{"id":342973,"date":"2025-12-11T21:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T21:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/342973\/"},"modified":"2025-12-11T21:00:09","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T21:00:09","slug":"analysis-with-fed-rate-cuts-behind-us-ai-and-bonds-are-now-on-wall-streets-mind","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/342973\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis: With Fed rate cuts behind us, AI and bonds are now on Wall Street\u2019s mind"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>      New York<br \/>\n        \u00a0\u2014\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1ihccd004z26p4hltne4g0@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Wall Street got the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/business\/live-news\/federal-reserve-interest-rate-12-10-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rate cut<\/a> it wanted. But with the Federal Reserve set to take a more cautious approach to trimming interest rates in 2026, investors are now left to wrestle with other concerns that had been put on the back burner while Fed rate cuts were top of mind.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1mit1h000d356n33r85085@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            The Fed\u2019s three consecutive cuts in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/business\/live-news\/federal-reserve-interest-rate-09-17-25\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">September<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/business\/live-news\/federal-reserve-interest-rate-10-29-25\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">October<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/business\/live-news\/federal-reserve-interest-rate-12-10-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">December<\/a> helped markets climb higher and look past nerves about artificial intelligence and uncertainty about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/11\/07\/economy\/tariffs-supreme-court-trumps-next-step\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tariffs<\/a>.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1ml2r8000i356nwxc40cy4@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            With Fed Chair Jerome Powell telegraphing that rate cuts might be on pause for a while, Wall Street\u2019s focus is turning elsewhere. And uncertainty that had been bubbling under the surface becomes harder to ignore when there isn\u2019t <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/12\/09\/business\/us-stock-market-federal-reserve-rate-decision\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Fed rate-cut optimism to help boost stocks<\/a>.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1n9bml0002356n65958q6z@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Lingering concerns about AI are resurfacing, while recent moves in the bond market are giving some investors pause.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1krgg20015356nn4odq7yl@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            One concern: While AI <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/11\/27\/tech\/ai-bubble-analysts-bull-case\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">might not be in a bubble<\/a> that\u2019s about to burst, there is genuine uncertainty about just how profitable every company with enormous aspirations is going to be \u2014 and whether the spending taking place will be justified.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1ks04c0018356n91fo1hgz@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Wall Street is taking a more scrupulous look at AI companies\u2019 earnings results. Oracle shares (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/markets\/stocks\/ORCL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ORCL<\/a>) slumped 13% on Thursday \u2014 wiping out more than $100 billion in market value \u2014 after the company reported third-quarter results that just missed Wall Street\u2019s expectations.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1p3h4q0000356ns6v4c0o0@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Oracle shares are down 41% since hitting a record high in September.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1n7na70000356n6a2kywmr@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cOracle is entering into the heaviest phase of its AI infrastructure buildout, and [the third quarter] highlighted the timing mismatch of buildout spend to revenue conversion,\u201d analysts at Bank of America said in a note.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1o6fi90022356nsc7y1uyq@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            AI and tech stocks have helped carry the market higher in recent years. So when investors sell shares, it can weigh on the broader market.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1njxl0000n356n02r6g1w4@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Tech shares came under pressure on Thursday. Nvidia (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/markets\/stocks\/NVDA\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NVDA<\/a>) fell 2.1%, while Alphabet (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/markets\/stocks\/GOOG\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">GOOG<\/a>) fell 2.3%, weighing on the Nasdaq.\n    <\/p>\n<p>       <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ap25344569337501.jpg\" alt=\"When tech and AI shares fall, it can weigh on the broader market.\" class=\"image_large__dam-img image_large__dam-img--loading\" onload=\"this.classList.remove('image_large__dam-img--loading')\" onerror=\"imageLoadError(this)\" height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1qx62p0000356nz6gasuci@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Investors rotated into other sectors, pushing the Dow higher by 620 points, or 1.29%, and putting it on track for a record high close. The S&amp;P 500 inched higher and was also set for a record high.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1r8lu60002356nx4ws5xhh@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cWe\u2019re not surprised to see near-term optimism in the markets, given that the Fed continues to cut rates even though the economy is growing,\u201d Chris Zaccarelli, CIO at Northlight Asset Management, said in an email.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1rdkyp0007356ne3ckixx7@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cHowever, we think the rose colored glasses may come off once investors realize that the path to lower interest rates may take longer \u2014 or may not materialize at all \u2014 to the extent that they believe it will,\u201d Zaccarelli said.