{"id":521485,"date":"2026-03-13T16:45:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T16:45:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/521485\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T16:45:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T16:45:08","slug":"theres-only-one-way-a-matthew-knies-trade-makes-sense-for-the-maple-leafs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/521485\/","title":{"rendered":"There\u2019s only one way a Matthew Knies trade makes sense for the Maple Leafs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s hard to believe, but we\u2019re already one week past the NHL trade deadline. In at least one market, however, the conversation hasn\u2019t stopped \u2014 and it\u2019s all focused on a trade that didn\u2019t happen.<\/p>\n<p>Toronto Maple Leafs talented power forward Matthew Knies\u2019 name has been out there in trade talks, and that fact has given the rumor mill plenty of fodder over the past seven days. Sources from other teams confirmed that Knies\u2019 name was circulating in the lead-up to the deadline, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsnet.ca\/nhl\/article\/trade-deadline-thoughts-could-leafs-be-persuaded-to-move-matthew-knies\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">first mentioned by Elliotte Friedman<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/author\/chris-johnston\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chris Johnston<\/a> doesn\u2019t believe anything was particularly close on Knies, but it\u2019s fascinating that a Leafs team that currently sits in the Eastern Conference basement would even contemplate moving a 6-foot-3, 232-pound 23-year-old left winger who had 29 goals last season.<\/p>\n<p>The big question is why?<\/p>\n<p>Even including a four-point game Thursday, Knies has been having a down year, with only 17 goals through 63 games and a lot more pucks entering his own net when he\u2019s on the ice. But he\u2019s a young player who has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7018292\/2026\/02\/03\/matthew-knies-maple-leafs-injury-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">played through a knee injury<\/a>, on a team where almost everyone is struggling, and his skill set is such that few doubt his long-term potential.<\/p>\n<p>There are two main reasons the Leafs floated his name out there last week, and neither has to do with how much they value Knies.<\/p>\n<p>One: This is an organization that lacks many assets to trade \u2014 as evidenced by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6826395\/2026\/03\/12\/toronto-maple-leafs-nhl-prospect-rankings-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">our latest prospect pool rankings<\/a> \u2014 and other teams weren\u2019t exactly enamored with their other offerings. That was why Nicolas Roy ended up being dealt to the Avalanche for a first-round pick, why Bobby McMann and Scott Laughton brought in mediocre returns, and why Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Brandon Carlo (among others) didn\u2019t go anywhere on deadline week.<\/p>\n<p>Other than for Roy, no one was willing to give up first-rounders or other prized returns for what GM Brad Treliving had on offer. So in order to do something big, which they clearly need right now, introducing higher-value assets into trade talks was necessary to get into more conversations and see what\u2019s out there.<\/p>\n<p>Two: The things the Leafs need to add <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7011624\/2026\/01\/31\/maple-leafs-retool-bruins-model-trade\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">if they\u2019re going to pull off a retool<\/a> in the offseason are in high demand around the league and incredibly hard to get.<\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019ve listened to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/podcast\/2-the-leaf-report\/episode-349\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">our recent podcast<\/a>, I\u2019m <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7078232\/2026\/03\/01\/maple-leafs-trade-deadline-retool-rebuild\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">on the record already<\/a> that I think turning this around in short order is going to be very difficult. Maybe even impossible. Free agency is incredibly low on talent \u2014 and it took another hit with Nick Schmaltz <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7108616\/2026\/03\/11\/nick-schmaltz-utah-mammoth-contract\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">re-signing in Utah earlier this week<\/a> \u2014\u00a0 especially at the positions the Leafs need to improve at.<\/p>\n<p>The No. 1 priority for whoever is running the Leafs this summer is going to have to be fixing the team\u2019s blue line, which has conceded scoring chances at an alarming rate this season. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7106593\/2026\/03\/11\/maple-leafs-coaching-change-craig-berube\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Changing coaches should help<\/a> in that regard, but it\u2019s unmistakable, too, how old, slow and ineffective at moving the puck Toronto\u2019s top six has been, even going back to last year.<\/p>\n<p>The Leafs entire D core, save for pending UFA Troy Stecher, is locked in for next season, with Ekman-Larsson signed another two seasons and greybeards Morgan Rielly, Chris Tanev and Jake McCabe all under contract until 2030. Tanev\u2019s future is hard to discern, given he was limited to just 11 games this season due to multiple injuries, but even if he is healthy, Toronto needs to turn over some of this aging cast and inject more finesse and speed into its top four.<\/p>\n<p>The other biggest need for improvement is going to be up front. John Tavares turns 36 in September, and he\u2019s produced at just a 22-goal, 51-point pace over the past 40 games. He shouldn\u2019t be a mainstay on PP1 or as the team\u2019s second-line center, at least if this organization has dreams of contending. Add in the fact that the Leafs dealt away all three of Roy, Laughton and Fraser Minten over the last 12 months, and they\u2019re clearly going to need reinforcements down the middle.<\/p>\n<p>As with the blue line, impact additions at center are incredibly hard to come by in free agency this year. So how do they get better at those two positions in the next six months? Can they?<\/p>\n<p>Below is the Leafs\u2019 projected lineup for 2026-27, without any free agents (including RFAs Matias Maccelli and Nicholas Robertson) given new contracts.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/PuckGM-Roster-Card-Thu-Mar-12-2026-15_45_50-GMT-0400-Eastern-Daylight-Time.png\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7112735\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/PuckGM-Roster-Card-Thu-Mar-12-2026-15_45_50-GMT-0400-Eastern-Daylight-Time.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Auston Matthews and William Nylander have no-movement clauses, so those weren\u2019t going to be conversations worth having at the deadline. If you\u2019re retooling instead of rebuilding, which appears to be the direction ownership is going to favor, it feels unlikely you try to move either of them in the offseason, either.<\/p>\n<p>The only other players on the roster who might get you into the trade conversation for a top-two center or first-pair D? It\u2019s Knies and Easton Cowan.<\/p>\n<p>As you can see above, the Leafs are projected to have acres of cap space in the offseason ($24 million). But we\u2019re entering a world in the NHL now where cap room is abundant and the new scarcity is being able to freely add high-end talent. Depth players are about to become way overpriced, as they\u2019re the only ones making it to UFA, and pre-existing contracts signed under the flat-cap environment are suddenly the value plays.<\/p>\n<p>So if there\u2019s an elite center (i.e., Robert Thomas) or an excellent defenseman (?) available in the coming months, the Leafs are going to have to try and be players in those trade talks. Without picks, without prospects, without many stars, they can move wherever they want; there simply aren\u2019t a lot of options to get them there.<\/p>\n<p>If the Leafs are hellbent on a retool versus a rebuild, they\u2019re going to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7106394\/2026\/03\/12\/maple-leafs-nhl-season-mistakes-collapse\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">have to start winning more trades<\/a> and finding some undervalued stars from around the league. Knies offers them one of the only opportunities to do so, but it would be a deal that obviously comes with significant potential downside given the blend of size, strength and skill he brings and the player he could still become.<\/p>\n<p>That risk, however, would be worth it if they could upgrade with a true difference maker at their two biggest positions of need.<\/p>\n<p>It may well be the only way they can do so.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It\u2019s hard to believe, but we\u2019re already one week past the NHL trade deadline. In at least one&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":521486,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[66],"tags":[385,99,1788],"class_list":["post-521485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nhl","tag-nhl","tag-sports","tag-toronto-maple-leafs"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/521485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=521485"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/521485\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/521486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=521485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=521485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=521485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}