{"id":552512,"date":"2026-03-29T15:21:17","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T15:21:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/552512\/"},"modified":"2026-03-29T15:21:17","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T15:21:17","slug":"one-month-into-iran-war-only-hard-choices-for-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/552512\/","title":{"rendered":"One Month Into Iran War, Only Hard Choices For Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"

WASHINGTON, March 28 (Reuters) – With global energy prices up and his job approval ratings down, Donald Trump<\/a> faces stark choices after a month of war against Iran: cut a potentially flawed deal and get out, or escalate militarily and risk a prolonged conflict that could consume his presidency.<\/p>\n

Despite a flurry of diplomatic activity, Trump ends another week of the joint U.S.-Israeli campaign struggling to contain a widening Middle East crisis as a defiant Iran maintains a chokehold on Gulf oil and gas shipments and continues missile and drone strikes across the region.<\/p>\n

The central question now, say analysts, is whether Trump is ready to wind down or ramp up what critics have called a war of choice, one that has ignited the worst global energy supply shock in history and spread far beyond the region.<\/p>\n

Trump has told aides he wants to avoid a \u201cforever war\u201d and find a negotiated exit, urging them to stress the four-to-six-week duration of hostilities he has outlined publicly, a senior White House official said, adding that such a timeline appears \u201cshaky.\u201d<\/p>\n

At the same time, Trump has threatened a major military escalation if talks fail.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s diplomatic overtures to Iran, including a 15-point peace proposal sent via a backchannel with Pakistan, appeared to demonstrate an increasingly urgent search for an off-ramp. But it remains unclear whether there are currently any realistic prospects for fruitful negotiations.<\/p>\n

\u201cPresident Trump has poor options all around to end the war,\u201d said Jonathan Panikoff, former U.S. deputy national intelligence officer for the Middle East. \u201cPart of the challenge is the lack of clarity related to what a satisfactory outcome would be.\u201d<\/p>\n

A White House official insisted that the Iran campaign \u201cwill conclude when the commander-in-chief determines that our objectives are met\u201d and that Trump had laid out explicit goals.<\/p>\n

\"PresidentPresident Donald Trump listens during a Cabinet meeting at the White House, Thursday, March 26, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo\/Alex Brandon)<\/p>\n

STRUGGLING TO CONTAIN EXPANDING WAR<\/p>\n

Apparently hedging his bets, Trump is deploying thousands more U.S. troops to the region and warning Iran of an intensified onslaught, possibly including the use of ground troops, if it does not yield to his demands.<\/p>\n

Analysts say such a show of force could be aimed at creating leverage for concessions from Tehran but risks drawing the U.S. into a more protracted conflict, with any commitment of boots on Iranian soil likely to anger many American voters.<\/p>\n

Another possible scenario, experts say, would be for the U.S. to wage a final major air assault in \u201cOperation Epic Fury\u201d to further degrade Iran\u2019s military capabilities and nuclear sites, after which Trump would declare victory and walk away, saying his war objectives had been achieved.<\/p>\n

But such a claim would ring hollow unless the vital Strait of Hormuz is completely reopened, which Iran is so far refusing to allow. Trump has voiced frustration over European allies\u2019 refusal to send warships to help secure the waterway.<\/p>\n

Trump, who has repeatedly vowed to keep the U.S. out of foreign conflicts, is seemingly struggling to contain the expanding war that he started along with Israel.<\/p>\n

\"FishingFishing boats dot the sea as cargo ships, in the background, sail through the Arabian Gulf toward the Strait of Hormuz off the United Arab Emirates, Friday, March 27, 2026. (AP Photo)<\/p>\n

Even as he has continued issuing triumphalist assessments, he has increasingly geared his messaging to reassuring nervous financial markets, pressing senior aides to emphasize that the war will be over soon, according to the senior White House official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.<\/p>\n

But the lack of a clear exit strategy carries dangers both for Trump\u2019s presidential legacy and his party\u2019s prospects as Republicans<\/a> scramble to defend narrow majorities in Congress in the November midterm elections.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s biggest miscalculation has been the extent of Tehran\u2019s retaliation. It has used its remaining missiles and drones to strike Israel and neighboring Gulf states and mostly close the Strait of Hormuz, the conduit for one-fifth of the world\u2019s oil, sending shockwaves through the global economy.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Iranian government\u2019s bet is they can take more pain for longer than their adversaries, and they might be right,\u201d said Jon Alterman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank in Washington.<\/p>\n

The White House official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Trump and his team were \u201cwell-prepared\u201d for Iran\u2019s response in the strait and are confident it will reopen soon.<\/p>\n

Even so, the clearest sign of Trump\u2019s growing anxiety about the war came on Monday with his dramatic climbdown from a threat to destroy Iran\u2019s power grid if it did not allow shipping to resume through the strait.<\/p>\n

In a move widely seen as intended to calm markets, he declared a five-day pause in carrying out his threat in order to give diplomacy a chance. On Thursday, he extended that for another 10 days.<\/p>\n

