{"id":532648,"date":"2026-03-19T11:03:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T11:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/532648\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T11:03:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T11:03:12","slug":"why-the-3t-private-credit-industry-is-wall-streets-latest-worry-npr","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/532648\/","title":{"rendered":"Why the $3T &#8216;private credit&#8217; industry is Wall Street\u2019s latest worry : NPR"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>            <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1773918190_352_.jpeg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/5551x3701+0+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fe4%2F2d%2Fc3dc4dcc42de925e33389c89cfb1%2Fgettyimages-2266677381.jpg\" class=\"img\" alt=\"A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on March 18, 2026.\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\n                A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in New York on March 18, 2026.<\/p>\n<p>                    ANGELA WEISS\/AFP via Getty Images\/AFP<\/p>\n<p>                hide caption\n            <\/p>\n<p>            toggle caption<\/p>\n<p>        ANGELA WEISS\/AFP via Getty Images\/AFP<\/p>\n<p>The risky lending business known as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/10\/29\/nx-s1-5590103\/unpacking-the-u-s-economys-cockroach-problem\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">&#8220;private credit&#8221;<\/a> is causing some very public problems for banks and investors \u2014 with implications that go far beyond Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p>                  <a class=\"imagewrap\" id=\"featuredStackSquareImagenx-s1-5590103\" href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/10\/29\/nx-s1-5590103\/unpacking-the-u-s-economys-cockroach-problem\" data-metrics-ga4=\"{&quot;category&quot;:&quot;recirculation&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:&quot;story_recirculation_click&quot;,&quot;clickType&quot;:&quot;inset box&quot;,&quot;clickUrl&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.npr.org\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/29\\\/nx-s1-5590103\\\/unpacking-the-u-s-economys-cockroach-problem&quot;}\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/1773918191_91_.jpeg\" data-original=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/2000x2000+0+0\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F83%2F87%2Fd5a907824adbb1e0b3c8a647cf4d%2F32e2e5a8-a788-4bde-8aa0-b635effcbe8f.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/2000x2000+0+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F83%2F87%2Fd5a907824adbb1e0b3c8a647cf4d%2F32e2e5a8-a788-4bde-8aa0-b635effcbe8f.jpg\" data-format=\"jpeg\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" alt=\"The rise of private credit, and why 'ordinary people's money is on the line'\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/a>         <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Private credit&#8221; refers to an opaque but fast-growing corner of the financial world: When private-equity firms and other companies that aren&#8217;t banks lend money to businesses, such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/bonds\/why-ai-worries-about-software-are-hitting-private-credit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">software companies<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/automaticusa.com\/blog\/private-credit-auto-opportunity-part-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">auto lenders<\/a>. Banks often are more reluctant to lend directly to these businesses, which they see as riskier bets \u2014 but they&#8217;re <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moodys.com\/web\/en\/us\/insights\/data-stories\/breakdown-of-banks-annual-reporting-on-private-credit.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">still exposed<\/a> to them, because banks do lend to private credit firms. <\/p>\n<p>The private credit sector has been growing for years, and is now estimated to be a $3 trillion industry, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morganstanley.com\/ideas\/private-credit-outlook-considerations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Morgan Stanley<\/a>. But its mounting problems are also becoming increasingly visible, especially after two companies backed by private credit companies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/first-brands-tricolor-collapses-invite-more-scrutiny-wall-street-sees-robust-2025-10-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">declared bankruptcy<\/a> in September. Those bankruptcies raised concerns about how carefully private credit firms were vetting the companies they lend to \u2014 and how they, and the banks and investors that finance them in turn, would get their money back.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;When you see one cockroach, there&#8217;s probably more,&#8221; JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, whose bank had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2025-11-10\/tricolor-auto-bankruptcy-kicked-off-by-jpmorgan-phone-call\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">also financed<\/a> one of the failed companies, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/10\/30\/nx-s1-5587806\/proliferation-of-private-credit-raises-fears-of-looming-financial-crisis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">warned during an October<\/a> conference call.