Yahoo Finance&#039;s Invest event.;cpos:1;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Yahoo Finance&#8217;s Invest event.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">He added that while some investors may get burned, &#8220;the aggregate value of what&#8217;s being created is significant&#8221; and therefore, rational.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">El-Erian, who previously chaired former President Obama&#8217;s Global Development Council, explained that this bubble \u2014 unlike the dot-com craze of the late 1990s \u2014 is underpinned by real technological progress and extraordinary long-term potential.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;The good news is that it&#8217;s a construct that will make us more innovative, more competitive,&#8221; he said. &#8220;The bad news is there will be tears, there will be losses because elements of it are elements of a bubble.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\"><a data-i13n=\"cpos:2;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/yahoo-finance-invest-features-exclusive-conversations-on-ai-crypto-and-the-economy-130456662.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:Catch up on the latest moments from Yahoo Finance Invest;cpos:2;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Catch up on the latest moments from Yahoo Finance Invest<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Signs of excess are already visible, El-Erian said, particularly in three areas. The first is what he describes as the &#8220;frontier,&#8221; or companies building foundational models.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Not all of them are going to succeed, and yet all of them are attracting significant investment,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">El-Erian also pointed to a largely overlooked challenge: the issue of &#8220;diffusion,&#8221; or getting AI technology integrated across the broader economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">&#8220;Diffusion means getting AI into the workplace in an orderly &#8230; comprehensive fashion,&#8221; he said, noting the US lacks a clear national policy compared with countries like China. &#8220;We&#8217;ve got to get diffusion right, otherwise the promise of AI is not going to be fully realized.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">That policy gap could determine whether the US actually benefits from the AI revolution. So far, job security appears to be the most immediate casualty. According to a <a data-i13n=\"cpos:3;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.challengergray.com\/blog\/october-challenger-report-153074-job-cuts-on-cost-cutting-ai\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:report;cpos:3;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">report<\/a> from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas, October saw the <a data-i13n=\"cpos:4;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/last-month-marked-worst-october-for-layoffs-in-more-than-20-years-challenger-132320043.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:largest number of layoffs since 2003;cpos:4;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">largest number of layoffs since 2003<\/a>. In the technology sector, job cuts were largely tied to restructuring and AI integration.<\/p>\n<p>    <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor of Allianz, speaks at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 2, 2016. REUTERS\/Lucy Nicholson\" loading=\"eager\" height=\"640\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-1gfnohs loader\"\/> Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor of Allianz, speaks at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 2, 2016. REUTERS\/Lucy Nicholson  \u00b7 REUTERS \/ Reuters    <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">El-Erian added that corporate behavior also reflects bubble-like tendencies. AI&#8217;s early movers like OpenAI (<a data-i13n=\"cpos:5;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/OPAI.PVT\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:OPAI.PVT;cpos:5;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OPAI.PVT<\/a>), Anthropic (<a data-i13n=\"cpos:6;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/ANTH.PVT\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:ANTH.PVT;cpos:6;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ANTH.PVT<\/a>), and Alphabet (<a data-i13n=\"cpos:7;pos:1\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/GOOG\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:GOOG;cpos:7;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">GOOG<\/a>) are commanding staggering valuations. But many companies are now branding themselves as AI-powered simply to attract investor attention \u2014 a dynamic that echoes the dot-com era.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1090901\">Still, El-Erian said, it makes sense investors are pouring billions into the nascent technology, even as signs of froth begin to emerge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Artificial intelligence may be the hottest trade on Wall Street \u2014 but that doesn&#8217;t mean it won&#8217;t end&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":289412,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[181,28,101,160,65550,152060,152061,152062],"class_list":{"0":"post-289411","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-artificial-intelligence","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-economy","11":"tag-investors","12":"tag-mohamed-el-erian","13":"tag-president-obama","14":"tag-rational-bubble","15":"tag-technological-progress"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/289411","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=289411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/289411\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/289412"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=289411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=289411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=289411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}