At the same time, pressure is building at home.<\/p>\n

Opinion polls show the war is overwhelmingly unpopular with Americans, and while Trump\u2019s MAGA movement has mostly stood with him, his grip on his political base could weaken if the economic impact, including high gas prices, persists.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s overall approval rating has fallen to 36%, the lowest since his return to the White House, a Reuters\/Ipsos poll completed on Monday found.<\/p>\n

The White House has grown increasingly worried about the political fallout from the war, a former senior Trump administration official told Reuters, citing concerns expressed by Republican lawmakers about the coming midterm elections.<\/p>\n

In an indication of growing Republican disquiet, U.S. Representative Mike Rogers, chair of the House Armed Services Committee, criticized the administration on Thursday for not providing enough information on the scope of the Iran campaign.<\/p>\n

Pushing back, the White House official said Trump aides had briefed Congress numerous times before and during the war.<\/p>\n

\"Rep.Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Ala., chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, leaves after meeting with Adm. Frank “Mitch” Bradley, commander of the U.S. Special Operations Command, and Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, at a classified briefing at the Capitol in Washington, Thursday, Dec. 4, 2025. (AP Photo\/J. Scott Applewhite)<\/p>\n

FRAUGHT DIPLOMACY COMPLICATED BY KILLINGS<\/p>\n

For now, however, the diplomatic path offers no easy solutions.<\/p>\n

The 15-point plan put forth by Trump is similar to what Iran had mostly rejected in pre-war negotiations and includes some elements that would be hard to enforce. The demands range from dismantling Iran\u2019s nuclear program and curbing its missile arsenal to abandoning its proxy groups and effectively handing over control of the strait.<\/p>\n

Iran called the U.S. offer unfair and unrealistic – though it did not rule out further indirect contacts.<\/p>\n

While Trump insisted on Thursday that Iran was \u201cbegging\u201d to reach a deal, the country\u2019s rulers appear in no rush to negotiate an end to the conflict, analysts say, since they believe they will be in a position to claim victory simply by surviving.<\/p>\n

Complicating any diplomatic effort has been the replacement of some leaders killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes with even more hardline successors, analysts say. The rulers have made clear their distrust of Trump, who twice in the past year has launched airstrikes while both sides were still negotiating. \u201cThe president is willing to listen, but if they fail to accept the reality of the current moment, they will be hit harder than ever before,\u201d said the White House official.<\/p>\n

Israeli officials, meanwhile, have signaled unease that Trump might make concessions that could tie their hands in further strikes against Iran.<\/p>\n

Washington\u2019s Gulf allies may also resent a hasty U.S. exit, given they could be left with a wounded, hostile neighbor.<\/p>\n

\"MIAMIMIAMI BEACH, FLORIDA – MARCH 27: U.S. President Donald Trump dances at the FII PRIORITY Summit at the Faena Hotel on March 27, 2026 in Miami Beach, Florida. This is the second year President Trump has spoken at the Saudi-backed investment summit. (Photo by Nathan Howard\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n

Nathan Howard via Getty Images<\/p>\n

CONTRADICTORY SIGNALS KEEP OPPONENTS OFF-BALANCE<\/p>\n

If Trump is indeed prepared to deploy ground forces, he could take over Iran\u2019s Kharg Island oil hub or other strategic islands, mount operations along its coast or send special forces for what would be a complex attempt to seize its stockpile of highly enriched uranium believed mostly buried underground by U.S.-Israeli bombing last June.<\/p>\n

Such moves could spiral into a broader conflict evoking echoes of the long-running wars in Iraq and Afghanistan that Trump has promised the U.S. would never be dragged into on his watch. They would also risk increased American casualties and raise more questions about U.S. mission objectives.<\/p>\n

Gulf allies have warned the administration not to put U.S. troops on the ground in Iran, saying it could trigger more retaliation from Tehran, possibly against their energy and civilian infrastructure, a senior Gulf official said on condition of anonymity.<\/p>\n

The White House official said Trump had made clear \u201che has no plans to send ground troops anywhere at this time,\u201d but added that he always keeps all options on the table.<\/p>\n

For now, Trump is keeping the world guessing, one moment making pronouncements aimed at soothing volatile markets and in the next issuing threats that spike energy prices.<\/p>\n

\u201cTrump traffics in contradictory signals,\u201d said Laura Blumenfeld of the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington. \u201cHe is a one-man \u2018fog of war\u2019 messaging machine to keep opponents off-balance.\u201d<\/p>\n

(Reporting By Matt Spetalnick, Nandita Bose and Humeyra Pamuk; Additional reporting by Andrea Shalal; Writing by Matt Spetalnick; Editing by Don Durfee and Daniel Wallis)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"WASHINGTON, March 28 (Reuters) – With global energy prices up and his job approval ratings down, Donald Trump…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":552513,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[23,12,228242,3,5472,942,21,19,22,20,25,24],"class_list":["post-552512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-united-states","tag-america","tag-donald-trump","tag-iran-war","tag-news","tag-pentagon","tag-president-donald-trump","tag-united-states","tag-united-states-of-america","tag-unitedstates","tag-unitedstatesofamerica","tag-us","tag-usa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/552512","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=552512"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/552512\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/552513"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=552512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=552512"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=552512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}