{"id":479280,"date":"2026-02-20T05:24:09","date_gmt":"2026-02-20T05:24:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/479280\/"},"modified":"2026-02-20T05:24:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-20T05:24:09","slug":"japan-inflation-falls-below-bojs-2-target-for-first-time-since-march-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/479280\/","title":{"rendered":"Japan inflation falls below BOJ&#8217;s 2% target for first time since March 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Shop owners of a 70-year-old &#8220;takoyaki&#8221;, or octopus balls, restaurant chat while cooking along a street in the Taito Ward area of Tokyo on February 21, 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Richard A. Brooks | Afp | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s headline inflation rate fell to 1.5% in January, its lowest level since March 2022. <\/p>\n<p>The reading ended a run of 45 straight months in which inflation had remained above the Bank of Japan&#8217;s 2% target.<\/p>\n<p>Core inflation rate, which excludes fresh food prices, eased to 2%, the lowest level since January 2024 and matching\u00a0the 2% forecast by economists polled by Reuters. It was down from 2.4% in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/01\/23\/japan-december-inflation-rice-prices-snap-election-sanae-takaichi-boj.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">December<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The so-called &#8220;core-core&#8221; inflation \u2014 excluding prices of fresh food and energy \u2014 came in at 2.6%, compared with 2.9% in December.<\/p>\n<p>The slowdown was driven by declines in fresh food, raw meat and fresh flower prices, as well as a sharper drop in petroleum products.<\/p>\n<p>Goods inflation fell to 1.6% from 2.7%, its lowest level since August 2021, while services inflation held steady at 1.4%.<\/p>\n<p>In January, the Bank of Japan upgraded its inflation forecasts for fiscal 2026, which begins April 1. It projected core inflation at 1.9% and &#8220;core-core&#8221; inflation at 2.2%, up from 1.8% and 2%, respectively, in its October 2025 outlook.<\/p>\n<p>The BOJ also wrote in its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.boj.or.jp\/en\/mopo\/outlook\/gor2601a.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">outlook <\/a>that the year-over-year rise in consumer prices is likely to fall below 2% in the first half of 2026, as food prices stabilize and government efforts to ease living costs.<\/p>\n<p>Rice inflation slowed for an eighth straight month to 27.9%.<\/p>\n<p>Among those measures is an election pledge by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to suspend an 8% food tax for two years.<\/p>\n<p>Takaichi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/09\/japan-election-sanae-takaichi-markets-yen-bonds-nikkei-225-jgb-160-usd-ldp.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">swept to a landslide victory<\/a> in the Feb. 8 Lower House election, with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party winning 316 seats, the strongest showing by a single party since the end of World War II.<\/p>\n<p>The inflation reading comes after Japan&#8217;s economy grew 0.1% in the fourth quarter on Monday, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/02\/16\/japan-fourth-quarter-gdp-reverses-into-growth-but-misses-expectations-as-rebound-underwhelms.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">narrowly avoiding a technical recession<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the slowdown in headline inflation, the Bank of Japan is unlikely to delay rate hikes, according to Norihiro Yamaguchi, lead Japan economist at Oxford Economics. <\/p>\n<p>He said fresh-food prices remain volatile, while energy costs fell after Japan scrapped its fuel tax in December. <\/p>\n<p>As a result, the core-core index, which excludes fresh foods and energy, provides a clearer gauge of underlying price pressures, easing only gradually to 2.6% from 2.9%. <\/p>\n<p>Yamaguchi expects the BOJ to raise rates to 1% at its June meeting, after assessing spring wage negotiation data.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Shop owners of a 70-year-old &#8220;takoyaki&#8221;, or octopus balls, restaurant chat while cooking along a street in the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":479281,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[8073,8072,449,28,122,2402,3471,19782,32047,1534,221437,221439,131877,1052,5885,221438],"class_list":{"0":"post-479280","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-asia-economy","9":"tag-breaking-news-asia","10":"tag-breaking-news-economy","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-business-news","13":"tag-inflation","14":"tag-japan","15":"tag-japan-government","16":"tag-japanese-yen","17":"tag-jpmorgan-chase-co","18":"tag-mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group-inc","19":"tag-mizuho-financial-group-inc","20":"tag-nomura-holdings-inc","21":"tag-prices","22":"tag-sony-group-corp","23":"tag-sumitomo-mitsui-financial-group-inc"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479280","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=479280"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479280\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/479281"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=479280"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=479280"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=479280"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}