<\/p>\n<p>More &#8220;cockroaches&#8221; have been skittering out of the private-credit woodwork in recent weeks. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/12\/05\/nx-s1-5630627\/meta-is-building-a-massive-data-center-why-its-fueling-fears-of-an-ai-bubble\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Blue Owl<\/a>, one of the largest and most prominent private-credit lenders, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.blueowl.com\/news\/certain-blue-owl-bdcs-sell-14-billion-assets-institutional-investors\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">in February said<\/a> it would sell off $1.4 billion in assets in order to give money back to some of its investors. The announcement was intended to reassure Blue Owl&#8217;s investors \u2014 but instead, it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/investing\/blue-owl-fallout-sets-off-retail-investor-panic-their-advisers-are-urging-calm-e6d81c5f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sparked widespread panic<\/a> about a collapse in private-credit assets. (A spokesman declined to comment.)<\/p>\n<p>Now <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/3103e960-5e54-4cff-a439-b61a77ab21bd?syn-25a6b1a6=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">more investors<\/a> in several private credit firms are<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/investing\/an-exodus-of-money-endangers-wall-streets-private-credit-craze-d0fbb8af\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">\u00a0trying to pull their money<\/a> out of the industry \u2014 and the panic is spilling over into the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Owl&#8217;s shares have fallen about 40% since the start of the year. The shares of other big private credit companies, including KKR, Apollo, and Blackstone, are also down by 20% or more.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;When everyone is rushing to the door at the same time, there&#8217;s an inherent panic that occurs that also affects sentiment. I think we&#8217;re seeing some of that here,&#8221; says investor Olaolu Aganga, head of portfolio construction for Citigroup&#8217;s wealth-management division.<\/p>\n<p>   Wall Street&#8217;s private credit angst is related to its AI anxiety   <\/p>\n<p>This growing panic comes at a time when U.S. investors have already spent months swinging between terror and delight \u2014 especially over tariffs, the runaway artificial intelligence boom, and, most recently, the war in Iran and its shock to global oil prices.<\/p>\n<p>                  <a class=\"imagewrap\" id=\"featuredStackSquareImagenx-s1-5615410\" href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/11\/23\/nx-s1-5615410\/ai-bubble-nvidia-openai-revenue-bust-data-centers\" data-metrics-ga4=\"{&quot;category&quot;:&quot;recirculation&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:&quot;story_recirculation_click&quot;,&quot;clickType&quot;:&quot;inset box&quot;,&quot;clickUrl&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.npr.org\\\/2025\\\/11\\\/23\\\/nx-s1-5615410\\\/ai-bubble-nvidia-openai-revenue-bust-data-centers&quot;}\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1765634172_964_\" data-original=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4380x4380+1095+0\/resize\/100\/quality\/100\/format\/jpeg\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Ff0%2F1c%2F8fb36bab4460ad7d24569abf921a%2Fgettyimages-2192213324.jpg\" data-template=\"https:\/\/npr.brightspotcdn.com\/dims3\/default\/strip\/false\/crop\/4380x4380+1095+0\/resize\/{width}\/quality\/{quality}\/format\/{format}\/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Ff0%2F1c%2F8fb36bab4460ad7d24569abf921a%2Fgettyimages-2192213324.jpg\" data-format=\"jpeg\" class=\"img lazyOnLoad\" alt=\"Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivers a keynote address at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas in January.\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/a>         <\/p>\n<p>So as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/02\/26\/nx-s1-5726396\/nvidia-earnings-ai-fan-fic-and-the-week-in-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Wall Street swings<\/a> from record high to selloff and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/02\/06\/nx-s1-5702822\/wall-streets-latest-wild-week\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">back again<\/a>, private credit&#8217;s onetime promise has turned into another source of market instability.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s [only] March, and we&#8217;ve had AI angst, private credit angst, and now we have a war \u2014 so there&#8217;s a lot of angst,&#8221; Aganga says.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the private credit angst is directly intertwined with AI. Big Tech companies and their bets on artificial intelligence have powered the stock market for years \u2014 but investors <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/11\/23\/nx-s1-5615410\/ai-bubble-nvidia-openai-revenue-bust-data-centers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">are increasingly worried<\/a> about whether and how much those investments will pay off. At the same time, they&#8217;re also worried that AI will soon render many software companies obsolete \u2014 and private credit companies are big lenders to those software companies.