{"id":50207,"date":"2025-07-31T14:18:11","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T14:18:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/50207\/"},"modified":"2025-07-31T14:18:11","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T14:18:11","slug":"june-pce-feds-favored-inflation-gauge-ticked-higher-in-june","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/50207\/","title":{"rendered":"June PCE: Fed&#8217;s favored inflation gauge ticked higher in June"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p> The Claman Countdown panelists Jonathan Corpina and Gabriela Santos discuss the Feds decision to keep interest rates the same.<\/p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/inflation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">inflation gauge<\/a> showed that prices increased slightly in June as the central bank continues to monitor for signs of tariff-induced inflation impacting consumers.<\/p>\n<p>The Commerce Department on Thursday reported that the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/economic-indicators\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">personal consumption expenditures (PCE)<\/a> index rose 0.3% on a monthly basis and 2.6% from a year ago, with the headline figure above the estimate of economists polled by LSEG. Those figures mark accelerations from last month&#8217;s readings of 0.1% and 2.3%.<\/p>\n<p>Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 0.3% on a monthly basis in June and 2.8% from a year ago, with the annual figure coming in above estimates. On an annual basis, core PCE ticked higher from 2.7% last month, while the monthly figure was also up from the 0.2% reading in May.<\/p>\n<p>Federal Reserve policymakers are focusing on the PCE headline figure as they try to bring inflation back to their long-run target of 2%, though they view core data as a better indicator of inflation. Headline PCE rose from 2.3% to 2.6% in June, while core PCE also rose from 2.7% to 2.8%.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/federal-reserve-interest-rate-decision-july-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">FEDERAL RESERVE HOLDS KEY INTEREST RATE STEADY FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MEETING DESPITE TRUMP&#8217;S PRESSURE<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/fox-news-consumer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Prices for goods<\/a> were up 0.6% in June from a year ago. Durable goods rose 0.9% from last year and nondurable goods were up 0.5% over that period.<\/p>\n<p>Services prices were 3.5% higher in June when compared with last year.<\/p>\n<p>Wages and salaries increased 0.1% on a monthly basis in June, which was the slowest monthly growth since at least November.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/savings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">personal savings rate<\/a> as a percentage of disposable personal income was 4.5%, unchanged from last month.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/federal-reserve-independence-risk-from-trumps-pressure-campaign-j-p-morgan-warns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">FEDERAL RESERVE INDEPENDENCE AT RISK FROM TRUMP&#8217;S PRESSURE CAMPAIGN, J.P. MORGAN WARNS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/consumers-grocery-store-aisle.jpg\" alt=\"Grocery store shoppers\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Both headline and core PCE inflation rose faster than expected on an annual basis. (Howard Schnapp\/Newsday RM via Getty Images \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>The Commerce Department&#8217;s PCE report comes a day after the central bank held interest rates steady as policymakers are on the lookout for signs of a rebound in inflation driven by President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/donald-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Donald Trump&#8217;s<\/a> tariffs.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/the-fed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Federal Reserve<\/a> left its benchmark federal funds rate unchanged for the fifth straight meeting, holding steady at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%.<\/p>\n<p>Fed Chair <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/category\/jerome-powell\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Jerome Powell<\/a> said that policymakers are in a good position to wait and see how tariffs impact the economy and to respond quickly if the economy shows signs of a weakening labor market or inflation starts to rise markedly.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Powell noted that &#8220;higher tariffs have begun to show through more clearly to prices of some goods, but their overall effects on economic activity and inflation remain to be seen,&#8221; explaining that tariffs could be a one-time shift in the price level or could lead to more persistent inflation.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/politics\/fed-meeting-looms-trump-celebrates-3-gdp-growth-pushes-rate-cuts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">FED MEETING LOOMS AS TRUMP CELEBRATES 3% GDP GROWTH, PUSHES FOR RATE CUTS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/jerome-powell.jpg\" alt=\"Fed Chair Jerome Powell\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the economy is in a solid position as policymakers monitor for signs of rising inflation due to the impact of tariffs. (Kent Nishimura\/Getty Images \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Michael Pearce, deputy chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, said that the latest PCE report shows a slowing consumer with tariffs beginning to cause a rise in prices.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Tariffs are begininning to make their mark on the inflation data. While services inflation remains subdued, helped by slowing housing inflation, core goods prices are up sharply in recent months,&#8221; Pearce explained. &#8220;As Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell argued on Wednesday, the Fed will not cut rates until it is confident that a temporary rise in goods prices isn&#8217;t bleeding through into broader inflation and inflation expectations.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/apps-products\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO BY CLICKING HERE<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The market saw the June PCE report as decreasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September. The CME FedWatch tool&#8217;s probability of a rate cut dropped from 46.7% after the Fed&#8217;s pause yesterday to 39% on Thursday, while the chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged rose from 52.4% to 61% in that period.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Claman Countdown panelists Jonathan Corpina and Gabriela Santos discuss the Feds decision to keep interest rates the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":50208,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101],"class_list":["post-50207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50207","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50207"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50207\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}