{"id":558650,"date":"2026-04-01T17:56:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T17:56:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/558650\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T17:56:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T17:56:12","slug":"retail-sales-rise-0-6-in-february-but-impact-of-iran-war-threatens-to-derail-spending","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/558650\/","title":{"rendered":"Retail sales rise 0.6% in February, but impact of Iran war threatens to derail spending"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC \">NEW YORK &#8212; Shoppers increased their spending in February, particularly on cars and clothing, after pulling back at the start of the year due to severe winter storms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Retail sales rose a better-than-expected 0.6% in February, from a revised 0.1% decline in January, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">But there&#8217;s concern that the Iran war, which is sending gasoline prices <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/gas-prices-4-gallon-iran-war-de8b7ccea254a1585cab86f336db57a6\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">soaring<\/a> and whose impact wasn&#8217;t reflected in the retail sales data, could derail spending at a time when Americans have already been squeezed by years of elevated inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Gas sped past an average of $4 a gallon on Tuesday for the first time since 2022 and jumped another 4 cents overnight. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline hit $4.06 Wednesday. That was a dollar more per gallon before the war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Sales at motor vehicle and auto parts dealerships rose a solid 1.2% in February. Excluding that sector, retail sales rose 0.4%<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Business at clothing and accessories stores rose 2%, while sales at electronics and appliance stores were up 0.5%. Sales at online retailers rose 0.7%. And business at health and personal care stores were up 2.3%<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">The snapshot offers only a partial look at consumer spending and doesn\u2019t include things like travel and hotel stays. But the lone services category \u2013 restaurants \u2013 registered an increase of 0.4%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">\u201cThis was a solid report,\u201d Ksenia Bushmeneva, economist at TD Bank Group, wrote in a report published on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">He noted that higher gas prices at the pump will likely lift overall sales in March since the government retail sales figures are not adjusted for inflation. But he said \u201creal spending might take a hit as consumers look to offset higher fuel costs with reduced spending discretionary items, with spending on travel and recreation the most likely areas to be cut.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">The <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/iran-us-israel-trump-lebanon-april-1-2026-19cf516c2d2c614eb182dbad7a6592ef\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Iran war<\/a> began Feb. 28 and has shut down the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off one-fifth of the world\u2019s oil supply. The price for a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, is up more than 45% since the start of the war. The cost of diesel fuel has risen faster than gasoline, driving up the cost of transportation for companies. Economists expect a related bump in inflation, potentially as soon as this month. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Economists had believed that an unusually large jump in tax refunds would kick start spending at the start of the year. <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/trump-tax-refunds-gas-prices-859494e746561a3343dcd57836c3dc83\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">But spiking gas prices will take a bite of that money.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">\u201cThe hit to real incomes from higher gas prices is especially regressive, hurting lower-income households disproportionately, while the lift from tax refunds is more evenly spread,\u201d Samuel Tombs, chief economist at Pantheon Economics, wrote in a recent report. \u201cMoreover, refunds will slow to a trickle by late April, providing little protection if high prices persist.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Higher gas prices look set to reduce real household incomes by roughly $15 billion per month, he said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Patrick De Haan, an analyst at GasBuddy, which tracks fuel prices, noted that the way to gauge the impact of gas prices is how much gas expenditures account for a shopper\u2019s income. He said that gas prices are approaching 3% of household medium income. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">\u201cWhen that gets up to about 4, 4 1\/2, 5%, that\u2019s really when people really start trimming back on some of their discretionary purchases,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Some retailers are already warning of the consumer impact if gas prices go higher.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Daniel Erver, CEO of Hennes &amp; Mauritz, said last week that the Swedish fast fashion chain expects energy prices will have a \u201csignificant impact on the consumer behavior&#8221; if the war is prolonged.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN \">And Darren Rebelez, CEO of the convenience store chain Casey\u2019s General Stores, told investors last month that a significant pullback in customer spending is unlikely unless gas approaches $5 per gallon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NEW YORK &#8212; Shoppers increased their spending in February, particularly on cars and clothing, after pulling back at&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":399009,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[247813,966,28,8876,101,69620,35988,793,228242,139727,20999,795],"class_list":{"0":"post-558650","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-247813","9":"tag-article","10":"tag-business","11":"tag-economic-indicators","12":"tag-economy","13":"tag-energy-markets","14":"tag-financial-performance","15":"tag-general-news","16":"tag-iran-war","17":"tag-oil-and-gas-industry","18":"tag-retail-and-wholesale","19":"tag-u-s-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/558650","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=558650"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/558650\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/399009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=558650"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=558650"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=558650"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}