{"id":343708,"date":"2025-12-12T04:54:16","date_gmt":"2025-12-12T04:54:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/343708\/"},"modified":"2025-12-12T04:54:16","modified_gmt":"2025-12-12T04:54:16","slug":"five-debt-hotspots-in-the-ai-data-centre-boom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/343708\/","title":{"rendered":"Five debt hotspots in the AI data centre boom"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">By Lucy Raitano<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">LONDON, Dec 11 (Reuters) &#8211; As AI fever has propelled global stocks to record highs, the data centres needed to power the technology are increasingly being financed with debt, adding to concerns about the risks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">A UBS report last month said AI data centre and project financing deals surged to $125 billion so far this year, from $15 billion in the same period in \u200b2024, with more supply from the sector expected to be pivotal for credit markets in 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">&#8220;Public and private credit seems to have become a major source of funding for AI investments, and \u200cits rapid growth raised some concerns,&#8221; said Anton Dombrovskiy, fixed income portfolio specialist at T. Rowe Price.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">&#8220;Although up until now an increase in supply has been met with relatively healthy demand, this is the area to watch especially taking into account large financing needs estimates,&#8221; Dombrovskiy \u200cadded.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">The Bank of England warned last week that the growing role of debt in the AI infrastructure boom could heighten potential financial stability risks if valuations correct.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Christopher Kramer, portfolio manager and senior trader on Investment Grade Credit team at Neuberger told Reuters that the market has seen a structural shift as the largest technology companies finance their AI infrastructure ambitions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">&#8220;They really haven&#8217;t been focal points in our market from a debt issuance standpoint, and that&#8217;s obviously shifting really dramatically &#8230; anytime you have that, it creates a lot of opportunity,&#8221; he said on November 28.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">&#8220;We&#8217;re excited just from the standpoint that the market&#8217;s changing. You&#8217;re going to have a different dynamic, it creates an opportunity to take risks and \u2060create value for our investors,&#8221; Kramer added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Here are five charts that show how \u200cdebt is increasingly funding AI&#8217;s race for space.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">1) ORACLE: CDS SPIKE REFLECTS INVESTOR CONCERN<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Oracle shares fell 13% on Thursday, sparking a broader tech selloff as its massive spending and weak forecasts fanned doubts over how quickly big bets on AI will pay off.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Tech executives, whose companies long depended on strong cash flows to fund spending on new initiatives, \u200dhave said the outlays are necessary for a technology that will transform work and make businesses more efficient, arguing the bigger risk is underinvesting, not overspending.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">At their peak in September, Oracle shares had almost doubled in value year-to-date on the back of a $300 billion deal with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/organizations\/openai\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:OpenAI;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OpenAI<\/a>. But they have since fallen 44%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">In September, U.S. credit rating agency Moody&#8217;s flagged several potential risks in Oracle&#8217;s new contracts, but stopped short of taking any ratings action.<\/p>\n<p> Story Continues  <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Oracle&#8217;s debt levels have been a focal point for \u200binvestors, against a broader backdrop of more AI debt issuance and its credit default swaps (CDS), a form of insurance against default, have surged to at least five-year highs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Boaz Weinstein&#8217;s Saba Capital Management sold credit derivatives in \u200crecent months to lenders seeking protection on the likes of Oracle and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/organizations\/microsoft\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Microsoft;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Microsoft<\/a>, Reuters reported last month.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">2) AI INVESTMENT GRADE BORROWING SURGES<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">The investment grade (IG) debt market has seen a huge influx of tech issuance in recent months. Mega deals in September and October included $18 billion from Oracle and $30 billion from Meta. Google owner Alphabet also announced new borrowing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">JP Morgan estimates AI-linked companies account for 14% of its investment grade index, surpassing U.S. banks as the dominant sector.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">But Big Tech deals still only account for a fraction of the nearly $1.6 trillion in U.S. IG debt issues expected in 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">3) MORE AI-RELATED &#8216;HIGH YIELD&#8217; BONDS<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">There has also been AI-linked issuance in the high-yield debt market, where issuers have lower credit ratings yet investors are offered higher returns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Overall, junk tech bond issuance is at a record high, data from Dealogic shows.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Al Cattermole, fixed income portfolio manager and senior analyst at Mirabaud Asset Management, said that \u2060as of November 25, his team had not invested in any of the AI-linked IG or high-yield bonds that had recently \u200bhit the market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">&#8220;Until we see data centres being delivered on time and on budget and providing the computing power that they are \u200bintended to &#8211; and there still being the demand for it &#8211; it is untested,&#8221; Cattermole told Reuters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">&#8220;And because it&#8217;s untested, that&#8217;s why I think you need to be compensated like an equity &#8230; not debt,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">4) PRIVATE CREDIT&#8217;S INCREASING ROLE IN AI FUNDING<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Private credit &#8211; extended by the likes of investment firms, rather than banks &#8211; is also funding AI data centres.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">UBS estimates \u200dprivate credit AI loans may have nearly doubled in the \u206012 months through early 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Morgan Stanley estimates private credit markets could supply over half the $1.5 trillion needed for the data centre build out until 2028.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">5) ABS MAKEOVER?<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">Securitised products, such as asset-backed securities (ABS), will also help fund AI industry growth, says Morgan Stanley.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">They bundle together illiquid assets such as loans, credit card debt, or &#8211; in AI context &#8211; rent payable to a data centre owner by a Big Tech tenant, \u2060into a tradable security.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">While digital infrastructure accounts for just 5%, or $82 billion, of the roughly $1.6 trillion U.S. ABS market, BofA notes it has expanded more than nine fold in less than five years. It estimates that data centres backed 63% of that market, which \u200cit expects to add $50-$60 billion in supply in 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">ABS are viewed with caution since the 2008 crisis when billions of dollars worth of products turned out to be backed by soured \u200cloans and highly illiquid and complex assets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-7hmkaz\">(Reporting by Lucy Raitano; Editing by Amanda Cooper, Dhara Ranasinghe and Alexander Smith)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"By Lucy Raitano LONDON, Dec 11 (Reuters) &#8211; As AI fever has propelled global stocks to record highs,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":343709,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[182,181,507,172098,17493,10377,53871,52083,153939,28212,172099,74],"class_list":["post-343708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-christopher-kramer","tag-credit-card-debt","tag-data-centres","tag-debt-issuance","tag-debt-market","tag-investment-grade","tag-private-credit","tag-project-financing","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=343708"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343708\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/343709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=343708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=343708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=343708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}