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Everyone&#8217;s terrified. They don&#8217;t know who the winners are. They don&#8217;t know who the losers are,&#8221; says Jared Ellias, a law professor at Harvard and coauthor of <a href=\"https:\/\/yalelawjournal.org\/article\/the-credit-markets-go-dark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">an academic paper<\/a> about private credit.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The great fear is that private credit is going to turn out to have financed a lot of the losers, and then those private credit funds are going to be left with huge losses,&#8221; he says.<\/p>\n<p>   How private credit&#8217;s problems threaten ordinary people   <\/p>\n<p>In the short term, Wall Street&#8217;s private credit selloff is cutting into the retirement accounts of some <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/investing\/the-private-credit-party-turns-ugly-for-individual-investors-287356f9?mod=Searchresults&amp;pos=1&amp;page=1&amp;gaa_at=eafs&amp;gaa_n=AWEtsqey4mNfFRI34CSCT-kOaqxGEQOLuMwOlWj_s2Pghsoq6jyGpq6B4UZM9cnDXQs%3D&amp;gaa_ts=69bb0482&amp;gaa_sig=4N6vt19P6UDBrfv7PX2_aD1wD1dXih7UEJus9_P6eU9YLA4-AkYFLw3Vd5kpAdPd5HxGccuymX0SREx42klx8w%3D%3D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">individual investors<\/a> \u2014 including those who have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/3103e960-5e54-4cff-a439-b61a77ab21bd?syn-25a6b1a6=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">bought into private credit companies<\/a> through mutual funds or their 401ks.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/10\/30\/nx-s1-5587806\/proliferation-of-private-credit-raises-fears-of-looming-financial-crisis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">even bigger-picture worry<\/a> for ordinary consumers is that the problems with private credit will ripple throughout the mainstream financial system, sparking some sort of larger meltdown. Investors and financial regulatory experts point to the sector&#8217;s lack of transparency as one cause of this concern: Private credit firms are not regulated like banks, and do not face the same level of scrutiny or government-mandated disclosures over who or what they lend to.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We simply don&#8217;t know where that money is going (who it is being lent to) and the full extent of the risks being taken,&#8221; says Brad Lipton, a former senior advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and now the director of corporate power and financial regulation at the Roosevelt Institute, a progressive think tank.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If investors get spooked about risk and start to pull their money out, we could see a &#8216;run&#8217; on the companies doing the lending and a crisis,&#8221; he adds in an email to NPR.<\/p>\n<p>Lipton and investors also worry about how much the problems with private credit lenders can infect the mainstream banking system. U.S. banks have lent some $300 billion to private credit companies, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moodys.com\/web\/en\/us\/insights\/data-stories\/breakdown-of-banks-annual-reporting-on-private-credit.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Moody&#8217;s<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As more problems with private credit companies have surfaced in recent weeks, bank stocks have sold off. The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index is down more than 11% since the start of the year, while the benchmark S&amp;P 500 is only down about 3%.<\/p>\n<p>Still, Harvard&#8217;s Ellias says he&#8217;s not currently worried about private credit companies sparking a 2008-style conflagration.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This isn&#8217;t AIG, this isn&#8217;t Lehman Brothers \u2014 this is a bunch of investors who may turn out to have made a bad bet,&#8221; says Ellias.<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s more worried that a prolonged downturn in private credit will hurt the companies that borrow from them \u2014 and who can&#8217;t get funding as easily or quickly from banks. If small or medium-sized businesses can&#8217;t get funding to help grow, the overall economy could slow down.<\/p>\n<p>But he acknowledges that at a certain point, bad bets can snowball into a bigger problem for Wall Street and the larger economy.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Financial stability is always about confidence,&#8221; Ellias says. &#8220;If private credit turns out to be this place that we lose confidence in, and then we lose confidence in everything else by association \u2013 that could be a way that there&#8217;s contagion out of this.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":532649,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[28,101],"class_list":["post-532648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/532648","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=532648"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/532648\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/532649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=532648"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=532648"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=532648"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}