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1nuaml0016356nbgwklzx8@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/12\/11\/business\/jerome-powell-donald-trump-affordabliity\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Affordability<\/a> \u2014 and the cost of living \u2014 are front and center in discussions about the economy. President Donald Trump continues to lambast the Fed for not lowering rates as fast as he\u2019d like.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1ko2mh000p356nvtocunea@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            The Fed\u2019s benchmark interest rate influences <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/12\/10\/business\/consumer-interest-rates-savings-debts-fed\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">borrowing costs<\/a> like credit card rates. But it\u2019s long-term bond yields \u2014 like the 10-year Treasury \u2014 that influence borrowing costs like mortgage rates.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1oganr002k356nrgw20w0d@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            When the Fed cuts rates, bonds tend to rally, pushing down yields \u2014 and resulting in lower borrowing costs.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1o5jyj001x356nbbknya2l@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            But the opposite recently happened: The 10-year yield just hit its highest level in three months before falling on Wednesday and Thursday.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1jbjnj0009356nn3ft0rqk@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            It\u2019s a sign that investors could be nervous that inflation might be a more persistent issue. (So they demand a higher yield to compensate for that potential inflation eating into their return).\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1jbjnj000a356ncxd0fqzo@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            And it\u2019s also a stark reminder that while Trump wants lower rates, the bond market will have the final say in determining key borrowing costs.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1jbjnj000b356n2948mpyf@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Other items on bond investors\u2019 minds:\n    <\/p>\n<p>            Concerns about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/06\/03\/business\/ray-dalio-deficit-bond-market\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">government debt burdens<\/a> have not gone away.<\/p>\n<p>            Bond yields are rising in Japan, signaling a trend of rising borrowing costs across the globe.<\/p>\n<p>            Some investors have reservations about National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett potentially becoming the next Fed chair.<\/p>\n<p>            There is still uncertainty about the Supreme Court\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/11\/02\/economy\/scotus-trump-tariffs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">expected ruling<\/a> on a wide swath of Trump\u2019s tariffs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1l1aaq0025356nylwzyjkv@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cBond investors aren\u2019t following the Fed\u2019s easing script,\u201d Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, said in a note. \u201cThey remain concerned about large US federal budget deficits and mounting US debt. They can see that inflation remains above the Fed\u2019s 2.0% target. They are also seeing soaring bond yields in Japan.\u201d\n    <\/p>\n<p>       <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ap25338621470597.jpg\" alt=\"The 10-year Treasury yield influences key borrowing costs like mortgage rates.\" class=\"image_large__dam-img image_large__dam-img--loading\" onload=\"this.classList.remove('image_large__dam-img--loading')\" onerror=\"imageLoadError(this)\" height=\"1333\" width=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1l0has0021356nw08ao9lg@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            To Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co, AI and bond yields present two potential \u201cheadwinds\u201d for markets as investors look ahead to 2026.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1k95l3000b356n5gcpgfhe@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cAs it becomes more and more evident (obvious) that the AI industry is not going to be as broadly profitable\u2026or as quickly profitable\u2026as the market is pricing in, it\u2019s going to create some serious headwinds in our opinion,\u201d Maley said.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1jfr39000l356nk1mnq9n9@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Meanwhile, \u201cjust as important\u201d for markets is the prospect that bond yields continue to rise, Maley said.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1okri70000356nim4nj707@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Higher bond yields broadly correspond to higher borrowing costs, which can constrain the spending and business activity that can help juice stocks. Meanwhile, higher bond yields can also pull investors away from stocks.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1pbk820005356nqyacwkxa@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cThis pattern of rising long-term interest rates is highly unusual when we look at the historical reaction during Fed cutting cycles,\u201d Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo, said in a note. \u201cThe bottom line is that \u2026 investors across all asset classes need to think about why\u201d this is happening.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1p5pr80002356nx85yaw2z@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            And it\u2019s occurring at a time when tech companies \u2014 like Oracle \u2014 are raising debt to help finance their aspiration for building infrastructure to support the AI boom. Those borrowing costs could rise if bond yields rise.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-elevate inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cmj1k1bvu0005356nl1k16ckl@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            \u201cWe believe that 2026 is going to face some real problems,\u201d Maley said.\n    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"New York \u00a0\u2014\u00a0 Wall Street got the rate cut it wanted. But with the Federal Reserve set to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":342974,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[182,181,507,74],"class_list":["post-342973","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/342973","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=342973"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/342973\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/342974"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=342973"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=342973"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=342973"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}